NFL DFS Wide Receiver Coach Week 14: Top DraftKings and FanDuel Picks
Published: Dec 10, 2022
Updated: Dec 10, 2022
Last week’s DFS WR Coach was wildly successful, headlined by big performances from A.J. Brown, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Garrett Wilson among others. We’re going to look to replicate that success here in Week 14, and you’ll see quite a few familiar faces. The Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings showdown looks like a top NFL DFS game to stack this week, and the Jacksonville Jaguars wideouts find themselves in another advantageous matchup against the Tennessee Titans. From studs, to value plays, to mid-tier players, I got it all for you in this week’s DFS WR Coach. Here are my favorite DFS options at wide receiver for your Week 13 NFL DFS lineups, including my top receivers, best value plays, and receiver to fade.
UPDATED 12/10 @ 8:37am EST
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NFL DFS WR Top Plays
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions
At this point, how do you not play St. Brown every week? He’s still incredibly affordable, and all he’s done over his last six games is average eight receptions and 92.5 yards per game. He now gets a juicy matchup against a Minnesota team that ranks 24th in DVOA against the pass, and 29th against the opposition’s WR1. Beyond that, the Vikings have allowed the most receiving yards and third-most fantasy points per game to receivers over the last four weeks. Back in Week 3, St. Brown caught six of nine targets for 73 yards, and in three career games against Minnesota, he’s averaging 74.7 receiving yards per game.
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
This game will be popular in DFS, and maybe Jefferson’s quiet game earlier this season against the Lions will push people away from him. He’s expensive, but he’s averaging 11.2 targets per game over his last five outings, and the shootout potential of this game shouldn’t go unmentioned. Yes, Jefferson stunk in the first game against the Lions, but prior to that, Jefferson went for seven or more receptions and at least 124 yards in three straight games against Detroit. Given his price tag, Jefferson might be more of a GPP play than a cash game lock, but the case can be made for both.
Garrett Wilson, New York Jets
At first glance, we see the Jets are facing the Bills, so maybe we should pump the brakes on Wilson. However, I won’t be doing that. The Bills have actually allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers over the last four weeks, and back in Week 9, Wilson went for 92 yards on eight grabs against them. With Mike White under center the past two weeks, Wilson has been a monster, averaging 6.5 receptions on 11.5 targets for 128.5 yards and one touchdown per game. Lastly, Buffalo ranks 27th in DVOA against the opposition’s WR1, which is without a doubt Mr. Garrett Wilson.
A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles
The Giants secondary is banged up, and has been most of the year, and this secondary has no chance against A.J. Brown, who is the seventh-highest graded receiver on the season, per Pro Football Focus. The Giants love to play man coverage, and I wish them luck against Brown, who has the third-most receiving yards, and tied for the most receiving touchdowns, per PFF, against man coverage in 2022. Brown is averaging nearly eight targets per game over the last three weeks, averaging a full touchdown per game during this stretch. He’s expensive, but the Jalen Hurts and Brown stack hasn’t let us down too often this season.
NFL DFS WR Mid-Price Plays
Christian Kirk, Jacksonville Jaguars
In GPPs, I like pivoting to Kirk, as many people will likely look to Zay Jones in the hopes that it’s a Zay Jones week. In cash games, I like doing that, too, don’t get me wrong, but don’t overlook Kirk. The Titans have allowed the most fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the last four weeks, including allowing seven receiving touchdowns to the position! Over the last four weeks, Kirk is averaging nearly 10 targets per game, not to mention 82.8 yards and 0.8 receiving touchdowns per game. The Titans have allowed 13 different receivers, not including tight ends, to log at least 70 receiving yards against them this season, and I expect Kirk to be added to the list this weekend.
Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks
It’s nitpicking between Metcalf and Lockett, but for me this week, I’m going with Lockett. He should see less of Jaycee Horn compared to Metcalf, and Lockett will feast when C.J. Henderson and Jeremy Chinn play him in coverage. Lockett has a touchdown in five straight games, and his per game averages during his touchdown streak comes to 18.3 fantasy points and 15.8 fantasy points per game on DraftKings and FanDuel respectively. Seattle is going to put up points, and I expect Lockett to get in on the action.
DJ Moore, Carolina Panthers
Over the last four weeks, the Seahawks have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers, and Moore is the only Carolina receiver that can be trusted in the passing attack. Seattle is going to put up points, and Carolina will need to throw the ball. Moore has had some big games with Sam Darnold before, and last time out, he went for 103 yards and a touchdown with Darnold at the helm. Moore is going to be a popular play for me this week.
NFL DFS WR Value Plays
Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos
I hate putting my trust in Russell Wilson, but here I am, doing it again! Kansas City ranks 26th in DVOA against the pass, and over his last five games where he’s played at least one-third of the snaps, he has seven or more targets in four of them. The Chiefs have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game to opposing receivers over the last four weeks, and Denver is going to have to score in this one. Come on, Russell, one time, for us!
D.J. Chark Jr., Detroit Lions
For many of the same reasons I love Amon-Ra St. Brown this week applies to Chark. The Vikings rank 24th in DVOA against the pass, have allowed the most receiving yards to wideouts over the last four weeks, and have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to the position during the aforementioned span. Chark can stretch the field for this Detroit passing attack, and while injuries have derailed his season a bit, it’s worth noting his numbers in the two games where he’s played at least 80 percent of the snaps:
- Week 1: Four receptions for 52 yards and one TD
- Week 13: Five receptions for 98 yards
When on the field, he has a prominent role in this offense, and if Minnesota keys in on St. Brown, Chark will benefit. Don’t fret, we’ll see some lineups that feature big time stacks of this game, including the Jared Goff, St. Brown, and Chark trio.
George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers
Pickens is an incredibly gifted receiver, and when he gets the opportunities, he balls out. After getting just two targets last week, you could see during the game that he was frustrated, and the camera caught him lashing out a bit. So, one of two things is going to happen: 1) the team peppers him with targets this week against Baltimore, or 2) they “punish” him for his tirade, or temper tantrum. I’m going with the former. I think it’s going to be a big George Pickens week, as Pittsburgh will have to throw it a ton, since it’s tough to run on Baltimore. In games where’s received at least six targets, he has at least 50 yards in all but two of them.
NFL DFS WR Dart Throw
Chris Moore, Houston Texans
It's not the most desirable situation by any means, but if you need a cheap receiver that should get volume, Chris Moore is your guy. Davis Mills is back under center, and Mills love to target Moore. He has five or more targets in three of his last five games, and should easily exceed that mark in this one, considering that both Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins have been ruled out. Phillip Dorsett and Moore will serve as the team's top two receivers, and the Mills-to-Moore connection has paid off in the past. This is a pretty big dart throw, but he does provide immense salary relief, with a little bit of upside.
NFL DFS WR Fades
Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys
Gallup seems like a trap to me this week. The Texans allow a league worst 3.2 pass attempts to the WR2, per Football Outsiders, and Dallas’ run game should eat Houston alive. How much will Dak Prescott really have to throw the football? With how bad Houston is against the WR1, how much volume can we expect for Gallup, when he’ll see Houston’s best cover corner, Steven Nelson, for a good chunk of his snaps? Gallup has come on a bit of late, but recency bias from his two touchdown game last week screams trap play for me this week. This game is going to get ugly, and Gallup might not have a ton of time to make things happen.
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