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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: Martinez has been very reliable in recent years, posting a 3.45 ERA and 79.1 percent strand rate over the last two season with San Diego. His fly ball rate has dropped each of the last two years, featured by last year’s career low 28.2 percent, which is a near-necessity at Great American Ball Park. Martinez’s five-pitch arsenal is highlighted by a great changeup that posted a 46.5 percent whiff rate last year, and he'll bring versatility to Cincy. While primarily a reliever for the Padres, he did make 19 starts over the last two seasons, and the Reds could give him a look as a starter in spring training. 

2024 Outlook: Even if he doesn’t break camp as a member of the rotation, he will ultimately serve as the team’s de facto spot starter, as well as middle/long reliever. He gets a park downgrade, as GABP plays as one of the best hitter fields in the game, but his numbers over the past two years are very repeatable, perhaps with an ERA closer to 4.00 in 2024. The team has Nick Lodolo and Brandon Williamson as potential starters, too, so if Martinez were to win a starting job out of spring, his leash would be relatively short, and in that situation, his experience as a reliever, and question marks in the Cincinnati pen, could force him there.

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