Welcome to Fantasy Alarm's MLB DFS picks and daily fantasy playbook for Monday, June 29th. Our MLB DFS projections combine advanced pitching metrics, platoon splits, strikeout prop data, and ownership positioning to identify the sharpest plays on every slate. Whether you are targeting DFS projections, running lineups through our DFS optimizer, tracking ownership trends, or checking confirmed lineups, Fantasy Alarm has the tools to sharpen your edge. 

Today's 11-game main slate has multiple different directions to go considering we have Coors Field, Sutter Health, and it's hot and super windy at Wrigley Field. This MLB DFS playbook covers every key position on DraftKings and FanDuel with our best MLB DFS picks for today.

Slate: 11-Games |  Lock Time: 7:05 pm ET, Monday, June 29th, 2026

Vegas Totals: MIA/COL (highest-projected game), SD/CHC (second-highest game), LAD/ATH (third-highest game)

Highest K-Projections: George Kirby 6.5 O/U (-122), Parker Messick 6.5 O/U (+110), Ryan Weathers 6.5 O/U (+100), Trey Yesavage 5.5 O/U (-157)

MLB Weather Today, 6/29

Padres vs Cubs - It's nearly 90 degrees at first pitch and winds are blowing out at 15 MPH. There aren't any better parks in baseball that react to wind like Wrigley. ELITE hitting weather.

Dodgers vs Athletics - Really warm and winds blowing out at 5-10 MPH. Bump to bats.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Starting Pitchers

MLB DFS Top Pitchers

Parker Messick (CLE)

Analysis: Messick is fresh off a dominant, career-high 10-strikeout performance and boasts an elite 28.1% swinging-strike/whiff rate. With a stellar 2.67 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and safe win equity backing the first-place Guardians, he's a premium target to anchor your pitching slots. Texas strikes out 25.7% of the time against southpaws.

Ryan Weathers (NYY)

Analysis: On the year, Weathers has 95 strikeouts over 86.2 innings this season. He is coming off a stellar June 24th outing where he dominated this exact Tigers team for 6.0 strong innings, allowing just one earned run while striking out six. Detroit remains one of the more vulnerable matchups for a high-strikeout lefty (22.4%), giving Weathers a high floor and a massive tournament ceiling. 

George Kirby (SEA)

Analysis: Kirby draws a matchup against an aggressive Angels lineup that strikes out more than anyone else in baseball against right-handed pitching. Kirby has consistently reliable surface numbers, and the heavy swing-and-miss nature of Los Angeles elevates his usually modest strikeout ceiling into premium tournament territory.

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Trey Yesavage (TOR)

Analysis: Yesavage is a slam-dunk play against the Mets. He's translated his electric stuff to the big leagues seamlessly this year, maintaining a 3.56 ERA and holding opponents to a meager .193 batting average. He catches a New York lineup that is currently lost at the plate, ranking 27th in baseball with a sub-par wRC+. He does have double-digit strikeout upside and should limit the walks with the Mets very low walk rate.

Casey Mize (DET)

Analysis: Mize offers a highly appealing salary-relief option on this slate as he takes on a cold Yankees lineup. The former number-one overall pick is quietly putting together a fantastic season, carrying a sharp 2.95 ERA and a microscopic 1.07 WHIP through 11 starts. With New York struggling mightily to find consistency at the plate, Mize has great point-per-dollar upside in tournaments.

Robert Gasser (MIL)

Analysis: The 27-year-old left-hander has been surging recently, pitching to a strong 3.74 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and a 24:6 K:BB ratio over his last four outings (21.2 innings) and that includes a start in Las Vegas. The Reds strike out at a 24.7% clip against left-handed pitching. Gasser is a solid cheap option.

Top Options For Strikeouts

K-prop lines and value ratings are incorporated below for DFS and prop context. These are the arms building the highest strikeout ceilings on the 9-game slate.

