Breaking down our top Underdog NBA picks for December 11, focusing on ceiling plays in premium matchups. We're targeting Derrick White's scoring upside and Steven Adams' rebounding reliability, both backed by defensive mismatches and recent trends. These projections emphasize high-scoring environments and per-minute impacts for maximum value.

Underdog NBA Picks: December 11th; NBA DFS Projections

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Derrick White NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 18.5 Points

 White's season average of 16.0 points per game might make this line seem a touch high, but against the Bucks, we're betting on a ceiling performance in a ladder-style prop. Milwaukee's point-of-attack defense has been porous, allowing 26.3 points per game to opposing point guards, one of the worst marks in the league. White, whether running the offense or spotting up off-ball, will exploit matchups against guards who can't fight through screens effectively.Add in the game's projected pace: The Bucks are giving up 118.0 points per game with a defensive rating ranked 21st, setting up a high-scoring shootout. White's trend supports this. He's topped 20+ points in three of his last four games with 30+ minutes against bottom-10 defenses.

 

 

Steven Adams NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Rebounds

Sengun's expected return from illness adds a layer of uncertainty, but it doesn't deter us from this Adams rebound line. He thrives on efficiency, not volume minutes. Posting 9.2 rebounds per game in only 21.8 minutes, Adams is elite on a per-minute basis, positioning 8 rebounds as a realistic median even off the bench.The Clippers' rebounding woes make this matchup ideal, as they're ranked 26th league-wide at 41.2 rebounds per game and lack depth in size outside of Ivica Zubac. Adams' physical style will overwhelm their frontcourt. In terms of script, any limitations on Sengun mean more run for Adams. Otherwise, he dominates the second unit on the offensive boards.

 

 

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