It’s time to get back to the best stolen base picks for today. Hopefully, everyone had a nice, safe holiday weekend. It’s time to get back to business. It was a quiet weekend for the stolen bases, though we hit a number of other bets and props, so we still had some fireworks of our own. Ready to carry that through to today’s action? It’s a shorter slate of MLB games today, but we’ve got a few spots to check out.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB, from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. With the help of our new stolen base prop finder, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Monday, July 6:

Favorite Bets: 

Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+270) – We’ve successfully used Caballero in the past, so we’re happy to go with him in this matchup against the Rays. Griffin Jax has allowed nine stolen bases this season, which is second-most on the slate today, and his catcher tandem of Hunter Feduccia and Nick Fortes has a combined caught-stealing rate of just 22.7 percent. Caballero has a .304 OBP against righties, which isn’t great, but he doesn’t strike out, he’s got three steals over his last nine games, and 12 steals off righties this season.

Carson Benge, New York Mets (+457) – Should be interesting to see if the Mets put Benge back in the leadoff spot. He was there for a while, and then in the middle of a seven-game hit streak, they moved him down. He got hits in the next two games, but the streak ended at nine yesterday. He’ll still be in the lineup against Reynaldo Lopez, who has allowed 10 stolen bases on the season, but more importantly, it should be Drake Baldwin and his five-percent caught-stealing rate behind the dish. Benge might not have the sprint speed or OBP against righties that A.J. Ewing has, but he has the better success rate on the bases, and he’s the better hitter of the two, so I’ll side with him. Ewing does have the better odds at +344, so if he’s in the leadoff spot, perhaps we pivot to him. Lineup should be out 90 minutes prior to game time, and I doubt the odds change much between now and then.