Our model identifies these arms as the highest-ceiling plays for Alt-K lines today:

Parker Messick: 27.2% K% (9.6 K/9)

Ryan Weathers: 26.9% K% (9.9 K/9)

Gage Jump: 25.7% K% (8.9 K/9) 

Ranger Suarez: 24.9% K% (9.2 K/9)

Robert Gasser: 23.8% K% (9.3 K/9)

Best Odds For A Win

The following MLB DFS picks offer a combination of favorable win odds, sustainable ERA and xFIP metrics, and soft opponent matchups. Each carries K-prop lines worth noting alongside their DFS value at reduced ownership relative to the top tier.

• Sandy Alcantara +108
• Shota Imanaga +108
• George Kirby +110
• Parker Messick +127
• Ranger Suarez +134

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Stacks & Hitters

MLB DFS Top Hitters

Pete Crow-Armstrong & Ian Happ (OF, CHC) 

Analysis: Pete Crow-Armstrong and Ian Happ are elite point-per-dollar plays. Griffin Canning’s biggest Achilles' heel this season has been his complete inability to navigate left-handed hitters. On the year, southpaws are tagging him for a massive 42.3% hard-hit rate, .235 ISO, and a .604 slugging percentage. Canning is serving up 2.8 HR/9 to lefties, making this a dream matchup for Happ’s & PCA. It's  nearly 90 degrees 15+ MPH winds blowing out.

Shea Langeliers (C, ATH)

Analysis: Eric Lauer has been heavily exploited by right-handed hitters, allowing a glaring .219 ISO and an even worse underlying .248 xISO. Playing in one of the absolute best environments for offense according to Statcast park factors, Langeliers is perfectly positioned to turn flyballs into home runs tonight.

Otto Lopez (SS, MIA) & Heriberto Hernandez (OF, MIA)

Analysis: The Marlins are going to be popular as they should considering their matchup in Coors Field tonight. Sean Sullivan has allowed boatloads of power and Lopez and Hernandez are two of their best bats against southpaws. Hernandez should lead off and he's posted a .20 ISO, .246 xISO, .311 wOBA, and .384 xwOBA while Lopez has a .173 ISO and .451 wOBA against LHP.

Fernando Tatis (2B/OF, SD)

Analysis: Hard to not think that Fernando Tatis could have his biggest power game of the year in Wrigley Field winds tonight. He's hitting lefties well posting a .161 ISO and .383 wOBA and has some aide at his back tonight.

Willson Contreras (1B, BOS)

Analysis: Miles Mikolas has been awful in general this season, but he's been really bad against righties. Willson Contreras enters the chat. Contreras has a .230 ISO and .382 wOBA against righties this year while Mikolas has allowed a .220 ISO to RHH.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Manny Machado (3B, SD)

Analysis: Machado's numbers are really coming around against left-handed pitching, especially in terms of power. He has a .229 ISO and .180 xISO vs. LHP on the year. He gets to hit in windy Wrigley Field against a flyball pitcher allowing all the the home runs right now.

Andrew Vaughn (1B, MIL)

Analysis: Another year of Andrew Vaughn destroying left-handed hurlers. He has a .319 ISO and .547 wOBA against southpaws and Nick Lodolo's splits have regulated to where righties are crushing him.

Henry Bolte (OF, ATH)

Analysis: Bolte has a .190 ISO and .407 wOBA against left-handed pitching this year and faces Eric Lauer who's struggled mightily against right-handed pitching this year.

Kazuma Okamoto (3B, TOR) 

Analysis: I'll continue to scream from the rooftops if I have to, but why is he still THIS cheap on DraftKings? It doesn't make sense. He's hit four homers over his last eight games and on the year, Okamoto has 19 bombs thus far. He has a .236 ISO, .262 xISO, and .352 wOBA against lefties this year.

Esteury Ruiz (OF, MIA) 

Analysis: What's the sustainability of Esteury Ruiz's .405 ISO and .434 wOBA against left-handed pitching? Low, but we don't worry about sustainability in warm weather when it comes to Coors Field. Pinch-hit candidate, but has hit for power against lefties and we know about his top-tier speed.

