NFL DFS Week 11 D/ST Coach: Texans, Ravens, Chiefs
Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season delivers a hefty 11-game slate with only two teams on Bye (the Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints). The Cincinnati Bengals and Tennessee Titans return to the NFL Sunday main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel, so those are obvious defenses we want to attack with our offensive stacks.
We also have the final Sunday morning NFL game in Europe, and it’ll be awfully hard to top last week’s matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and Indianapolis Colts. We’ll see what the Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins have in store for us before we dominate the main slate with some help from the NFL DFS Week 11 D/ST Coach!
NFL DFS Week 11 D/ST Coach for FanDuel & DraftKings Fantasy
We had some high points last week as the Play of the Week, the Houston Texans, returned 14 fantasy points, but they did score a touchdown as the game ended to give us an extra eight fantasy points because that was looking like a disappointing six-point effort on DraftKings prior to the last play. With the Texans lining up against the Tennessee Titans this Sunday, we’re going right back to the well with this D/ST in Week 11.
The Seattle Seahawks were a top-tier recommendation, and they returned 21 fantasy points on DraftKings with two early scoop & scores courtesy of DeMarcus Lawrence. But the biggest whiff was fading the New York Jets D/ST. When I speak of variance at this position, last week’s Jets score comes to mind. They had two special teams touchdowns against the Cleveland Browns, and yet they still gave up 20 points. Alas, they were still able to return a nice score on DraftKings.
NFL Week 11 Defense/Special Teams
Week 11 delivers an 11-game main slate with some moderate-to-high totals. Only three games on the main slate feature game totals at or below 42.5 points. Here’s another fun part of this week’s main slate. Eight of the games on the Sunday main slate are divisional matchups, and those bouts are especially hard to project. Those games carry a little extra weight at this point in the season as teams jockey for playoff position and/or a shot to play spoiler in the division. Let’s dig into the latest NFL DFS Week 11 D/ST Coach with the top defenses and special teams for Sunday’s action!
NFL DFS D/ST Top Tier Pick for Week 11
Baltimore Ravens – DraftKings: $3,800 | FanDuel: $4,500
I’m still not completely sold on the Ravens D/ST. However, in three games since the team’s Bye week, they’ve given up a total of just 41 points to the likes of the Chicago Bears, Miami Dolphins, and Minnesota Vikings. So to their credit, they’re playing well, and I don’t want to discount what they’ve done. And my only real concern with this recommendation is that the Ravens are about to play their third straight road game.
But that road game comes against the Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are sizable favorites (-8.5 as of Wednesday afternoon), and the Browns have an implied team total of 15.5 points. According to Sam Hoppen, Dillon Gabriel ranks 30th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/Play (-0.18), but he’s dead last in success rate (33.3%), completion percentage over expected (-8.1%), average depth of target (5.9), and he’s 30th in turnover-worthy play rate (4.6%). When a quarterback is this prone to mistakes, that’s music to our ears because the Ravens aren’t incredibly active with their pass rush.
So it certainly feels like a safe matchup to capitalize on the momentum of the Baltimore Ravens. If you can afford them, they’re a good correlation play with either Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry.
NFL DFS D/ST Mid-Tier Pick for Week 11
Kansas City Chiefs – DraftKings: $3,100 | FanDuel: $4,300
This is more of a GPP play than it is a cash game play because there are obvious teams like the Texans and Ravens in really good spots to get 8-to-10 points, although they’re costly. The Chiefs D/ST truly intrigues me because I’m not sure they’ll carry a ton of ownership.
It’s not the easiest matchup to go on the road and play the Denver Broncos in Mile High. But the Broncos, even with their seven-game winning streak, have looked relatively flawed. Even to kick off Week 10 on Thursday Night Football, they could only register a 10-7 win over the Las Vegas Raiders.
Bo Nix has had his share of struggles in his sophomore season. He’s 18th among qualified quarterbacks in EPA/Play (0.08), 28th in success rate (41.8%), and he’s 25th in completion percentage over expected (-3.1%). Nix is completing just over 60% of his pass attempts, and he’s thrown four interceptions in his last four games. He just hasn’t done much in matchups where he wasn’t playing the Cincinnati Bengals or the Dallas Cowboys. He did play very well in his starts against the Chiefs in 2024. But remember, one of those came in Week 18, where the Broncos needed a win while the Chiefs were resting their starters for the playoffs. So naturally, Nix threw for 321 yards, four touchdowns, and rushed for 47 yards against a bunch of backups.
I’m expecting the winning streak to come to an end this week. With a lot of chalk at the D/ST position for this slate, I’m fine getting different for my tournament lineups and utilizing the Chiefs D/ST to fraud check the Broncos quarterback.
