Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Odds: Sunday Night Football Week 14
Closing out the NFL Week 14 Sunday slate is the usual prime time game, but this weekend, we get a rematch of the AFC Divisional Round from just last season. The Kansas City Chiefs hosted that game as well, and as they host the Houston Texans here, we’ve got our best Texans vs. Chiefs predictions for Sunday Night Football.
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Texans vs. Chiefs Predictions for NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football
The Chiefs' recent prime time game - their Thanksgiving Day game - was the first-ever in Patrick Mahomes’ career. It’s one that he’d like to forget, as he and the rest of KC fell to 6-6 courtesy of a 31-28 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Houston didn’t play until this past Sunday, and it was a huge upset over the Indianapolis Colts.
It was a victory that knocked them out of first place in the AFC South, and it also means that, regarding Texans vs. Chiefs predictions for this Sunday, these teams are coming into it with varying mentalities. Before we get too far into our favorite approach here, be sure to also take advantage of our premium NFL best bets for Sunday Night Football!
There’s no doubt that a low-scoring game should be the first thought between these AFC squads, and not just because Houston has the #1 defense in the NFL. It’s also been KC’s better unit for a couple of seasons now, especially with their banged-up offensive line. Even last year’s playoff meeting had just 37 points scored.
We’ll take it from there and into what we’ve seen this year, plus the factors of two squads keeping their playoff hopes alive when it comes to locking in a best bet from our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions.Â
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Texans vs. Chiefs Best Bet: Under 21.5 First Half Points (-119 at Novig)
When it comes to the Houston defense, it’s great in just about every category, but it’s through the air that teams can’t seem to do anything. That means that for KC to take care of business, they're going to have to lean on the run game; however, that part of their offense hasn’t exactly been elite.
The same can be said for the Texans' offense, although Woody Marks is coming into his own. Even with that being the case, that’s where the Chiefs defense thrives, and that’s all a recipe for why we aren’t straying far from what we mentioned above in terms of the focus of our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions for SNF.
The only adjustment that we’re going to make is to focus on the first half. Both offenses have increased their scoring in the second half of games - both score over 11 points per game in the second two quarters, 13+ for the Chiefs. Meanwhile, both defenses combine to allow just 18 points in the first half of games.
On top of it all, the KC offensive line being banged up means plenty of havoc for Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter to generate. We know most fans prefer to root for points, but we’ve got under 21.5 first half points (-119 at Novig) as the best bet from our Texans vs. Chiefs predictions.
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How To Watch Texans vs. Chiefs NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football
As a prime time game, most fans are likely accustomed to tuning in, but we’ve still got you covered with how to watch Texans vs. Chiefs NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football:
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- When: 8:20 PM ET on 12/7
- Watch on TV: NBC
- Where to stream: YouTubeTV, Fubo, Hulu + Live TV, Peacock
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Texans vs. Chiefs Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
Despite the similar records and both teams having their playoff lives to fight for, we see the Texans vs. Chiefs odds for SNF at Novig Sportsbook clearly favoring KC: Â
- Point Spread:Â Houston Texans +3.5 (-120) vs. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (+104)
- Money Line: Houston Texans (+160) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-175)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 42.5 (+100) vs. Under 42.5 (-116)
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Texans vs. Chiefs Injury Report & Latest News
The first injury note we made was of KC’s offensive line, so we’ll start there in terms of recapping the latest Texans vs. Chiefs injury news. They lost Jawaan Taylor for the rest of the Thanksgiving Day game, but Josh Simmons is out indefinitely with a fractured wrist. That’s all on top of the already hurt Trey Smith.
As for Texans vs. Chiefs injury updates in Houston, Jaylen Reed was unable to return to Sunday’s win over the Colts, whereas Woody Marks barely missed any time and came back looking strong. What was perhaps a bit more interesting was Braxton Berrios being a healthy scratch.
Especially for a prime time game, make sure that you bookmark the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report ahead of time for even more than just Texans vs. Chiefs injury news.
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