AFC South Fantasy Football Coaching Guide 2026: Schemes, Play Calling & Player Outlooks
Houston Texans
- Head Coach: DeMeco Ryans (4th Year)
- Offensive Coordinator: Nick Caley (Offensive Play Caller)
- Defensive Coordinator: Matt Burke (Defensive Play Caller)
- Offensive System: West Coast Offense – Relies upon short, high-percentage pass plays instead of power rushing. The short passes set up outside runs and deep passes in hopes of surprising the defense. There is a high volume of plays in a West Coast system.
Texans Offensive Breakdown
Head coach DeMeco Ryans has built a dominant defense, but when it comes to an offensive game plan, he has been very hands-off and understands he needs an offensive coordinator he cannot only trust, but also one he doesn’t need to babysit. His marching orders to offensive coordinator Nick Caley are simple: don't screw it up. Caley preaches a "game-plan" or matchup-based system that he learned under Bill Belichick in New England. While altering your identity week-to-week sounds great in theory, you need a core scheme to fall back on at the NFL level, or savvy defensive coordinators will shut you down completely. Caley simply lacks Belichick’s acumen, and this unit appeared seriously overmatched at times last season.
| Texans Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Power/Gap | 34.1% |
| Inside Zone | 28.6% |
| Outside Zone | 22.7% |
| Wide Zone | 8.3% |
| Pin & Pull | 6.1% |
| Texans Personnel Package - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 71.5% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 12.1% |
| 2-1 (2RB) | 6.6% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 3.6% |
| 2-0 (3WR) | 2.7% |
| 2-2 (2TE) | 1.7% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 1.6% |
| 0-1 (4WR) | 0.1% |
| 0-3 (2WR) | 0.0% |
The Ground Game: Power/Gap Blocking & The Backfield Rebuild
After ditching Bobby Slowik’s outside zone scheme, the Texans brought in Caley and offensive line coach Cole Popovich to install a power/gap blocking system. The initial results were downright ugly: Houston trudged to just 1,852 rushing yards (22nd in the league) and a miserable 3.9 yards per carry (fourth-worst). Losing Joe Mixon for the entire campaign forced them to lean on a 30-year-old Nick Chubb and a 25-year-old rookie in Woody Marks, forcing Houston to make a splash move in the trade market.
- The Workhorse Anchor: Trading for David Montgomery gives Houston a true lead option who fits this man/gap scheme like a glove. The 29-year-old brings physical, early-down grinding ability with true bell-cow potential.
- The Change-of-Pace Back: Woody Marks shifts into a secondary role as the team's primary pass-catcher out of the backfield and change-of-pace runner.
- Fantasy Takeaway: David Montgomery is a massive winner here, offering fantastic fantasy value at his current ADP with solid RB2/Flex volume. Woody Marks offers minor late-round PPR utility as a pass-catcher, but his rushing upside is capped, and you don't need to spend draft capital to handcuff him to Montgomery.
The Passing Attack: Predictable Reads, Restricted Stroud & Vertical Threats
The coaching staff promised C.J. Stroud the keys to the kingdom, but they put him in handcuffs instead. While Stroud was given pre-snap audible authority, he was restricted to a preset menu heavily tilted toward RPOs and short hot routes, concepts the young star vocally dislikes.
- The Predictable "Yes/No" Concept: Caley’s scheme relies on a pre-snap read where off-coverage triggers a "Yes" (a quick slant or hitch checkdown), while tight press triggers a "No" (bypassing the route entirely). Defensive coordinators quickly figured this out, playing off-coverage all year to take away Stroud’s beloved deep ball and force him into underneath throws.
- The Quarterback & WR Outlook: After leading the NFL in deep passing yards as a rookie in 2023, Stroud dropped to 10th in 2024 and 17th in 2025, ranking 28th and 18th in on-target throw percentage over the last two years. The reads were very easy for defenders and defensive coordinators alike to make, rendering much of the work ineffective, but that could/should change. Stroud remains a high-ceiling QB bounce-back candidate, but his game-to-game performance will suffer until they really let Stroud cook.
