The Green Bay Packers head South to take on the Dallas Cowboys in a game that’ll have everyone talking about Micah Parsons’ return to Dallas. Parsons was traded to Green Bay late in training camp and since that trade everyone has had this game marked on their calendar. Parsons has gradually seen his playing time increase week-over-week with Green Bay and he’s turned the Packers into arguably the best defense in the NFL. There’s a lot to break down for this classic NFC matchup so let’s dive right into our Packers vs. Cowboys DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel!

 

 

 

Packers vs. Cowboys DFS Picks & Preview: Sunday Night Football, 9/28

We’ve been waiting for this matchup for a little over a month and it’s finally here. Micah Parsons returns to Dallas and the Cowboys will get a very good look at what they lost. Brian Schottenheimer was quoted heading into this matchup saying, “Micah’s a great player. Micah’s going to make plays… Does he get a sack? S***, I hope not but he might…” while Jerry Jones made a bit of a delusional comment by saying “While he does make great pays, there is also a way to approach playing against Micah. As we know, we didn’t exactly win the Super Bowl those years,” which is quite the bold statement since “America’s Team” hasn’t won the Super Bowl in nearly three decades.

But I digress. We can’t forget that Green Bay is coming off a brutal loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. Green Bay should be sitting at 3-0 heading into this game, but some mental blunders last week cost them, including some conservative play calling. This is one of those spots where they could be playing with a high level of focus and anger after that loss that I almost feel bad for Dallas heading into this game. Green Bay has plenty of weapons on offense and I’m incredibly optimistic this is Matthew Golden’s breakout game after it didn’t happen last week when it could have. But the story has been Green Bay’s defense which ranks 6th in defensive EPA/DB and I suspect they’ll lead the league by season’s end and go down as one of the best defenses from this era.

On the opposite end of the spectrum we have the Dallas Cowboys who rank second worst in defensive EPA/DB. The offense is going to be fun to watch. There will be volume and the trailing game scripts throughout the whole season. The defense is terrible without Micah Parsons as they’ve allowed 92 points and almost 1,200 yards through three games. CeeDee Lamb is set to miss this game while he nurses an ankle injury so that elevates other players in this offense that’ll be throwing plenty to keep pace with Green Bay. Here are the top Packers vs. Cowboys DFS picks and strategies for Sunday Night Football!

 

 

 

Packers vs. Cowboys SNF Odds at DraftKings & FanDuel

DraftKings Sportsbook

  • Spread:
    • Packers -7 (-105)
    • Cowboys +7 (-115)
  • Money Line:
    • Packers (-360)
    • Cowboys (+285)
  • Game Total:
    • Over 47.5 (-105)
    • Under 47.5 (-115)

FanDuel Sportsbook

  • Spread:
    • Packers -6.5 (-115)
    • Cowboys +6.5 (-105)
  • Money Line:
    • Packers (-320)
    • Cowboys (+260)
  • Game Total:
    • Over 46.5 (-110)
    • Under 46.5 (-110)

 

 

 

NFL Weather: Packers vs. Cowboys SNF, September 28th 

This game will be played indoors in a controlled environment so there are no weather concerns for our SNF DFS picks.

 

Packers vs. Cowboys Injuries: Sunday Night Football Week 4

The Green Bay Packers will be without some of their starting offensive linemen as Aaron Banks is doubtful and Zach Tom has already been ruled out. Their absence played a role in last week’s game against Cleveland’s formidable pass rush. Swing tackle Anthony Belton has also been ruled out as well which doesn’t help their depth at all. On the defensive side of the ball, safety Javon Bullard is questionable with a concussion.

CeeDee Lamb has been ruled out for Dallas, which isn’t too much of a surprise given the timetable we received for his ankle injury earlier in the week. It’s still unclear if the Cowboys will place him on IR. Another big blow for the Cowboys is that offensive lineman Tyler Booker has been ruled out as well.

 

 

 

NFL Sunday Night Football DFS Picks: MVP/Captain

Josh Jacobs, RB, Green Bay Packers - DraftKings: $10,800 | FanDuel: $13,400

Jacobs has touched the ball 20+ times in three straight games. And his performances thus far have geared more towards what his floor is than his ceiling. He’s been incredibly inefficient with some tough matchups to start the season, but he’s scored twice and last week was involved more in the passing game. Better days are ahead for Josh Jacobs. But the offensive line needs to play better because 92% of his rushing yards have come after contact.

