Welcome to Fantasy Alarm’s top MLB Underdog Pick'em plays for Wednesday, June 25, 2025! If you’re looking to crush your MLB player props and pick'em contests, we’ve got you covered with two strong selections for today’s action. Before we dive in, if you haven’t signed up at Underdog yet, head over to fantasyalarm.com/underdog and use the promo code ALARM at signup. You’ll get an instant deposit match up to $1,000 in bonus cash, plus a free pick to parlay with these recommendations. Let’s get into the plays!

 

 

 

MLB Underdog Picks: Wednesday, 6/25 - MLB Projections

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Trea Turner Underdog MLB Pick - Higher Than 0.5 Runs Scored

Our first play is Trea Turner, the dynamic leadoff hitter for the Philadelphia Phillies. We’re going higher than 0.5 runs scored for Turner tonight, and here’s why this is a slam-dunk pick. Turner boasts a stellar .355 on-base percentage against left-handed pitchers and has crossed the plate in 10 of his last 13 games. He’s facing Houston Astros’ lefty Colton Gordon, who has struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing a .388 weighted on-base average (wOBA). With Turner’s speed and ability to get on base, he’s a lock to score at least one run tonight. Take the higher on Trea Turner for 0.5 runs scored.

 

 

 

Drew Rasmussen Underdog MLB Pick - Lower Than 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed

Next up, we’re targeting Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Drew Rasmussen for lower than 2.5 earned runs allowed. Rasmussen has been lights-out, going under this mark in six of his last seven starts. 

Tonight, he faces the Kansas City Royals, a team that struggles mightily against right-handed pitching. The Royals rank fourth-worst in weighted on-base average (wOBA) and fourth-lowest in weighted runs created (wRC+), meaning they don’t score often. 

In fact, Kansas City hasn’t scored more than two runs in any of its last three games. Rasmussen should cruise through this matchup, keeping his earned runs well below 2.5. Lock in the lower here.

 

 

 

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