- Deep Shots & Vertical Weapons: Fortunately, Stroud possesses elite weapons downfield. Nico Collins shares incredible chemistry with Stroud, maintaining his position as a premium wide receiver target. Jayden Higgins and Tank Dell offer explosive vertical stretch ability, though Dell carries notable injury risk.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Nico Collins is a top-tier fantasy WR who will produce regardless of scheme restrictions. Jayden Higgins and Tank Dell hold strong vertical upside as late-round targets. C.J. Stroud's weekly ceiling stays capped until Caley abandons the rigid checkdowns and lets him unleash the deep ball.
The Houston Texans possess plenty of raw fantasy talent, but rigid play-calling and predictable passing reads continue to hold this offense back. While David Montgomery and Nico Collins stand out as reliable core draft targets, unlocking true league-winning potential across this entire unit comes down to one thing: Nick Caley finally getting out of his own way and letting C.J. Stroud throw downfield.
Best Fits for This Offense: C.J. Stroud, David Montgomery, Nico Collins
Worst Fits for This Offense: Woody Marks
Texans Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive Front Setup: 4-2-5, some multi-front
- Base Secondary Coverage: Cover-3 Zone & Cover-1 Man
While head coach DeMeco Ryans may have handed off play-calling duties to defensive coordinator Matt Burke, make no mistake: this is still very much Ryans' defensive baby. Built on the foundation of the early-2010s Seattle "Legion of Boom" system under Gus Bradley, Houston deploys a base 4-2-5 nickel scheme that trusts its front four to wreak absolute havoc while dropping seven men back into coverage. Ryans rarely manufactures extra pressure with blitzing linebackers, placing immense pressure on his front line, and wow, do they answer the bell.
The Defensive Front: Dominant Edge Rushers & Interior Upgrades
Everything this Houston defense accomplishes relies on generating pressure with just four pass rushers. Because Ryans demands excellence from his defensive line, he needs edge defenders who can put their hand in the dirt and disrupt both the run and the pass on every single snap.
- The Edge Duo: Houston possesses arguably the premier edge-rushing tandem in the NFL in Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter, who have combined for a ridiculous 50 sacks over the past two seasons.
- Interior Rotation: Unlike teams that rotate their edge rushers, Houston keeps their guys fresh by constantly rotating defensive tackles. Retaining veteran gap-filler Sheldon Rankins and drafting Ohio State monster Kayden McDonald in the second round of the 2026 NFL Draft makes this interior front downright scary.
- Fantasy & Game Script Impact: Because Houston drops six or seven into coverage, they can occasionally leave themselves open against the run. However, the presence of Rankins and McDonald plugs up interior A-gaps nicely. This front's ability to collapse pockets without blitzing creates game-script nightmares for opposing offenses.
Secondary & Coverage Report: Lockdown Corners & Pyramid Zones
By dropping seven into coverage without sacrificing pass rush, Houston confuses quarterbacks by making coverage looks appear lighter pre-snap than they actually are. At its core, this is a Cover-3 zone scheme that layers defenders in a "pyramid" formation, spanning short, intermediate, and deep zones, almost daring opposing QBs to attempt low-percentage throws downfield. It's no coincidence the Texans forced the second- and seventh-highest Average Depth of Target (aDOT) against over the last two years.
- The Locksmith Corners: Having two elite cornerbacks in Derek Stingley and Kamari Lassiter gives Houston the ultimate tactical flexibility. While teams actively avoid Stingley, Lassiter has grown into an exceptional cover-and-tackle corner in his own right, effectively turning the entire field into a no-fly zone.
- The IDP "Star" Role: Safety Jalen Pitre operates in a hybrid nickel CB/safety position known as the "star." Pitre moves all over the formation and serves as the primary blitzing threat on the team, making him an absolute goldmine in IDP formats. His role as the primary blitz option and versatile secondary playmaker guarantees high tackle volume and turnover potential at a position devoid of consistent fantasy playmakers.