It’s hard to call this a “get right” game for Jacobs because the production hasn’t been as atrocious as other running backs, but the Cowboys run defense ranks second-to-last in PFF’s run defense grade. According to Fantasy Points, he has 83% of this backfield’s expected fantasy points and that’s due to the volume he gets.

Even if he lacks efficiency in this matchup there are enough positives to play him at Captain. Multiple touchdowns in addition to his volume can certainly make him optimal at Captain but you do hope Dallas can keep this game competitive.

George Pickens, WR, Dallas Cowboys - DraftKings: $9,800 | FanDuel: $10,600

So far through three games the Dallas Cowboys lead the NFL in wide receiver usage. So with CeeDee Lamb unavailable for this matchup, you’d think it would be wheels up for George Pickens. That theory is true, but the matchup is certainly brutal. This Packers defense is legitimate. But at the end of the day this is a play with upside and likely will have garbage time at its disposal.

The Packers have allowed the sixth fewest PPR points to perimeter wide receivers so far. But again, this is a volume play and the Cowboys should be playing from behind so it’s still a good environment for the Dallas pass catchers. Pickens just put up 17.8 fantasy points in PPR formats in back-to-back weeks. Going forward without Lamb it’s possible that’s his floor. The ceiling is pretty substantial. Dak Prescott leads the league in pass attempts per game (42) and Pickens already has seven red zone targets in three games. 

Jake Ferguson, TE, Dallas Cowboys – DraftKings: $8,400 | FanDuel: $9,200

Jake Ferguson is averaging 11 receptions on 13 targets for 80 yards over his last two games. He’s another pass catcher that will see his role increase while CeeDee Lamb is out. Only Puka Nacua has more receptions through three games than Jake Ferguson.

When both Ferguson and Dak Prescott are healthy, we know there’s chemistry between them. Prior to this season, he averaged 7.4 targets per game and 54.8 yards per game with Prescott and that was presumably with Lamb on the field. Now Lamb is out, and as we just mentioned in the George Pickens section, Prescott is averaging 42 pass attempts per game this season.

For as good as the Packers defense has been through three games, they’ve given up production to the tight end position. In Week 1, Sam LaPorta caught 6-of-9 targets for 79 yards. In Week 2, Zach Ertz caught 6-of-8 targets for 64 yards and a touchdown. And last week, David Njoku and Harold Fannin combined to catch 8-of-11 targets for 65 yards. Now these stat lines are more indicative of a flex play because those numbers aren’t breaking any slate. But as we mentioned at the beginning of his write-up, he’s seen 26 targets in his last two games and he’s due to find the end zone at some point.

Matthew Golden, WR, Green Bay Packers – DraftKings: $7,000 | FanDuel: $6,600

Is this the week? Could this finally be the week we get the breakout game from Matthew Golden? Boy do I hope so because he’s on the cover for a reason. He should have had a touchdown last week against the Cleveland Browns but he ran out of bounds when he had plenty of open field ahead of him. He was quoted as saying he thought the safety was closer to him than he was actually, and momentum played a role in him going out of bounds.

He’s still generating a ton of separation and there is no better matchup for wide receivers than the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas plays a lot of 2-High and 3-High zone coverage schemes and according to Fantasy Points, Golden is garnering a 28% TPRR, a 25% target share, and a 38.5% first read target share against these coverage schemes. This tweet from Josh Larky really illustrates the boost wide receivers get against this Dallas secondary.

I am a firm believer in Matthew Golden emerging as the clear WR1 in this offense regardless of who is hurt. He’s a great route runner and gets separation. Even if you don’t want to necessarily play him for the NFL DFS Showdown slate, you can at least get some exposure to his anytime touchdown prop at any sportsbook.

 

 

 

NFL Sunday Night Football DFS Picks: Core Plays

Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys – DraftKings: $9,400 | FanDuel: $12,800

There will certainly be enough volume for Dak Prescott in this matchup, as there has been every week. As we’ve already mentioned, Dak is averaging 42 pass attempts per game. However, that hasn’t consistently translated to big stat lines. It certainly did in Week 2 against the New York Giants, but last week he failed to capitalize on a good matchup against the Chicago Bears once CeeDee Lamb left the game.

The Packers have been very tough on opposing quarterbacks and the Dallas offensive line may struggle to contain this pass rush especially with Micah Parsons now on the other side of the line of scrimmage. Dak and his crew of pass catchers will likely be playing from behind and may benefit from garbage time. So while the Packers have not given up much production to previous opposing quarterbacks, I don’t want to rule Prescott out from possibly getting the 300-yard bonus and multiple touchdowns.

