Welcome to Fantasy Alarm's MLB DFS picks and daily fantasy playbook for Tuesday, June 16th. Our MLB DFS projections combine advanced pitching metrics, platoon splits, strikeout prop data, and ownership positioning to identify the sharpest plays on every slate. Whether you are targeting DFS projections, running lineups through our DFS optimizer, tracking ownership trends, or checking confirmed lineups, Fantasy Alarm has the tools to sharpen your edge. Today's 12-game main slate has multiple different directions to go considering we have the Pirates in Sutter Health Field. This MLB DFS playbook covers every key position on DraftKings and FanDuel with our best MLB DFS picks for today.

Slate: 12-Game Main  |  Lock Time: 7:05 PM ET, Tuesday June 16th, 2026

Vegas Totals: PIT/ATH (highest-projected game), NYM/CIN (second-highest game), COL/CHC (third-highest game)

Highest K-Projections: Logan Gilbert 6.5 O/U (-146), Hunter Brown 6.5 O/U (-124), Gerrit Cole 5.5 O/U (-132), Davis Martin 5.5 O/U (-104)

MLB Weather Today, 6/16

Giants vs Braves - There is PPD risk here with how much rain is in the forecast.

Mets vs Reds - There's a chance at a delay or delayed start, but we should be OK to play the whole game.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Starting Pitchers

MLB DFS Top Pitchers

Gerrit Cole (NYY)

Analysis: The White Sox are improving offensively but they still strikeout a ton as they're sitting at the third-highest K-rate vs. RHP at 24%. Cole hasn't been fantastic to this point, but we know that this is an elite pitcher.

Logan Gilbert (SEA)

Analysis: Gilbert has definitely been pitching his best he has all year, notching 18+ DKP in four straight games. He's historically been good in his home ballpark and that ballpark as good as it gets across major league baseball.

Reid Detmers (LAA)

Analysis: What's going to give here? The Diamondbacks don't strike out a lot and Detmers misses a boatload of bats. Detmers has six of more strikeouts in six straight and has flashed 14 K upside. The DBacks only strikeout 16.8% of the time against lefties, which is second lowest in the game. His K upside alone puts him in play.

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Edward Cabrera (CHC)

Analysis: The Rockies are a bad offense and Edward Cabrera has been a little unlucky this year. The Rockies are 21st in wRC+ against right-handed pitching, but they do have thump and it's good weather in Wrigley. That's a little concerning.

Kumar Rocker (TEX)

Analysis: Am I crazy for liking Kumar Rocker today? I don't feel crazy for liking him for a couple of reasons. He's been significant better at home this year – because it's an elite park to pitch in – and the Twins are mediocre offensively. They're 15th or worse in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ vs. RHP this year and the only thing they do well is that they hit homers. Rocker doesn't allow them.

Robert Gasser (MIL)

Analysis: I…really like Robert Gasser here. He's generated a bunch of swing and miss lately as the Brewers continue to extend him deeper into games. The Guardians rank 23rd in wRC+ against LHP over the last month while posting a 24.8% K-rate, which is VERY high. They don't have Jose Ramirez either and is REALLY cheap.

Top Options For Strikeouts

The three top strikeout targets in today's MLB DFS projections each carry a K/9 above 10.9 and favorable opponent strikeout splits. K-prop lines and value ratings are incorporated below for DFS and prop context. These are the arms building the highest strikeout ceilings on the nine-game slate.

Our model identifies these arms as the highest-ceiling plays for Alt-K lines today:

Hunter Brown (two starts): 39.5% K% (14.4 K/9)

Reid Detmers: 29.3% K% (10.8 K/9)

Drew Rasmussen: 27.3% K% (9.5 K/9)

Logan Gilbert: 25.5% K% (9.3 K/9)

Davis Martin: 25.2% K% (9.1 K/9)

Best Odds For A Win

The following MLB DFS picks offer a combination of favorable win odds, sustainable ERA and xFIP metrics, and soft opponent matchups. Each carry K-prop lines worth noting alongside their DFS value at reduced ownership relative to the top tier.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Stacks & Hitters

MLB DFS Top Hitters

Nick Kurtz & Tyler Soderstrom (1B/OF, ATH)

Analysis: Lefties have hit Mitch Keller very hard, especially lately. On the year, it's .163 ISO, .175 xISO, .339 wOBA, and .375 xwOBA. Kurtz is mashing everyone, but especially righties. He's posted a .276 ISO, .322 xISO, .441 wOBA, and .454 xwOBA vs. RHP. Soderstrom has a .215 ISO and .355 wOBA vs. RHP himself.