DeMeco Ryans has established himself as a master motivator who squeezes every drop of talent out of his roster. Between an elite pass-rushing tandem in Anderson and Hunter, interior upgrades like Kayden McDonald, and a shutdown secondary led by Stingley and Lassiter, Houston commands one of the very best overall defenses in the entire league. Offenses will struggle to move the ball, making the Houston DST a plug-and-play fantasy powerhouse for the 2026 season.
| Texans Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 22.0% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 19 |
| Zone % | 75.4% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 13 |
Best Fits for This Defense: Will Anderson, Danielle Hunter, Jalen Pitre
Worst Fits for This Defense: Tommy Togiai, M.J. Stewart
Indianapolis Colts
- Head Coach: Shane Steichen (Offensive Play Caller)
- Offensive Coordinator: Jim Bob Cooter
- Defensive Coordinator: Lou Anarumo (Defensive Play Caller)
- Offensive System: Air Coryell – Stretches the field for power running game, utilizes motion to read defense and timing pass patterns to maximize run after the catch.
Colts Offensive Breakdown
No team in the NFL has endured a wilder, more chaotic roller-coaster ride at the quarterback position over the last three seasons than Indy. They’ve flipped from pocket passers to run-first athletes, to shotgun-only signal callers, and right back to under-center managers. Head coach Shane Steichen and offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter were sitting on a goldmine, coaching this squad to an 8-2 start and the top seed in the AFC, until Daniel Jones broke his leg in Week 12 and tore his Achilles two weeks later. As they attempt to run it back, severe medical red flags, key personnel departures, and a quiet offseason leave this unit on paper-thin ice.
| Colts Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Power/Gap | 40.9% |
| Inside Zone | 26.7% |
| Outside Zone | 20.4% |
| Pin & Pull | 8.3% |
| Wide Zone | 3.6% |
| Colts Personnel Package - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 62.8% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 26.1% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 9.8% |
| 2-1 (2RB) | 0.7% |
| 0-2 (3WR) | 0.2% |
| 2-2 (2TE) | 0.1% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 0.1% |
| 2-2 (1WR) | 0.1% |
| 0-0 (5WR) | 0.0% |
The Ground Game: Heavy Power Runs & QB Mobility Concerns
The Colts run a highly diverse ground game out of multiple formations, leaning on zone-blocking concepts during RPO looks to simplify the quarterback's reads and pressure defensive edges. When it comes to traditional handoffs, this team loves power/gap blocking schemes designed to let their star back punish defenders in the box.
- The Workhorse Target: Jonathan Taylor remains an absolute monster in this power/gap system, where he averaged a ridiculous 5.4 yards per carry compared to 4.5 YPC on zone runs. When he gets light boxes, he is virtually unstoppable.
- The Blocking & QB Factors: While Taylor remains the focal point, expecting him to duplicate his peak dominance is a tough sell. Without Braden Smith anchoring the right side, and with Daniel Jones coming off a torn Achilles and broken leg, defenses won't have to respect the QB run threat nearly as much, allowing them to stack the box to slow Taylor down.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Taylor is still a premier talent who commands high-volume touches, but the downgrade in offensive line play and loss of QB rushing threat caps his overall efficiency and elite upside.
The Passing Attack: Air Coryell Concepts, Target Share Shakeups & QB Health
Despite Steichen and Cooter calling this a "West Coast-based" offense, don't be fooled: this is pure Air Coryell. The scheme relies heavily on shotgun 3x1 spread formations to overload match-zone coverages on the trips side while isolating an "X" receiver on the other. They use RPOs at a massive rate, but most of these are designed passing plays meant to freeze linebackers and give vertical routes time to develop downfield.
- The Tight End Security Blanket: Tyler Warren is set up to be the safest, most consistent weapon in this passing attack. The dynamic move tight end will serve as Jones' primary safety valve and finish in the top tier of fantasy tight ends.
- Slot Volume Sleeper: With Michael Pittman gone, Josh Downs moves up the depth chart to soak up high-volume targets out of the slot in these 3x1 setups. His ADP remains super late due to burned fantasy managers, making him a supreme bounce-back value.
- Deep Threat Questions: Alec Pierce earned a $118 million extension after thriving on vertical routes (18.7 yards per reception), but losing Pittman, the "X1" receiver who drew primary coverage, means defenses can now roll coverage toward Pierce. Add in his offseason foot surgery, and he carries significant risk at his current draft cost.
