Welcome to Week 4 of the NFL season and the next edition DFS RB Coach! I had Raheem Mostert on the cover last week and he went bananas, scoring 45.2 points. We also had Kenneth Walker (30.6 points), Zack Moss (22.5) and Tony Pollard (15.1) put together some nice outings. The only dud came from Joshua Kelley, who can’t seem to operate as the Chargers starting RB in any capacity. Enough about last week though, let’s look to keep that momentum going into Week 4. It’s time to start putting those DraftKings and FanDuel lineups together and hit the big paydays! The Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills game has the highest total on the slate (and it isn’t close), so be sure to keep that in mind. Let’s dive into my favorite RB plays!
Be sure to check out the rest of the NFL DFS Coaches and DFS Watch List throughout the week!
NFL DFS RB Top Play
CMC is still by far the best back in football. The guy is just awesome, scoring at least 22.9 points in every single game this season, even last week on a short week (Thursday game). He is averaging 20 carries a game and has 10 targets thus far, racking up yards in a variety of ways while scoring a touchdown in every game. For good reason, he is highly priced, but the ceiling and the floor on CMC warrant the hefty price of admission to using him in your lineups. This matchup against the Cardinals is a good one and I would be surprised if CMC doesn’t drop another 20+ points in this one.
NFL DFS RB Mid-Tier Plays
I have found a lot of success in the mid-tier this season and I feel pretty locked-in with this zone. This week, we are going to roll out three players from this tier.
Cook has looked really good this year from a reality standpoint, averaging over 6 yards per carry and already in double digits for receptions. The problem thus far is that he has zero touchdowns, w hich isn’t shocking with the situation he is in, but he will find it a couple times on longer runs at some point. The only other time I included Cook in the RB coach, was Week 2 when he scored 22.9 points (season-high) and we are going to hope for a similar performance this week. This game with Miami looks like it will be a shootout, which is always a good thing for our picks.
I am probably starting to look like a Moss stan, including him in here for a third straight week. You know the saying “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” well, that feels fitting here after watching him score 20.7 and 25.5 points the last two weeks. He is dominating the Colts backfield, playing nearly every snap and getting all the touches. He’s already racked up over 200 rushing yards and he has found the end zone twice. His price is on the rise and for the first time, we have to mark him as a mid-tier play, but he is still well worth it. I like this matchup against the Rams and I expect another good showing by Moss.
Williams is coming off a poor game against a tough Bengals rush defense, but he is primed for a nice bounce back this week against the Colts. Much like Moss, Williams is also playing nearly all the snaps and getting nearly all the work. I didn’t think of Moss and Williams being bell cow back this year, but they are both fully in that role right now. Williams isn’t very talented in my opinion, but it doesn’t matter if you are getting the work (and goal line work) that he is getting. He has 17 targets over the last two games and is racking up insane usage.
NFL DFS RB Value Play
Warren hasn’t had any big games yet (not scoring more than 12.6 points in any game) and hasn’t found the end zone yet, but I do like some things this week with him at his cheap price. He has at least four targets in every game and at least three receptions. He is coming off a season-high eight carries as well as the Steelers start to split the work between Warren and Najee Harris. I like this matchup against the Texans in what should be a pretty competitive game for these two teams. I don’t think Warren will go bananas or anything, but I do see him getting back into the double-digits and paying off this cheap of a price tag.
NFL DFS RB Fades
I had Henry listed as a bust coming into the year, so I can’t say I’m surprised by the apparent falling off a cliff that he is showing thus far. He rushed for 20 yards on 11 carries last week and is averaging just 3.2 yards per tote this season thus far. He received ZERO targets in last week’s game and has just five receptions so far. Time catches up with everyone and Henry has a lot of mileage on his legs. He is FAR too expensive in DFS right now and this matchup against the Bengals is a tough one, which should only make matters worse for him this week.