Victor Wembanyama Underdog NBA Picks Today, 5/18: Basketball Projections + More
The 2026 Western Conference Finals kick off tonight in Oklahoma City, and the Underdog NBA Picks board is centered around the two MVP candidates leading their respective franchises. With Game 1 jitters often playing a role, we are looking at the foundational stats that travel regardless of shooting rhythm.
Victor Wembanyama NBA Underdog Pick: Higher Than 12.5 Rebounds
Victor Wembanyama has been a double-double machine this postseason, and his rebounding has reached a new level of consistency. He has cleared 12.5 rebounds in four of his last five games, including a 17-rebound masterclass to close out the last round. Given the Thunder’s tendency to play small, Wembanyama should have a significant height advantage on both ends of the glass. Our Underdog NBA Picks favor the "Higher" as he anchors the Spurs' defensive efforts tonight.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander NBA Underdog Pick: Lower Than 30.5 Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains the heartbeat of the Thunder, but 31 points is a massive ask against a San Antonio defense that ranks first in the playoffs in opponent field goal percentage at the rim. The Spurs will likely utilize a "gap" defense to prevent SGA from living at the charity stripe. These Underdog NBA Picks lean toward the "Lower" as Shai likely takes on a heavier playmaking role, specifically focusing on distribution while the scoring remains balanced across the Thunder roster.
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