MLB DFS Top Stacks

Primary Stack: Chicago Cubs vs Griffin Canning (SDP RHP)

Why: The weather conditions at Wrigley Field are a hitter's paradise tonight, featuring near 90-degree heat and 15+ MPH winds blowing out. That’s a nightmare scenario for Griffin Canning, who is completely struggling this year to the tune of a 7.38 ERA, a 1.66 WHIP, and an inability to limit base runners (26 walks in 42.2 innings). With Vegas setting a massive 11 game total, locking in a Cubs stack allows you to exploit a vulnerable, flyball-prone pitcher in weather that will turn routine flyouts into home runs. He's been especially bad against lefty power (.235 ISO, .604 SLG%, 2.8 HR/9, 42.3% HH).

Targets: Pete Crow-Armstrong, Michael Busch, Ian Happ, Michael Conforto, Seiya Suzuki

Primary Stack: Miami Marlins vs Sean Sullivan (COL LHP)

Why: Miami gets to unleash their bats in warm weather against Colorado left-hander Sean Sullivan, who has been heavily exploited by opposing offenses this year. Through 33.0 innings, Sullivan has limped to a 6.55 ERA and a bloated 1.62 WHIP, but his biggest red flag is a severe vulnerability to the longball, surrendering 9 home runs already. With a high game total in the thinnest air in baseball, stacking Miami lets you attack a high-whip, homer-prone pitcher while keeping enough salary cap flexibility to fit in premium pitching. Lefties have a .571 ISO & .236 xISO while righties have a .250 ISO & .114 xISO. He's been unlucky, but you typically don't have much luck in Coors.

Targets: Heriberto Hernandez, Otto Lopez, Esteury Ruiz, Xavier Edwards, Kyle Stowers

Primary Stack: San Diego Padres vs Shota Imanaga (CHC LHP)

Why: Stacking against Shota Imanaga used to be a risky proposition, but his recent extreme vulnerability makes the Padres an elite target tonight. Imanaga’s flyball tendencies have been extreme over his last seven outings, resulting in an eye-popping 15 home runs allowed in that short span. Now, he has to navigate San Diego's lineup in absolute elite hitting conditions at Wrigley Field, with warm temperatures and a fierce 15+ MPH wind blowing dead out. Both splits are doing damage (LHH - .235 ISO, .207 xISO / RHH - .217 ISO, .178 xISO).

Targets: Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis, Jackson Merrill, Ty France, Samad Taylor

"Contrarian" Stack: Athletics vs Eric Lauer (LAD LHP)

Why: Stacking the Athletics tonight offers massive point-per-dollar tournament leverage in a supreme environmental mismatch. The A's love Sutter Health Field, a venue that Statcast park factors confirm is a premium haven for hitters, especially with tonight's warm weather and winds blowing out. They square off against Eric Lauer, whose severe vulnerability to power makes him a prime target. This year, both left-handed and right-handed batters have tagged Lauer for isolated power (ISO) metrics north of .200. 

Targets: Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers, Henry Bolte, Tyler Soderstrom, Colby Thomas

"Contrarian" Stack: Boston Red Sox vs Miles Mikolas (WAS RHP)

Why: The Red Sox are priced incredibly cheap across the industry, yet they draw a fantastic matchup against Miles Mikolas. The underlying metrics show that Mikolas is highly exploitable from both sides of the plate. Left-handed hitters are tagging him for a .190 ISO and a concerning .206 xISO alongside a .343 xwOBA. Meanwhile, righties have been even more lethal, sporting an identical .220 ISO and .220 xISO against him.

Targets: Caleb Durbin, Willson Contreras, Anthony Seigler, Ceddanne Rafaela, Wilyer Abreu

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Hitters & Pitchers

The foundation for every MLB DFS lineup you build today. These are the core MLB DFS picks by position across DraftKings and FanDuel.

1. Parker Messick (SP1)
2. George Kirby (SP2)
3. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Core Bat)
4. Otto Lopez (Core Bat)
5. Ian Happ (Core Bat)
6. Manny Machado (Core Value Bat)
7. Henry Bolte (Core Value Bat)

Player Pool

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Stacks

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