NFL Thanksgiving Day Best Player Prop Picks: Thursday, 11/27
Thanksgiving 2025 is serving an absolute banquet of football with three monster matchups loaded with division stakes, playoff implications, and elite offenses. The day kicks off in Detroit with the Packers-Lions NFC North showdown, followed by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs invading Dallas in the traditional afternoon slot. Primetime delivers the game of the day: Joe Burrow’s official return from turf toe surgery when the desperate Bengals take on the surging Ravens in a high total shootout.
Best NFL Thanksgiving Day Player Prop Picks: Kareem Hunt Anytime TD
Yes, Isiah Pacheco is being activated and returning from IR this week. But Kareem Hunt has still scored rushing TDs in four of his last five games and five of his last seven while operating as Kansas City’s primary goal-line hammer. The Chiefs remain the league’s most efficient red-zone offense, Dallas has surrendered 13 rushing TDs (tied-6th most), and Hunt has been the guy getting the rock inside the 5-yard line all month. Even with Pacheco back in the mix, Hunt remains the short-yardage bruiser and is absolutely worth plus money.
Â
Â
Thanksgiving Day Player Props: Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing TD
Burrow is officially back and starting after missing the last nine games following turf toe surgery, and he’s returning nearly a full month ahead of schedule. Zac Taylor confirmed it, Burrow confirmed it, and the rehab went perfectly. Baltimore is allowing 1.5 passing TDs per game and has given up multiple passing scores in seven of their last ten. These Bengals-Ravens games turn into aerial fireworks when Burrow is healthy (3+ passing TDs in four of the last five meetings).
Â
Â
Thanksgiving Day Player Props: Christian Watson Over 24.5 Yards - Longest Reception
Watson has cleared 24.5 yards for his longest reception in three of those five. More importantly, he’s 100% healthy, which hasn’t been the case for most of his NFL career. He’s Jordan Love’s designated deep threat and faces a Detroit defense that ranks bottom-10 in explosive pass plays allowed and has surrendered the 9th-most 20+ yard completions this season. One Love moon ball, and this is over.
Â
Â
Thanksgiving Day Player Props: Mike Gesicki Over 33.5 Receiving Yards
Tee Higgins is officially OUT (concussion), and that rockets Mike Gesicki to the clear No. 2 pass-game role behind Ja’Marr Chase. Last season, in the three games Higgins missed, Gesicki averaged 5.3 catches on 7.7 targets for 67.7 yards, an enormous spike. He’s walking into the same spot in the highest-total game of the day (52.5) with Burrow back and the Bengals throwing 35–40 times in a guaranteed track meet.Â
Â
Â
How to bet on Thanksgiving Day Player Props At Novig & Claim Your $50 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM
As for actually using ALARM, you should see that our links & banners have filled it in for you, but even if not, the steps below will have you set up in no time at all:
- Join here for a new Novig account
- Download the app & complete the verification process
- Enter the best Novig promo code ALARM
- Spend at least $5 using the Coin Store
You’ll then automatically receive your $50 bonus, and again, you can start using their commission-free lines to make picks on anything, not just NFL Week 12 today.
Â
Player News
{{item.text}}
{{analysis.analysis}}
