Raiders vs. Patriots Predictions, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 1, Sunday 9/7
If you were looking to start your 2025-26 NFL season with a Jimmy Garoppolo bowl (because who isn’t?), we’ve got just the matchup for you. Ok, he’s a backup in LA these days, but even still, he was once a part of Raiders vs. Patriots predictions for both sides. For teams now led by Geno Smith & Drake Maye, we’ve shared our best Raiders vs. Patriots predictions.
Better yet, to make your Raiders vs. Patriots picks as valuable as possible, we’ve also shared a new $150 BetMGM Sportsbook first-bet offer!
Raiders vs. Patriots Predictions for NFL Week 1, Sunday 9/7
Moving on from what this matchup was in the past brings us to a Week 1 matchup that still features so many story lines. From Las Vegas hiring head coach Pete Carroll to reunite with Geno Smith and rookie RB sensation Ashton Jeanty to New England hiring former Patriots player Mike Vrabel, there is so much to discuss.
First thing’s first - who do the Raiders vs. Patriots odds have winning this game? That would be the Pats, and while there is plenty of excitement with Vrabel now leading the team, they’re still a team coming off a 4-13 season.
Along with the Raiders having an entirely new regime, we won’t beat around the bush - we aren’t going to be trusting either team to come out victorious. Instead, we’re going to be focusing on Raiders vs. Patriots player props. Admittedly, our favorite play is one that many fans would consider to be a “square” pick.
That’s because, like many fantasy managers, we’re focused on Ashton Jeanty. Before that sounds too basic for you, let us fully break down the best bet from our Raiders vs. Patriots predictions.
Raiders vs. Patriots Best Bet: Ashton Jeanty Over 15.5 Carries (-135 at BetMGM)
All the talk since blowing up at Boise State last year, all the talk has been about how Ashton Jeanty is going to be an absolute workhorse in the NFL. The fact that he’s a great balance of size and speed makes him as dangerous as it gets.
That should lead to new head coach Pete Carroll feeding him early and often; after all, he learned his lesson from the Super Bowl - Marshawn Lynch dilemma. Even without that, he knows that Jeanty is more than capable of a massive workload. In three seasons as a Bronco in college, he racked up 750 carries!
That included 374 carries last year alone in just 14 games - good for nearly 27 carries per game! We’re well aware that’s college, but when he’s also good for 75+ yards on a single rush, the fact that he still recorded so many is nearly unbelievable.
We also know this is a high prop line, and it’s even 16.5 in most places. However, even operating at that increased number, this is not unheard of. Just last season, we saw seven RBs average over 17 carries per game (10 with 16+ per game). Who was among those top seven? None other than second-year Bijan Robinson!
Although not a rookie, that still has us confident locking in the best bet from our Raiders vs. Patriots predictions on Ashton Jeanty over 15.5 carries (-135 at BetMGM).
How To Watch Raiders vs. Patriots NFL Week 1
Geno Smith and Las Vegas have quite the road trip for the season opener, and you can see how to watch Raiders vs. Patriots NFL Week 1 here:
- Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- When: 1 PM ET on 9/7
- Watch on TV: CBS
- Where to stream: YouTubeTV, Fubo, Hulu + Live TV, Paramount+
Raiders vs. Patriots Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
To fully get you set for this matchup featuring young stars and new faces in new places, here are the latest Raiders vs. Patriots odds at BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Las Vegas Raiders +2.5 (-105) vs. New England Patriots -2.5 (-115)
- Money Line: Las Vegas Raiders (+130) vs. New England Patriots (-155)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 44.5 (-110) vs. Under 44.5 (-110)
Raiders vs. Patriots Injury Report & Latest News
When it comes to Raiders vs. Patriots injury news, we can knock out the Las Vegas side of the game quite quickly. They are about as healthy as it gets, other than backup QBs Kenny Pickett and Aidan O’Connell.
As for New England, they have several questionable tags, including guys that fantasy managers will want to monitor like Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs, and Kyle Williams. Keep an eye on them and the entire league with the Fantasy Alarm NFL injury report!
How To Bet On Raiders vs. Patriots at BetMGM Sportsbook & Claim Your $150 Bonus With Promo Code ALARM
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That’s a 30/1 payout, even if you make something other than Raiders vs. Patriots picks, like a huge money line favorite! So, be sure to get started today and activate our exclusive BetMGM promo code ALARM through this link.
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