Looking for the best PrizePicks MLB picks today? Fantasy Alarm breaks down every angle of Saturday's slate so you can build your best Power Play or Flex entry with confidence. Check out Fantasy Alarm's PrizePicks MLB picks page for projections and expert breakdowns all season long. Here are the top PrizePicks MLB picks for Saturday, April 18, 2026.

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Corbin Carroll PrizePicks MLB Pick — OVER 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI

Carroll is rolling in 2026 with a 1.067 OPS, a .430 wOBA, and a 91.8 mph average exit velocity. He has the speed to turn singles into runs, the power to drive in runs in bunches, and the patience at the plate to get his opportunities. He is exactly the kind of multi-category threat this prop is built for.

Today, he faces Max Scherzer, who has been shelled against left-handed hitters this season. Per splits data, Scherzer carries an 8.53 ERA against lefties in 2026 with a .387 wOBA allowed and a .280/.367/.520 slash line against. His K rate against lefties drops to just 16.7 percent, confirming his elite fastball-slider mix simply does not translate the same way when he has to work the other side of the plate. Scherzer is also managing forearm tendinitis that forced him out of his last start early. More than 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBI against a struggling 41-year-old who opponents are slugging .520 against from the left side is a strong play.

 

 

 

Brayan Bello PrizePicks MLB Pick — OVER 2.5 Earned Runs

Bello is 6.14 ERA through three starts in 2026 with a 9:9 K:BB ratio across 14.2 innings. The command issues have been consistent, and today, the Tigers send exactly the lineup profile that gives him the most trouble.

Bello's sinker-heavy approach neutralizes right-handed bats well but leaves him exposed against lefties. He historically posts just a 16.3 percent strikeout rate and a 10 percent walk rate against left-handed hitters, with no reliable put-away pitch once he gets deep into counts. Detroit's lineup is built to exploit that. Kevin McGonigle, Colt Keith, Riley Greene, Kerry Carpenter, and Zach McKinstry all swing from the left side, meaning Bello faces his worst matchup repeatedly from the first inning. His .389 wOBA allowed this season confirms this is not bad luck. Over 2.5 Earned Runs against a lefty-heavy Tigers lineup for a pitcher walking as many as he is striking out is the play.

 

 

 

Stack These Picks Today

Carroll against a Scherzer who is giving up a .520 SLG to left-handed hitters, and Bello facing five Tigers lefties he historically cannot retire efficiently. Two strong legs for Saturday. Sign up with promo code ALARM and claim your guaranteed $50 bonus before first pitch.