Juan Soto (OF, NYM)

Analysis: Super elite baseball player in small park against bad pitcher. Soto is my favorite spend up of the day. .291 ISO, .366 xISO, .425 wOBA, and .466 xwOBA against righties.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (OF, CHC)

Analysis: Even though righties have given Ryan Feltner issues, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been as good as any other hitter on the planet lately. He's up to a .223 ISO, .258 xISO, .353 wOBA, and .374 xwOBA against righties.

Jackson Chourio (OF, MIL)

Analysis: This is a great split advantage for Jackson Chourio here. Chourio has mashed right-handed pitching this year posting a .241 ISO, .275 xISO, .388 wOBA, and .368 xwOBA. Slade Cecconi is reverse splits allowing a .203 ISO, .191 xISO, .371 wOBA, and .344 xwOBA.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Bo Bichette & Carson Benge (SS/OF, NYM)

Analysis: Brady Singer has struggled against both splits allowing a .258 ISO and .428 wOBA to lefties and righties have a .265 ISO and .364 wOBA. Bichette has four straight multi-hit games and five straight double-digit FP outings. Benge has really good peripheral stuff posting a .165 xISO and .339 xwOBA.

Spencer Horwitz (1B, PIT)

Analysis: Reliable top of the order bat against right-handed pitching. Horwitz has a .189 ISO and .376 wOBA against righties this season. Jack Perkins hasn't looked good as a starter through two turns of the rotation.

Lawrence Butler (OF, ATH)

Analysis: Still just 3.5K, Lawrence Butler continues to be underpriced for current form. He's put up double-digit fantasy points in four straight starts and has multi-hit games in three of them. Mitch Keller is pitching horribly posting a 6.05 ERA over his last 10 starts and has allowed 5+ ER in three straight starts and 4+ in five of six.

Bryce Eldridge (1B, ATL)

Analysis: One of the league's best hitters over the last month gets a massive park upgrade. He also has a .222 ISO, .254 xISO, .394 wOBA, and .409 xwOBA. Grant Holmes has allowed a .197 ISO, .222 xISO, and .358 xwOBA to LHH this season.

MLB DFS Top Stacks

Primary Stack: New York Mets vs Brady Singer (CIN RHP)

Stack Pieces: Juan Soto, Bo Bichette, Carson Benge, Jared Young, Marcus Semien

Primary Stack: Chicago Cubs vs Ryan Feltner (CHC RHP)

Stack Pieces: Pete Crow-Armstrong, Ian Happ, Alex Bregman, Michael Busch, Seiya Suzuki 

Primary Stack: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Jack Perkins (ATH RHP)

Stack Pieces: Spencer Horwitz, Bryan Reynolds, Brandon Lowe, Ryan O'Hearn, Tyler Callihan

"Contrarian" Stack: Athletics vs Mitch Keller (PIT RHP)

Stack Pieces: Nick Kurtz, Tyler Soderstrom, Lawrence Butler, Jacob Wilson, Carlos Cortes

"Contrarian" Stack: Cincinnati Reds vs Kodai Senga (NYM RHP)

Stack Pieces: Eugenio Suarez, Nathaniel Lowe, JJ Bleday, Blake Dunn, Sal Stewart

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Hitters & Pitchers

The "Chalk" (Popular)

The "Pivot" (Low

Owned)

The Winning Logic
Brown (SP, chalk)Cole (SP, matchup)Brown making first start since 3/31 and will have some limitations, but is extremely popular.
Pirates (Chalk)Athletics as contrarian stackThe Pirates are getting all the ownership again but the As are facing a struggling SP.
Gonzales + Langeliers (chalk)Soto + Eldridge (lower owned)Two low-owned plays that have 2 HR upside.

 

 

 

 

 

 

The foundation for every MLB DFS lineup you build today. These are the core MLB DFS picks by position across DraftKings and FanDuel.

  1. Logan Gilbert (SP1)
  2. Robert Gasser(SP2)
  3. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Core Bat)
  4. Juan Soto (Core Bat)
  5. Bo Bichette (Core Bat)
  6. Lawrence Butler (Core Value Bat)
  7. Bryce Eldridge (Core Value Bat)

Player Pool

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Stacks

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