- Quarterback & WR Outlook: Daniel Jones' fantasy ceiling is severely capped. Coming off a right Achilles tear (his push-off leg) alongside his extensive injury history and depleted pass protection, Jones is a massive risk. Without an established alpha receiver to draw coverage away from Pierce, this passing attack will be volatile week-to-week.
The Indianapolis Colts possess a high-ceiling scheme under Shane Steichen, but severe injury red flags surrounding Daniel Jones and an unreinforced offensive line leave the overall floor frighteningly low. Target Tyler Warren and Josh Downs for their safe target floors, but proceed with caution on high-cost draft assets in this re-tooling offense.
Best Fits for This Offense: Jonathan Taylor, Daniel Jones, Tyler Warren
Worst Fits for This Offense: Anthony Richardson, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
Colts Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive System: 4-3, some multi-front
- Base Secondary Coverage: Mix of Match zone & Press-Man Coverage
Let’s talk about coordinator Lou Anarumo’s defense in Indianapolis. Anarumo brings a little bit of that Bill Belichick bloodline to the table: he varies his setups based on the weekly matchup and game script, selling out completely to take away the opposition’s primary offensive weapon. We always need to be on high alert when our fantasy stars face an Anarumo-led unit, but let's break down how this defense actually operates from the line of scrimmage on back.
The Defensive Front: Gap-Plugging Power & Pass Rush Struggles
Anarumo’s scheme relies on disguising pressure. He demands versatility from his defensive linemen, frequently asking them to drop into coverage or stunt across gaps so opposing QBs and offensive lines are constantly guessing where the third or fourth rusher is coming from.
Anarumo hates to blitz because it compromises his middle zones and two-deep safety shell. However, he was forced to bring extra blitzers last year because the front four simply couldn't collapse the pocket consistently on their own. Former #15 overall pick Laiatu Latu led the team with just 8.5 sacks—they need a massive leap from him moving forward.
The powerhouse interior tandem of Grover Stewart and DeForest Buckner occupies four offensive gaps by themselves, freeing up the edge rushers for one-on-one blocking matchups. The catch? Neither Buckner nor Stewart has managed to play more than 12 games in any of their three seasons together in Indy.
When Stewart and Buckner are healthy, the Colts are a brick wall against conventional ground games. But the moment either interior anchor sits, this defense turns into a total sieve.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Treat pure, non-pass-catching running backs as risky fantasy starts against a healthy Colts front. However, if Stewart or Buckner are ruled out, fire up your opposing RBs with supreme confidence.
Secondary & Coverage Report: Lockdown Corners & IDP Value
Lou Anarumo spent 24 years as a defensive backs coach before becoming a coordinator, developing stars like Landon Collins, Xavien Howard, and Chidobe Awuzie. His secondary is the true engine of this defense, and management invested heavily to give him elite tools—signing Charvarius Ward in free agency before trading a first-round pick for Sauce Gardner.
Ideal execution in this system means playing physical press coverage on the outside to buy the pass rush time to get home. Daring QBs to throw into Gardner and Ward creates a complete no-fly zone on the perimeter.
Safeties are deployed dynamically, either rolling into the box for run support or dropping high to eliminate deep shots. With Nick Cross departing in free agency, third-round rookie safety A.J. Haulcy out of LSU steps into a prime role with immediate 100+ tackle potential.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Avoid starting perimeter wide receivers against the Sauce Gardner/Charvarius Ward tandem. Opposing game plans will consistently force target volume inside to slot receivers and tight ends. For IDP managers, rookie safety A.J. Haulcy is a priority dynasty target who steps right into high-volume tackle production.
Lou Anarumo’s unit is built to frustrate opposing playmakers by locking down the outside with Sauce Gardner and Charvarius Ward while stuffing the run inside. While their lack of a consistent four-man pass rush caps their overall team DST upside, they remain a matchup-specific nightmare for perimeter receivers and traditional early-down running backs. Stream your slot receivers and tight ends against Indy, and lock in A.J. Haulcy as an elite rookie IDP target.
| Colts Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 29.8% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 9 |
| Zone % | 67.1% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 25 |
Best Fits for This Defense: DeForest Buckner, Grover Stewart, Charvarius Ward
Worst Fits for This Defense: Akeem Davis-Gaither, Justin Walley
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Head Coach: Liam Coen (Offensive Play Caller)
- Offensive Coordinator: Grant Udinski
- Defensive Coordinator: Anthony Campanile (Defensive Play Caller)
- Offensive System: West Coast Offense – Relies upon short, high-percentage pass plays instead of power rushing. The short passes set up outside runs and deep passes in hopes of surprising the defense. There is a high volume of plays in a West Coast system.