Tucker Kraft, TE, Green Bay Packers – DraftKings: $8,600 | FanDuel: $9,000

If he wasn’t a bit beat up heading into this game, I’d have more confidence and conviction putting him in the section above. And I know he isn’t carrying an injury designation but I’m just trying to be mindful of a potential re-aggravation of the injuries. I know he’ll play through the knee and elbow ailments, but I’m not entirely sold that the ceiling is there. And he’s only seen 15 targets in three games this season. It’s possible Pickens or Ferguson see that many in this matchup.

Kraft is definitely a force to be reckoned with. We saw him pop for 6 receptions on 7 targets for 124 yards and a score in Week 2 against Washington. Through three games Kraft ranks in the top six at the tight end position with a near 24% TPRR and he leads all tight ends with a near 3.00 YPRR.

If he truly is over the injuries, then he should be played as a Captain in some lineups. The Cowboys haven’t surrendered a ton of production to the tight end position yet, but they also haven’t faced one with Kraft’s talent. I expect Kraft to serve as a top two target for this offense Sunday night.

 

 

 

NFL Sunday Night Football DFS Picks: Mid-Tier Plays

Jordan Love, QB, Green Bay Packers – DraftKings: $10,000 | FanDuel: $13,000

Jordan Love is the second most expensive option on both DraftKings and FanDuel. And yet, I have little interest in playing him at Captain nor do I view him as a Core Play. Love is averaging just 11 yards on the ground through three games so there’s little rushing upside. He’s also only averaging 26 pass attempts per game and has only eclipsed 200 passing yards in one game. So there isn’t much of a ceiling here that screams to me that we need to have him in our builds.

Obviously, there are some things in his favor. Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for 748 yards and seven touchdowns against the Dallas Cowboys over the last two weeks. The Cowboys have really no answer to opposing offenses.

The Green Bay Packers are also coming off an embarrassing loss to the Cleveland Browns last week. So as it stands, they may come out firing on all cylinders. Jordan Love should have his best game of the season this week. But if that’s the case then it’s likely his pass catchers are popping off for big games as well which is why I’m more inclined to play a skill position player from Green Bay at Captain than Love. But if you go with Golden, Kraft, Doubs, or anybody from Green Bay at Captain, then Love is a good correlation play.

Javonte Williams, RB, Dallas Cowboys – DraftKings: $9,000 | FanDuel: $10,200

Javonte Williams has been spectacular for the Dallas Cowboys in 2025. I wasn’t very high on him coming into the season, but the backfield belongs to him and he gives them the best chance to win each week. Miles Sanders received a dozen touches last week against the Chicago Bears, while Williams saw 15. Given what Williams has done so far this year, we should not be experiencing a split backfield, so last week’s touch distribution could have been due to the game environment since Dallas wasn’t very competitive.

Williams is averaging 4.6 yards after contact and 5.3 yards per carry. According to Fantasy Points, with seven defenders in the box he’s still averaging 5.1 YPC and 6.0 YPC with six or fewer defenders in the box. He also ranks top five among running backs in success rate (53.5%), first down rate (34.9%), EPA per rush (0.11), and EPA per play (4.64). He’s exceeding expectations and should hold on to the lead role in this backfield assuming he stays healthy.

Green Bay has been tough against opposing running backs. They only allowed 44 rushing yards to Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. But if this is a negative game script then Williams may get some receptions. Gibbs and Monty combined for 14 catches for 49 yards in a negative game script against the Packers. Last week, Quinshon Judkins did rush for 94 yards against this defense so maybe that speaks more to his upside as a bit of a freak of nature. Williams likely needs volume, but he also has 11 receptions in his last two games, so he’s still viable in a trailing game script.

Romeo Doubs, WR, Green Bay Packers – DraftKings: $6,400 | FanDuel: $8,000

Refer back to the Matthew Golden section to see why this is such a strong matchup for perimeter receivers. I am truly hoping this is the breakout game for Matthew Golden so it very well may be my own bias that’s putting Doubs in this section.

But again, Dallas can be beat almost anywhere defensively and that’s especially true for receivers on the perimeter. According to Fantasy Points, Dallas has allowed a total of 444 passing yards on passes of 20+ air yards. Doubs is a receiver who gets targeted deep (16.1 aDOT) and with Jayden Reed out, he is one of the more reliable pass catchers for Jordan Love even if I am more bullish on Matthew Golden.

Doubs should do well enough against Dallas’ heavy zone coverage schemes. But it is worrisome overall that he only has 11 targets through three games, and he isn’t coming close to the 100-yard bonus on DraftKings. There’s some variance here so I’m hesitant to list him as a core play.

