Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. The MLB All-Star break offers us a nice reprieve from the daily grind that is MLB betting. If you do it every day, that is. There was no betting on the All-Star game itself and with the format change, we lost a lot of value betting the HR Derby as well. Happy to give a shout out to Jordan Walker for winning that, as well as Cody Bellinger for earning All-Star MVP honors. But you’re here for stolen bases and that’s what we’re ready to do. Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and start the second half of the 2026 MLB season off on the right foot with some winning stolen base picks today.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs  to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

 

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Friday, July 17:

Favorite Bet: 

Brewer Hicklen, Atlanta Braves (+231)

Who doesn’t love a 30-year-old minor league call-up? Hicklen had been hitting Triple-A pitching well and was brought up after a five-game hit streak that saw him hitting safely in 11 of his last 12. He enjoyed a two-hit night in his first big-league action and then spent the All-Star break as a big-leaguer. With Mike Yastrzemski and Ronald Acuna still on the IL, Hicklen should get the start in right. He’s got good on-base skills and he had four stolen bases over his last 16 minor-league games. Texas righty Cal Quantrill has allowed seven stolen bases on the season and the Texas catchers have a combined 20-percent caught-stealing rate. Hicklen is looking to start the second half hot and get a chance to beat out Eli White for the eventual fourth outfielder job. He should get off on the right foot. 

Longshot:

Ceddanne Rafaela, Boston Red Sox – GAME 1 (+408)

With fewer strong options on the board, we can take a shot here on a bit of a longshot with Rafaela facing Griffin Jax in the first game of the double-header. The catching tandem of Nick Fortes (who I am expecting to see behind the plate in the early game) and Hunter Feduccia have just a 22.4-percent caught-stealing rate and Jax has allowed the third-most stolen bases on the slate. Rafaela posts a .321 OBP against right-handed pitching and 11 of his 12 stolen bases have come off of righties. Easily worth a shot.