For the Underdog slate on Monday, December 1st, we are focusing on two high-scoring forwards who are primed for massive offensive outputs against favorable defenses. Both picks center around players with elevated usage rates who are in ideal positions to exceed their scoring projections due to team dependencies and opponent weaknesses. Pairing these two "Overs" creates a high-upside entry.

Underdog NBA Picks: December 1st; NBA DFS Projections

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Michael Porter NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 22.5 Points

MPJ is positioned to dominate the scoring column for the Brooklyn Nets in their matchup against the Charlotte Hornets. MPJ is enjoying a career-best start to the 2025-26 season, averaging an elite 24.3 points per game while operating as the team’s top perimeter scoring threat. The Charlotte Hornets present an ideal target, as they currently rank last in the NBA in opponent three-point field goal percentage allowed. This defensive vulnerability is tailor-made for MPJ's high-volume three-point shooting and overall scoring aggression. Given his strong recent form, easily eclipsing 22.5 points against this specific matchup is a high-confidence prediction.

 

 

 

Collin Sexton NBA Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 13.5 Points

Our second high-confidence pick is for Hornets guard Collin Sexton to maintain his steady scoring output. Sexton’s average of 16.2 points per game this season already provides a significant buffer over the 13.5-point projection. His aggressive style of play is a perfect match against the Brooklyn Nets, who struggle to contain penetrating guards and defend with consistency. Sexton’s high volume of shots and efficiency in attacking the basket make him a near-lock to clear this modest total. Look for him to thrive in a contest that should be played at a relatively fast pace.

 

 

 

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