NFL Week 18 DFS is officially underway with it's Saturday two-game slate underway and that means we are ready to turn our full attention to the Sunday main slate which is stacked with 13 games; 14 if you're playing on FanDuel apparently as they have decided to include the Green Bay Packers/Detroit Lions game on their main slate as well, but I'll complain about that at another time. For now, it's just about DFS and by now you should have read through the NFL Week 18 DFS Playbook for Sunday. If not, you probably should as I've explained to everyone about how I really want to build my GPP lineups this week. If you refuse to click back, I'll sum it up real quick – I will be building high-floor, zero-fat cash lineups and using them for GPP tournaments this week.
You may think the strategy odd, but I honestly feel like it's the best way to cash in tournaments this week because so many people are going to be throwing a ton of random darts around. With some teams resting starters and some teams not really having much to play for other than pride, we're going to see a lot of random names in the box scores. But from a lineup standpoint, if you aren't a max-entry person or even someone who likes to build multiple lineups, how are you going to handle those random bargains people will be using? It becomes a guessing game for most and, while you hate to say it, you know you're likely to see one of those randoms in a top-scoring lineup and you'll all be wondering how the heck they knew to play that guy. Truth is, they didn't. Their lineup optimizer gave them the name for a punt-play and they used it.
Nevertheless, everyone wants their DFS bargain picks and I've got a few names to consider when building those GPP tournament lineups.
Welcome to the DFS Dart Board for NFL Week 18!
If you're new to Fantasy Alarm, the DFS Dart Board is an add-on to the Playbook that I started a few years ago. It came about when I was building GPP lineups and realized I needed more salary relief. As I dug through my notes to see who stood out the most among those players at a more affordable price, it hit me. When I put players in the Playbook, I am thinking primarily about cash lineup plays -- guys with a high floor who I could conceivably put into my core-group and build a lineup around. After those players, I would mix in a handful of guys who had boatloads of upside and were in soft match-ups, but I wasn’t paying as much attention to their salary as I should have. And that's where the Dart Board came into play.
Every now and then, when building lineups while using particular stacks, you need some salary relief. You need a guy who may not be minimally priced, but low enough to give you the flexibility you need to get someone like Justin Jefferson or Travis Kelce in as a flex play or something. Occasionally you may see a min-priced QB or TE in here, but more often than not, this space is reserved for running backs and wide receivers who are below $6,000 on FanDuel or $5,000 or lower on DraftKings.
Now while we call this a Dart Board, keep in mind that every player has been carefully researched. We're not up here picking players all willy-nilly, desperately hoping they hit. We're looking for the cheapest bargains possible who still have the strongest potential to give you at least a 3-5x return on what you pay.
All set? Great. Let's get to it and while you do, maybe give a listen to this week's NFL DFS Podcast with me & Jon Impemba