 

 

 

NFL Sunday Night Football DFS Picks: Value Plays

Dontayvion Wicks, WR, Green Bay Packers – DraftKings: $4,000 | FanDuel: $6,000

You ever have that one player, regardless of the sport, that you just can’t give up on? For me it might be Dontayvion Wicks. The speed is there. He’s a solid route runner and he can get open. But he struggles securing the ball. With Jayden Reed on IR, Wicks is filling in and playing out of the slot more for Green Bay. He’s received 10 targets over his last two games and he’s a $4,000 receiver on a team with an implied total over 27 points.

And while about 65% of his snaps are out of the slot, he’s still seeing 35% of his snaps come outside and we’ve already mentioned how bad the Cowboys are at defending perimeter receivers. He has potential for big plays it all just really boils down to his hands securing the catch.

Jalen Tolbert, WR, Dallas Cowboys – DraftKings: $3,800 | FanDuel: $4,800

I do think KaVontae Turpin is certainly worth playing and if you really want to get creative you can pair him with the Dallas D/ST. But that’s more of a move for larger multi-entry tournaments. The Cowboys defense is horrific so you do not need to pair the two.

But if I had to pick one or the other, I prefer Jalen Tolbert slightly. After CeeDee Lamb left last week’s game, Tolbert surprisingly ran 87% of the team’s routes which was more than George Pickens and Jake Ferguson. Now the game was partially a blowout and they probably wanted to preserve the health of the other two to stop the bleeding after losing Lamb. 

Brian Schottenheimer went so far as to say that Tolbert “will have to step up” in Lamb’s absence. After touting a decent aDOT of 7.7 last week on six targets, I do give him a slight edge over Turpin but both are solid value options on an offense that could attempt 40+ passes.

Miles Sanders, RB, Dallas Cowboys – DraftKings: $3,000 | FanDuel: $4,200

This is simply a game theory recommendation. If you’re of the mindset that Dallas gets blown out, then it’s likely the Cowboys get Sanders more work to keep Javonte Williams healthy. Sanders is a nice salary saver and in his last two games he’s collected 18.2 fantasy points on DraftKings. That’s not massive, but it’s serviceable for a $3K running back on DraftKings.

Last week he had 12 touches for 53 yards but also caught all three of his targets. This is a value play that could pay off in 4:2 or 5:1 Packers stacks assuming it’s a dominant win by Green Bay. In that kind of narrative, you’re hoping Sanders is exclusively touching the ball late in the game when both teams are trying to avoid an untimely injury.

 

 

 

SNF DFS Picks: Kickers & D/ST

The Dallas Cowboys D/ST is a pretty easy fade for me in this matchup. Their three previous opponents all scored at least 24 points. In total, Dallas has given up 92 points to their opponents and 1,193 total yards of offense. They’ve returned a total of one fantasy point on DraftKings so far. The Packers have an implied team total of 27.25 points as of Saturday afternoon. I can’t get behind playing the Cowboys D/ST at all.

The Packers D/ST is in play but we’ve yet to really see them have a big play through three games. They’re a great real defense in the NFL but for fantasy football, they haven’t displayed much of a ceiling yet. No team has rushed for 100+ yards against them. No team has totaled 250+ yards of offense. And nobody has scored 20+ points against them. To their credit, the Packers do have 10 sacks through three games and they generated a good amount of pressure. But the Cowboys offensive line isn’t what it used to be. The one thing that concerns me in this matchup is the potential for second half production by Dallas and that potentially costing Green Bay fantasy points later on. If that’s the case, then Green Bay’s defense could struggle to pay off this price tag.

The kickers are in good spots and Brandon McManus stands out as the kicker for the team favored by seven points. He has missed a FGA in back-to-back weeks. In Week 2 he missed a 48-yard attempt against Washington and then last week and then last week he had a 43-yard attempt blocked by Cleveland. So through three games he’s 1-for-3 on field goals of 40+ yards. He still correlates incredibly well and will likely carry significant ownership as he’s attached to an offense that should be able to move the ball well. 

Brandon Aubrey is in a unique spot. He’s probably the best kicker in the league and he’s a gem for fantasy football leagues that still utilize a kicker. He’s 8-for-8 on field goal attempts so far this year including drilling four field goals from 50+ yards out. The only thing holding him back in this matchup is Dallas falling too far behind where they have to abandon going with field goals as the game progresses. But so far, he’s put up 41 total fantasy points on DraftKings, which is actually more than Josh Jacobs as wild as that sounds.

 

 

 

Packers vs. Cowboys DFS Player Pool: SNF, 9/28

Player Pool

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