MLB DFS Value Plays May 24: Top DraftKings and FanDuel Picks
Published: May 24, 2023
Updated: May 24, 2023
The main slates on FanDuel and DraftKings have plenty of top tier options from which to choose, but don’t fret about value guys, as I have uncovered quite a few below for your MLB DFS lineups. The main slate on each site features eight games, beginning at 7:05 pm EST, headlined by a game at Coors and strong winds at Wrigley Field. Bryce Miller is the highest-priced pitcher on both sites, with a tasty matchup against Oakland to boot. When constructing your daily fantasy baseball lineups this evening, I like paying up for pitching, as I found better value on the offensive side of the ball. Be sure to check out all of the tools we have here at Fantasy Alarm, including our MLB starting lineups, Vegas Odds, daily MLB projections, and more. Here are my favorite value plays for your MLB DFS lineups on FanDuel and DraftKings for Wednesday, May 24.
MLB DFS Value Pitchers
Marcus Stroman, SP Chicago Cubs (DraftKings: $8,600)
Stroman is a bit higher priced than I’d like to include, but the price point is very, very affordable over on DraftKings. He has a 2.79 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 26.7 percent strikeout rate at home this season, all of which are far better than his numbers on the road. The BvP numbers on the Mets side against Stroman are very, very subpar and heavy winds are blowing in tonight at Wrigley. Just go look at the line of this game, and that Over/Under is insanely low! His offense will have their hands full with Kodai Senga on the mound for New York, but Senga can run himself into issues at times, so maybe the Cubs can scratch across a few runs. Outside of Stroman’s recent shellacking against the Twins, he’s logged at least six innings in four of his last five starts, and he’s logged a quality start in all but one of his five starts at home this season. Lastly, over the last two weeks, the Mets’ offense has a 78 wRC+ on the road, and overall for the season, they have hit just .243 with a .696 OPS and 92 wRC+ on the road.
Ryan Weathers, SP San Diego Padres (DraftKings: $7,000 / FanDuel: $6,100)
I’ll start by saying this: The Washington offense has been better against southpaws than right-handed pitching this season, so on a site like FanDuel, I’m less inclined to use Weather as my lone starter. However, on DraftKings, he saves a ton of money as your second starter, and he has at least five innings pitched in each of his four starts this season. His overall upside is a bit capped, as he has a miniscule 5.32 K/9 through 23.2 IP this season, and if he can get through five innings, I really like his chance at a win going up against Trevor Wiliams. Facing the Dodgers in Los Angeles is never an easy feat, and that outing has inflated his numbers a bit. While the strikeouts are still very, very low, he posted a 2.81 ERA and 2.81 BB/9 in his other three starts this year while keeping the ball on the ground over 40 percent of the time. He’s the fifth-cheapest pitcher on DraftKings tonight, and it’s not an ideal matchup, but there is a pathway to 2x ROI.
MLB DFS Value Hitters
Bryan De La Cruz, OF Miami Marlins (DraftKings: $4,000 / FanDuel: $3,300)
These price points at first glance may not seem like a value, but given how De La Cruz has been playing and where he’ll be playing tonight, he’s very affordable on this eight-game main slate. De La Cruz has a .948 OPS and .408 wOBA against right-handed pitching in the month of May, and he’s 5-for-7 thus far in this series. He’s hitting .366 in the month of May and gets a great matchup against Karl Kauffman, a guy who allowed more hits to right-handed hitters than he recorded outs against! Even in the minors this season, right-handed hitters were having their way with him! Keep an eye on the weather, but De La Cruz will be at the forefront of any offensive fireworks put forth by the Marlins.
Justin Turner, 1B/3B Boston Red Sox (FanDuel: $3,000)
A price tag of $3,700 on DraftKings for Turner is very, very fair as well, but I love the $3,000 price tag on FanDuel, and the ability to put him at first or third base. I’ve cooled off on relying heavily on BvP numbers, but there are some instances where you must factor it in. Turner is 18-for-36 with three home runs in his career against Tyler Anderson. Turner has hit lefties at a .291 clip this year, and if we look specifically at the month of May, Turner is slashing .412/.524/.765 against lefties, and how can you not love that .353 ISO and 246 wRC+!? The veteran corner infielder hasn’t been as good on the road as he has been at Fenway Park this season, but Anderson has struggled at home this year, posting a 7.20 ERA, 173 WHIP, and 1.80 HR/9 across three home starts this season.
Rob Refsnyder, OF Boston Red Sox (DraftKings: $2,800 / FanDuel: $2,500)
Refsnyder against a left-hander is in play today, especially at these prices. In the team’s last 12 games against a left-handed starter, Refsnyder has been the guy in the three-hole 10 times, and he’s leadoff twice as well. I talked about it above with Turner, but Tyler Anderson has had his struggles at home this season, and right-handed hitters have tagged him for a .298/.364/.534 slash line. Refsnyder is hitting .435 in the month of May, and he has a .935 OPS and .415 wOBA against southpaws in 2023.
Jose Caballero, 2B Seattle Mariners (DraftKings: $2,600/ FanDuel: $2,400)
Caballero will likely continue to hit in the bottom-third of the order, but he could be an interesting bottom-of-the-order bat to bring things around in any Seattle stack tonight. In the team’s last five games against left-handed starters, he’s hit ninth three times, once in the eight-spot, and once at seventh. He’s been a regular for Seattle at the keystone position over the last week and a half, and the 26-year-old has done some really good things. In 24 games with the big league club this season, he’s hitting .276 with a .352 wOBA, two home runs, 11 runs scored and six stolen bases, not to mention eight walks across 58 at-bats and home runs in each of his last two contests. Albeit a small sample size, he’s posted a .923 OPS against lefties this year, and down at Triple-A in 2023, he had a .1.806 OPS in 10 at-bats against southpaws. He has second base eligibility on both sites, but you can also use him at shortstop on DraftKings, or third base on FanDuel.
Joey Meneses, 1B Washington Nationals (DraftKings: $3,000 / FanDuel: $2,800)
If you aren’t playing Ryan Weathers as your pitcher, or one of your pitchers, Meneses is a great value option at first base. Not only has he hit safely in 12 of his last 14 games, but he’s slashed .356/.387/.508 during that stretch. The Washington offense as a whole is better against lefties than right-handers, and Meneses in the month of May has slashed .333/.385/.458 with a 132 wRC+ against southpaws. Also, for what it’s worth, he has an .878 OPS and 141 wRC+ at home versus southpaws this season. Seeing as the Nationals have the seventh-highest wRC+ and third-best batting average against left-handed pitchers this season, Meneses could find himself in some lucrative opportunities tonight. Ryan Weathers has been solid for San Diego, so ultimately, it comes down to who you believe in more when constructing your lineups tonight.
Honorable Mention: Matt Carpenter, Teoscar Hernandez, Ryan Mountcastle (FanDuel), Riley Greene (FanDuel)