Jaguars Offensive Breakdown
Welcome to the new-look Jacksonville Jaguars offense under head coach Liam Coen. Coen is running a throwback version of Sean McVay’s offense, meaning lots of 11-personnel groupings, pre-snap motion, play-action fakes, and frequent targets to running backs out of the backfield. Unlike McVay’s current Rams, Jacksonville continues to spread the field vertically while utilizing tight, condensed formations to bunch receivers near the line. This setup creates "natural" pick plays on crossing routes to shred press-man coverage. Let's dive into how this impacts your 2026 fantasy football drafts.
| Jaguars Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Inside Zone | 29.1% |
| Power/Gap | 24.9% |
| Outside Zone | 24.8% |
| Pin & Pull | 13.4% |
| Wide Zone | 9.6% |
| Colts Personnel Package - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 70.2% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 21.9% |
| 2-1 (2RB) | 3.6% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 2.9% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 1.3% |
| 0-1 (4WR) | 0.1% |
| 2-2 (2TE) | 0.0% |
| 2-0 (3WR) | 0.0% |
| 2-3 (0WR) | 0.0% |
Ground Game: High-Leverage Buying Opportunities
Liam Coen has always made life easy on his quarterbacks by anchoring his system with a dominant, high-volume ground game. Last season, Travis Etienne posted top-12 production as the RB10 in fantasy. With Etienne departing in free agency, a massive share of high-value touches is up for grabs in Jacksonville, creating one of the absolute best buy-low backfield investments in fantasy football this season.
- The Breakout Lead Back: Bhayshul Tuten ascends into the primary "Etienne role" as the main ball carrier. Tuten possesses high-end speed and lateral agility suited for outside zone runs. If he can eliminate his fumbling issues, he has immense RB2 potential.
- The Power & Short-Yardage Threat: Chris Rodriguez steps in as the primary inside-zone and man/gap power option for short-yardage and goal-line work. Coen coached Rodriguez during his monster 2021 season at Kentucky, meaning the comfort level is extremely high. Rodriguez could also be called upon to put games on ice late in the fourth quarter.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Both Tuten and Rodriguez carry tremendous value relative to their current ADPs. However, given Tuten’s ball-security concerns and Rodriguez’s goal-line vulture potential, draft managers investing in Tuten should strongly consider handcuffing him with Rodriguez.
Passing Attack: Rhythm, Timing & Slot Dominance
The backbone of Coen’s passing game is strict rhythm and timing between Trevor Lawrence and his route runners. When Lawrence's drop-backs match his receivers' route breaks, as they did late in 2025, this offense is nearly impossible to stop. However, when that timing element is off, this passing game can turn into complete dogshit. Because the offense attacks the intermediate (10-19 yard) area over the middle of the field, target distribution is becoming much clearer now that Travis Hunter is focusing primarily on defense.
- The Primary Slot Targets: Jakobi Meyers and Parker Washington are the quick-hitting receivers Lawrence relies on to keep the chains moving. Meyers projects as the leading target monster in this passing game, with Washington right behind him in volume. Both offer high-floor PPR consistency.
- The Vertical Deep Threat: Brian Thomas operates as the boundary stretch receiver. While he will see plenty of single coverage and manufacture big-play, contested catches downfield, his week-to-week production will be far more volatile than that of Meyers or Washington.
- Quarterback Outlook: Trevor Lawrence enters year two in Coen’s system with a far better grasp of the timing and intermediate reads. Expect cleaner mechanics, more yards after the catch (YAC) for his wideouts, and a steady, high-end QB2 floor with weekly QB1 streamer potential.
The Jaguars' offense enters 2026 with clearly defined roles and a scheme built to generate easy fantasy points through play-action, intermediate crossing routes, and a run-heavy foundation. While Brian Thomas offers explosive vertical upside, Jakobi Meyers and Parker Washington stand out as the safest PPR volume bets in the passing game. Meanwhile, the backfield tandem of Bhayshul Tuten and Chris Rodriguez represents a goldmine of fantasy value. Just be sure to secure both to lock down this entire Jacksonville rushing attack.
