Week 10 of the NFL season is almost complete, but we still have one more game to go tonight, with the Buffalo Bills hosting the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football. If you checked out yesterday’s article, then you already know we have a new partner here at Fantasy Alarm. We’ve joined forces with our friends at Sleeper to introduce their Sleeper Picks feature.
With Sleeper Picks, you can choose from a variety of players and stat lines, choose whether that player will have more or less than the given stat, and combine your picks for a chance to increase your payout. If you build enough, you can even multiply your entry up to 100x! We went two of three yesterday, and if Tony Pollard had managed to make it just another yard on a couple of different drives, we would have hit the trifecta. Alas, it is what it is, so let’s bounce back tonight on Monday Night Football.
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New to Sleeper Picks? Right now new users who sign up will get a 100% deposit match up to $100 when they use code VAULT3. You must take advantage of this offer on your mobile device so you can download the Sleeper App and participate in their Picks contests.
NFL Sleeper Top Picks & Plays for Monday Night Football
Since Javonte Williams came back from injury in Week 6, it’s clear that this is his backfield to keep. Even in working him back in Week 6 against the Kansas City Chiefs, he carried the ball ten times for 52 yards, and in the next two contests, he put up 82 yards on 15 carries and 85 on 27 carries. In that game, he played a 63% snap share and carried the ball on over 70% of the Broncos run plays, so he should be heavily involved in an important game in primetime. The Buffalo Bills aren’t what they were on defense after suffering a litany of injuries, and this has especially affected their run defense, which is now allowing the third-most rushing yards per attempt (4.9), and with Williams’ snap share, he should easily be able to hit this mark.
Pick: Javonte Williams more than 54.5 rushing yards (1.76x)
Passing touchdowns can be a fickle stat to play around with, but few have been as consistent as Josh Allen. He’s hit this mark in six of the nine games he’s played so far this season, and tonight he has a great matchup against a Denver Broncos defense that has allowed an average of two passing touchdowns in each game. What really has me on that stat is just how good Josh Allen has been in primetime. On Monday Night Football, Allen is averaging 2.78 passing touchdowns per game, and against this Broncos pass defense that allows the most pass yards per attempt, the seventh-most pass yards per game, Allen is going to easily move this ball downfield. If the multiplier is any indicator, tonight is not the night to doubt Josh Allen.
Pick: Josh Allen more than 1.5 passing TDs (1.4x)
Even before Dawson Knox went on injured reserve, Dalton Kincaid was showing some spark as one of the best receiving tight ends in the league. Over the past three weeks, Kincaid has finished with an average of 73.67 receiving yards, and he’s had more than the current mark in all three. He’s also seen 26 targets in that span, catching 23 of them for an average catch rate of 88.5% and an average of 10.16 yards per reception. If the math maths, that sets Kincaid up for over 7.5 receptions for just under 79 yards tonight. The Denver Broncos also rank 26th in DVOA against the tight end and have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to the tight end, so expect Kincaid to have another big game.
Pick: Dalton Kincaid more than 52.5 receiving yards(1.76x)
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