Welcome to our daily NBA picks breakdown for Sleeper Fantasy on December 11. We're honing in on two high-confidence plays that leverage favorable matchups and player trends: Jerami Grant's three-point prowess and Steven Adams' rebounding efficiency. These projections are built on recent stats, defensive weaknesses, and game scripts that set up for success. Let's dive into the details.

NBA Picks At Sleeper Fantasy Today, 12/11: Basketball Projections 

The 2025-26 NBA continues on Thursday, 12/11, and now is the perfect time to dive headfirst into the exciting realm of NBA DFS Sleeper Fantasy picks and fantasy basketball projections! 

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Jerami Grant Sleeper NBA Pick: Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made

Jerami Grant has shown some variance in his three-point shooting lately, averaging 2.7 makes over his last 10 games, but this matchup against the Pelicans is primed for a breakout from deep. New Orleans has one of the league's weakest perimeter defenses, allowing a staggering 15.4 made threes per game, which ranks them 29th in the NBA.The Pelicans particularly struggle against spacing forwards like Grant, conceding 3.0 made threes per game to power forwards, one of the highest rates in the league. Grant isn't holding back on volume either, averaging nearly 7.0 attempts per game in his recent stretch. Facing a defense that often collapses to protect the paint and leaves wing shooters open, we project Grant to see 8+ attempts tonight. At his season average of around 38% from beyond the arc, this line is well within reach and offers strong value on Sleeper.

 

 

Steven Adams Sleeper NBA Pick: Over 7.5 Rebounds

Adams remains a lock for this rebound prop. Adams doesn't require starter-level minutes to dominate the glass. He is an absolute efficiency beast, averaging 9.2 rebounds per game in just 21.8 minutes of action. That's arguably the best per-minute rebounding rate in the NBA, making 8 rebounds a median outcome even in a bench role.The Clippers exacerbate this opportunity, ranking as a bottom-five rebounding team at 26th in the league with only 41.2 rebounds per game. Beyond Ivica Zubac, they lack the size and physicality to match up effectively. Game script favors Adams here: If Sengun is limited or fatigued, Adams absorbs extra minutes. If not, he still crushes against the Clippers' second unit, which has no counter for his offensive glass presence.

 

 

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