Best Fits for This Offense: Trevor Lawrence, Bhayshul Tuten, Jakobi Meyers
Worst Fits for This Offense: Travis Hunter, Brenton Strange
Jaguars Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive Setup: 4-3/Multi-Front
- Base Secondary Coverage: 2-High Match Zone
Let’s turn our attention to the defensive side of the ball for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Coordinator Anthony Campanile’s defense had a massive turnaround in Year 1, transforming from a soft unit into an aggressive, fast-flying nightmare for opposing offenses. Campanile took pages right out of the Brian Flores, Vic Fangio, and Mike MacDonald playbooks—blending "all up" fronts with "vision zone" coverage to force turnovers at an elite rate. But as we look ahead to 2026, there are major schematic, personnel, and regression factors we need to weigh for our fantasy rosters.
The Defensive Front: "All-Up" Fronts & Run-Stuffing Dominance
Campanile runs an "attacking base" with four down linemen who are coached to explode off the ball and shed blocks with raw physicality rather than relying on passive gap-control techniques. The fourth rusher is constantly moved around the formation to disguise where the heat is coming from.
- Overloading the Line: After ranking 25th against the run two years ago, Jacksonville vaulted to the #1 run defense in the NFL last season with essentially the same personnel. They accomplished this by deploying "all up" fronts—overloading the line of scrimmage with six or seven men in the box to completely wreck an offense’s protection rules.
- Read Pop Stunts: The front line utilizes "read pop stunts," where defenders exchange gap responsibilities post-snap based on the running back's alignment and the strong-side tackle’s set. This scheme absolutely dismantles zone-blocking teams and heavy RPO offenses. In fact, Jacksonville didn't allow a single 100-yard rusher all year, capping every individual back under 74 yards.
- The Linebacker Hole: The biggest offseason loss is linebacker Devin Lloyd, who was a true jack-of-all-trades, filling run gaps and patrolling the underneath coverage. While Foyesade Oluokun shifts into the Middle (MIKE) linebacker role, the weak side remains a major unaddressed hole.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Do not attempt to run traditional, early-down fantasy running backs against this front four. However, with Lloyd gone, pass-catching running backs and move tight ends could see elevated target volume in the short-to-intermediate areas.
Secondary & Coverage Report: "Vision Zone" & Turnover Volatility
In the secondary, Campanile deploys a "vision zone"—his brand of a match-zone scheme that plays two-high safety looks close to the line of scrimmage. Instead of playing deep off-coverage to protect the end zone, Jacksonville's DBs attack the line of scrimmage, daring QBs to attempt low-percentage deep shots over the top.
- The "Look-In" Technique: Borrowed from Mike MacDonald’s system, Jaguars cover men constantly keep their eyes glued to the quarterback rather than the receiver. After finishing dead last in interceptions and takeaways two years ago, Jacksonville tied for the league lead in picks and ranked second in total takeaways last season.
- The Travis Hunter Factor: This coverage design dedicates one cornerback to lock up in man coverage based on pre-snap formations. That shutdown role is earmarked for superstar Travis Hunter once he fully recovers from his torn ACL.
- Regression Alert: Takeaway totals are notoriously volatile year-over-year. As opposing offensive coordinators adjust to Campanile’s Fangio/Flores blend and face a significantly tougher 2026 schedule, this secondary will be tested early and often.
- Fantasy Takeaway: While Hunter's return will eventually give them a lockdown corner, any delay in his recovery leaves Jacksonville vulnerable to giving up massive passing yardage. Stream quarterbacks and perimeter wide receivers against this unit with confidence if the turnover luck dries up. In IDP formats, Foyesade Oluokun remains an elite, top-tier tackle machine at linebacker.
