Need the best PrizePicks NFL picks today to close out Week 8? The 5-2 Bears visit the 4-3 Seahawks at Lumen Field on Monday night, with Seattle favored by about three points and the total set at 46.5. Below, we cover our favorite PrizePicks NFL picks for this matchup, backed by player projections and the key matchups shaping each pick.
Bears vs. Seahawks: Game Outlook & Key Matchups
Chicago leans on Caleb Williams and D'Andre Swift with Kyle Monangai out, facing a Seahawks defense that ranks second in pass defense DVOA and tied for second in the league with 12 takeaways. We like both Bears picks in this spot. Let's break down the PrizePicks plays we like most for this matchup.
Best PrizePicks NFL Picks for MNF, Week 8
Caleb Williams NFL PrizePicks Pick: Higher 0.5 Interceptions
Williams has been one of the league's best quarterbacks since returning, with 1,020 yards, five touchdowns, and one interception in four starts, and much of that comes from improvising, as he has added 128 rushing yards and two touchdowns while extending plays. That creativity gets tested by Seattle, which is tied for the second-most takeaways in the league with 12, ranks second in pass defense DVOA, allows just 144.4 passing yards per game, and leads the league in zone coverage rate. He has been sacked 12 times on 150 dropbacks and holds the ball for 3.44 seconds on average, and without Monangai, the Bears' run game has slowed to 98 yards per game. Pressing against a defense that gives up so little could lead to a mistake, and over 0.5 interceptions looks like a fair play.
D'Andre Swift NFL PrizePicks Pick: Higher 18.5 Receiving Yards
With Monangai out again, Swift is the Bears' centerpiece, coming off 22 carries and four catches against New England, and he has 22 receptions for 152 yards on the season. He averages 21.7 receiving yards per game and posted 26 in each of the two games before last week, and his 74.6 PFF receiving grade is eighth among running backs. Seattle is elite against the pass in DVOA, but 16th against running backs, and a Chicago offense that is expected to face heavy pressure from Seattle's front should lean on its backs in the short passing game. Clearing 18.5 receiving yards is a reasonable ask.
PrizePicks NFL Player Projections for Bears vs. Seahawks
Both of these plays lean on the same framework behind Fantasy Alarm's Weekly Player Projections, which generates a projected stat line for every player on the slate by weighing expected pass and rush volume, touchdown probability, and matchup context rather than just last week's box score. That's the same process that pointed us toward Williams and Swift as our top plays for this game, and it refreshes throughout the week as news, weather, and depth charts shift. Fantasy Alarm All Pro members get the full weekly breakdown for every player in every game, not just the two we're highlighting here. If you want the complete picture behind every PrizePicks pick we make, upgrading to All Pro is the fastest way to get it.
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