NFL Week 11 DFS D/ST Value Picks
Seattle Seahawks – DraftKings: $2,600 | FanDuel: $4,100
I’m a believer in the Seahawks defense. I genuinely think they’re good, and I’m excited to see what they can do when they’re at full strength. We were on this D/ST in Week 10, and they exploded to the tune of 21 fantasy points with two early fumble recoveries that turned into touchdowns by DeMarcus Lawrence.
Sometimes you just have to put your faith in a D/ST and play them at value even against good offenses. There’s really no hole I can poke in the Los Angeles Rams offense. Matthew Stafford is playing at a high level, and they can put up points on anybody.
But I can’t just completely disregard Seattle because of the matchup. Over their last six games, they have 26 total sacks, and they have four total D/ST touchdowns on the year. This is definitely a GPP-only kind of play, but there’s upside, and they have just one performance all year with less than eight fantasy points on DraftKings.
Cleveland Browns – DraftKings: $2,400 | FanDuel: $4,000
It’s not pretty, and the Browns are big underdogs in this matchup. But this is still a division matchup, and it’s an opportunity for the Browns defense to play early spoiler, even if it is only Week 11. The Browns can generate pressure and get sacks. It certainly helps when you have a player like Myles Garrett getting into the backfield and attacking the opposing team’s quarterback.
We’re not looking for a spike game here. If the variance is in their favor, then that’s great. But if they can muster six or seven points at this price tag on DraftKings, then we take it and pay up elsewhere. The Ravens offense scored 35 points on this defense in Week 2, but they only had 242 total yards of offense. But in that matchup, the Ravens had three possessions where they scored touchdowns, where the drive started inside Cleveland’s 40-yard line. That kind of advantageous field position is a bit fluky, so at this cheap price tag, I think the Browns get positive regression against Baltimore in Week 11.
Atlanta Falcons – FanDuel: $3,300
The Falcons are very pricey on DraftKings, and they still give up points at an alarming rate. For FanDuel’s main slate, they’re the fifth-cheapest D/ST available to us, and that’s a tremendous value. The Falcons have a great pass rush, and that’s resulted in 13 and four takeaways in their last two games.
However, in that span, they’ve still given up 55 points and 850 total yards of offense. As good as they can be, they still give up production and can’t dominate for a full 60 minutes.
Most will likely avoid the Falcons, especially on DraftKings, because of how the first meeting played out against the Carolina Panthers, where the Falcons were routed 30-0. But this game will be at home, and the Dirty Birds can rebound with their elite pass rush against Bryce Young and Co.
NFL DFS D/ST Fade for Week 11
Green Bay Packers – DraftKings: $3,600 | FanDuel: $5,000
I normally love me some exposure to the Green Bay Packers. However, this week I have some concerns. As Sam Hoppen pointed out Tuesday evening, despite the Packers generating pressure at the 6th-highest rate in the NFL (34.8%), they are blitzing at the 6th-lowest rate as well (18.7%).
With the blitz, the Packers are posting the 6th-best defensive EPA/Pass (-0.18), but without the blitz, they’re outside the top 20 (0.03). And even with the presence of Micah Parsons, the Packers have only returned double-digit fantasy points just once this season, and that was way back in Week 1 against the Detroit Lions. For whatever reason, the Packers are strangely conservative on both sides of the ball. Which is strange because over their last two games, they’ve given up just 26 total points, with just one sack and two defensive takeaways. And yet they’ve dropped both games.
Now they visit the New York Giants in Week 11. As of Wednesday morning, the Giants announced that Jameis Winston would be starting over Russell Wilson while Jaxson Dart is out with a concussion. This is intriguing for the Giants' offense, and we sometimes see teams rally and play at a different level following a head coaching change. For all these reasons, I’m going to go the conservative route and avoid the Packers for Week 11.
NFL DFS Week 11 D/ST Play of the Week
Houston Texans – DraftKings: $3,700 | FanDuel: $4,800
The Texans were the Play of the Week in Week 10, and they returned 14 fantasy points on DraftKings. However, I’m man enough not to take a victory lap there. I am well aware they logged a fluky D/ST touchdown as time expired to get them an additional eight fantasy points. I’m happy with the result, but we got a bit lucky there. But luck is a part of leaning into variance at this position for our NFL DFS D/ST picks.
The Texans are gifted a layup matchup this week against the Tennessee Titans in Nashville. The Titans are coming off their Bye week, but the Texans blitz and generate pressure at a decent rate. Moreover, they have a dozen takeaways in their last five games, and the Titans have allowed Cam Ward to be sacked about 4.5 times per game, and he has 11 total turnovers on the season.
It seems like whenever I’m high on the Texans, they do give up a good amount of points. But when these two teams met back in Week 4, the Texans were able to return 14 fantasy points, so this is definitely a spot we want to continue targeting the Titans offense. As of Tuesday night, the Texans were favored by 7.5 points, and the Titans have an implied team total of just 16 points.
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