The Jaguars' defense was a smashing success in Year 1, establishing a physical identity up front and riding a tidal wave of takeaways. However, expecting them to repeat as the league's top run defense and takeaway factory in 2026 is a dangerous bet. The loss of Devin Lloyd and potential regression in turnover luck make the Jaguars DST a volatile option, though Foyesade Oluokun remains a rock-solid IDP anchor.
| Jaguars Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 19.8% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 29 |
| Zone % | 79.4% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 4 |
Best Fits for This Defense: Foyesade Oluokun, Josh Hines-Allen, Travis Hunter
Worst Fits for This Defense: Ventrell Miller, Travon Walker
Tennessee Titans
- Head Coach: Robert Saleh (Defensive Play Caller)
- Offensive Coordinator: Brian Daboll (Offensive Play Caller)
- Defensive Coordinator: Gus Bradley
- Offensive System: Erhardt-Perkins Offense – A run-first system that utilizes play action to create big plays down the field.
Titans Offensive Breakdown
Head coach Robert Saleh is taking over in Nashville to run the defense, but he made a brilliant move by handing the keys to the offense to proven quarterback whisperer Brian Daboll. Saleh deliberately bypassed the oversaturated Shanahan tree to bring in Daboll’s unique, high-octane spread system—a scheme designed to isolate coverage, freeze linebackers with RPOs, and make life infinitely easier on second-year signal-caller Cam Ward.
| Titans Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Power/Gap | 30.5% |
| Inside Zone | 29.9% |
| Outside Zone | 28.8% |
| Pin & Pull | 5.5% |
| Wide Zone | 5.1% |
| Colts Personnel Package - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 72.5% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 23.5% |
| 2-1 (2WR) | 2.5% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 1.3% |
| 2-0 (3WR) | 0.1% |
| 2-2 (1WR) | 0.0% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 0.0% |
| 0-2 (3WR) | 0.0% |
Ground Game: Scheme Fits & Backfield Value
Despite Daboll’s reputation as a passing guru, his offense remains a run-first system at its core. New offensive line coach Carmen Bricillo brings a mix of zone and man/gap blocking schemes to town. However, because this offensive line currently favors zone concepts, the ground attack will feature a distinct split in skill sets that fantasy managers need to monitor closely.
- The Zone Starter: Tony Pollard enters the season as the starting running back. Pollard is a significantly better zone runner, making him the initial beneficiary of Tennessee's early-season blocking scheme as Bricillo looks to spring him out wide.
- The Power Specialist: Keep a close eye on rookie Nicholas Singleton. Singleton is a man/gap specialist who possesses the physical tools to dominate if the offensive line struggles with zone movement and shifts toward heavier gap schemes.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Pollard offers immediate flex value as the early-season starter, but Singleton is a premier late-round stash. If Bricillo pivots to more man/gap concepts, Singleton could carve out a massive, league-winning niche that drastically outperforms his draft cost.
Passing Attack: RPOs, Short Hitters & Vertical Shots
Daboll’s passing attack spreads the field horizontally with three- and four-wide receiver sets, utilizing pre-snap motion to give Cam Ward clean, pre-snap coverage reads. The system relies heavily on short, high-percentage routes moving directly into the quarterback’s eyeline, typically through drags, crossers, and screens, to build rhythm before taking shots downfield.
- The Underneath Slot Monster: Wan'Dale Robinson was handed a massive four-year, $78 million contract this offseason after thriving in this exact system in New York. Robinson and a healthy Calvin Ridley give Ward two elite, quick-twitch options to command target volume underneath.
- The Vertical Stretch Threat: Rookie Carnell Tate steps directly into the boundary role as the offense's primary deep threat, tasked with stretching safeties and winning contested vertical balls.
- Quarterback & WR Outlook: Cam Ward showed massive growth over the final month of his rookie season, and pairing him with Daboll gives him breakout potential. Robinson and Ridley offer incredibly safe PPR target floors, while Tate brings explosive best-ball upside. If Ward takes the sophomore leap we expect, this entire passing game will produce incredible fantasy return at current draft costs.
The Tennessee Titans enter 2026 with all the ingredients for a surprise fantasy goldmine. With Brian Daboll putting Cam Ward in optimal position to succeed alongside dynamic pass-catchers like Wan'Dale Robinson and Carnell Tate, this offense is loaded with value. Prioritize Ward and his wideouts as late-round draft targets, and draft Nicholas Singleton as a high-upside backfield sleeper.
