From today until the end of the Major League Baseball season, Saturday is for looking at the various streaks and trends across the MLB, as well as those fantasy baseball players with rising or falling stock. Who should be your priority waiver wire pickups? Who deserves some of your precious FAAB? Are there any potential fantasy baseball buy low trade candidates? As always, we’ll start by talking about some fantasy baseball risers and fallers, highlighted by Alex Kiriloff and Carlos Santana. The latter was sent to the Brewers at the MLB Trade Deadline, and he gets slight upgrades to his supporting cast and home park. On the other hand, Daulton Varsho and Mitch Keller are trending in the wrong direction. Lastly, we see Mickey Moniak, Nathaniel Lowe, and Michael Harris as the only players with an active hit streak at ten or more games. Let’s take a look at some of the notable hit streaks and current trends across Major League Baseball, as well as fantasy baseball risers and fallers.

1Luis Arraez.3801Luis Arraez.4281Shohei Ohtani.681
2Freddie Freeman.3292Juan Soto.4202Freddie Freeman.580
T2Ronald Acuna Jr..3293Ronald Acuna Jr..4123Matt Olson.573
4Bo Bichette.3174Freddie Freeman.4114Ronald Acuna Jr..569
5Yandy Diaz.3155LaMonte Wade Jr. Jr..3995J.D. Martinez.567
xBAxwOBAHard Hit%
1Ronald Acuna Jr..3461Aaron Judge.4801Aaron Judge62.9%
2Corey Seager.3332Ronald Acuna Jr..4522Matt Chapman59.5%
3Freddie Freeman.3253Corey Seager.4423Juan Soto58.2%
4Luis Arraez.3244Shohei Ohtani.4374Corey Seager57.7%
5Bo Bichette.3215Yordan Alvarez.4215Matt Olson57.5%
Hit Streaks
18Mickey Moniak761128314324.368/.400/.553
11Nathaniel Lowe3710152111011.405/.532/.649
10Michael Harris II343130127.382/.417/.559
9Jon Berti278150320.556/.586/.741
8Eloy Jimenez324131623.406/.441/.594
8Ryan Jeffers275111558.407/.515/.519
8Jazz Chisholm Jr.316114717.355/.394/.806

Fantasy Baseball Risers

Alex Kiriloff, Minnesota Twins

Kiriloff’s nagging wrist injury must be behind him, as we have seen a very, very good version of him this season. Through 68 games, he’s slashing .271/.360/.448 with eight home runs, 13 doubles, 23 runs scored, and 32 RBI. His expected statistics aren’t far off from his actual stats, and his 7.1 percent barrel rate will play. Since the All-Star break, Kiriloff is slashing .265/.315/.633 with four home runs, four doubles, seven runs scored, and 14 RBI, primarily serving as the three-hole hitter for the Twins. I’d love for him to cut the strikeout rate down a bit, but he’s been very good of late, and don’t overlook his .367 ISO during this little run. The Twins offense can go radio silent at times, but Kiriloff is a reliable play against right-handed pitching (.439 SLG).

Carlos Santana, Milwaukee Brewers

I wrote about it over in the Trade Deadline Tracker we have up on the site, but Santana gets a slight bump to his overall fantasy value. Over his last nine games, he’s slashing .281/.378/.656 with three home runs, three doubles, and eight RBI. The veteran slugger owns a .190 OPS against righties this season, and now heads to Milwaukee, which generally plays up left-handed power. Santana has an 11.5 percent barrel rate and 57.7 percent hard hit rate over his last nine games.

Honorable Mention: Lars Nootbaar, Tristan Casas, Oscar Colas, Riley Greene, Gregory Santos, Jason Foley, Adam Ottavino


Fantasy Baseball Fallers

Daulton Varsho, Toronto Blue Jays

Okay, Varsho still has to be rostered in basically all formats, because he has catcher eligibility with double-digit home runs and stolen bases. However, this hasn’t been a great year for him. Despite similar peripherals and expected statistics, or even slightly improved, the quality of contact is down. With Arizona last season, Varsho posted a .282 average, .890 SLG, and 45.8 percent hard hit rate on fly balls. This year in Toronto, he has a .114 average, .421 SLG, and 25.9 percent hard hit rate. Since the All-Star break, he’s hitting just .189 with a 39 percent strikeout rate and 32 wRC+. You can’t really drop him, unless you have a better option behind the dish, but this hasn’t been the best first year in Toronto for the 27-year-old outfielder. Oh, he also hasn’t appeared behind the dish yet this season, so when he loses that catcher eligibility next year, he won’t be going as early in drafts.

Mitch Keller, Pittsburgh Pirates

All in all, Keller has been great this season, and he’s finally showcased that frontline starter potential we’ve thought he possessed. However, he’s been sliding, and it’s been happening for a while now. After posting a 2.44 ERA and 2.67 FIP through his first 10 starts of the season, he sits at a 5.32 ERA and 4.83 FIP over his last 12 starts. Furthermore, here in July, he’s down below one strikeout per inning, with an ERA of 6.28 and 5.93 FIP, not to mention a 2.20 HR/9. Keller’s past struggles against left-handed hitters has started to rear its ugly head, as lefties have a .329 average, .711 SLG, and .450 wOBA against Keller here in July.

Honorable Mention: Mike Ford, Jared Triolo, Kendall Graveman, Brayan Bello, Andrew Heaney, A.J. Puk

Statistical Credits:


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