Best Fits for This Offense: Wan'Dale Robinson, Carnell Tate
Worst Fits for This Offense: Tyjae Spears, Chimere Dike
Titans Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive Front Setup: 4-3 base with multiple front setups
- Base Secondary Coverage: Cover-3 & Cover-4 Quarters
While Gus Bradley carries the defensive coordinator title in Tennessee, make no mistake: this is pure Robert Saleh. Saleh will be calling the plays, bringing his high-flying, aggressive blueprint to Nashville. This scheme relies on a 4-3 front paired with a heavy Cover-3 zone shell, expecting the defensive line to generate heat while safeties keep receivers pinned underneath. But with major scheme quirks and a roster mid-rebuild, we’ve got plenty of fantasy landmines and IDP opportunities to dissect.
The Defensive Front: The Wide-Nine Flaw & Heavy Rotation
Saleh insists on keeping his pass rushers fresh by rotating them constantly. He made it a point to load up on edge talent, bringing in John Franklin-Myers, Jermaine Johnson, and trading back into the first round to grab Auburn edge-rusher Keldric Faulk.
- Pass Rush Rotation: Jermaine Johnson (who made a Pro Bowl under Saleh in New York) and rookie Keldric Faulk form an exciting, physical pass-rushing group alongside Franklin-Myers. However, because Saleh insists on a deep, continuous rotation, these guys see limited snap counts—which caps their individual fantasy DST and sack consistency.
- The Wide-Nine Nightmare: Saleh’s insistence on using the "wide-nine" alignment sets edge rushers outside the offensive tackles' shoulders to create a direct path to the QB. The problem? Smart offenses gash wide-nine setups in the run game by hammering inside zone and duo runs right down the middle. Facing Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Ashton Jeanty, and Jonathan Taylor twice this season makes this run defense extremely vulnerable in 2026.
- The Lone Anchor: Star defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons faces tremendous pressure to plug multiple gaps solo. As elite as Simmons is, he simply lacks enough interior help right now to erase the wide-nine's built-in weakness.
Secondary & Coverage Report: Match-Zone & IDP Goldmine
Unlike teams that drop six or seven into coverage, Saleh’s unique match-zone variation drops only five defensive backs into coverage while showing one look pre-snap and rotating post-snap.
- The Safety Burden: Saleh often runs Cover-3 with a "weak rotation," dropping a safety opposite the tight end to make a play on underneath routes. They will also mix in Cover-6 looks (splitting the field into Quarter-Quarter-Half). Because so much responsibility falls on the safeties in both run support and coverage, this remains a current area of deficiency for Tennessee.
- Cornerback Liabilities: Outside corners Alontae Taylor and Cor'Dale Flott function more like hybrid chess pieces/safeties than true lockdown perimeter cover guys. Expect pure, elite route runners to scorch this secondary throughout the season.
- Linebacker IDP Priority: Linebackers must be versatile communicators who can rush the passer, drop into coverage on tight ends, and patrol the flats. Second-round rookie Anthony Hill Jr. out of Texas is stepping right into the middle of this defense.
- Fantasy & IDP Takeaway
- Opposing RBs & WRs: Fire up opposing running backs, especially physical, interior power runners who can exploit the wide-nine alignment with absolute confidence. Top-tier perimeter receivers also match up favorably against Taylor and Flott.
- IDP Priority: Anthony Hill Jr. is a tackle machine with speed to spare who is slated to wear the green communication dot from day one. He is an absolute smash target and a priority draft pick in dynasty rookie IDP formats.
Robert Saleh’s defensive scheme brings plenty of schematic flavor, but structural flaws like the wide-nine front and a heavy pass-rush rotation limit Tennessee’s appeal as a top-tier fantasy DST. Opposing offenses will run at will up the middle and pick apart the secondary, making Titans opponents prime fantasy plays. However, for IDP managers, rookie linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. stands out as a high-volume tackle factory you need to target immediately.
| Titans Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 21.5% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 22 |
| Zone % | 77.7% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 10 |
Best Fits for This Defense: Jeffery Simmons, Anthony Hill, Keldric Faulk
Worst Fits for This Defense: Cedric Gray, Cor'Dale Flott
