Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. We got back to cashing with yesterday’s picks as Jake Mangum swiped a bag early on in the first game of the Thursday MLB slate, and from there, anything else was just gravy. We were hoping to double down with Otto Lopez, but a two-RBI triple was more in the cards for him. But if you tossed the Mangum play into the rest of what we outlined for you on The Betting Playbook, you had yourself a very good day. Let’s run it back with the stolen base picks today, shall we? 

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB, from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. With the help of our new stolen base prop finder, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Friday, July 10:

Favorite Bets: 

Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+284) – Sample size is everything sometimes, so looking at Hunter Greene in our SB data table and seeing only two stolen bases allowed shouldn’t deter you from looking at Cubs base-stealers. Why? Because he’s only made one start this year, people. And thanks to his catchers posting a miserable 17.1-percent caught-stealing rate, his one start saw two bases stolen against him, and that was by the Baltimore Orioles, one of the least-aggressive teams on the bases this season. So give me lefty-swinging PCA with his nine-game hit streak and his five steals over his last 10 games, and we’ll steal our way to the bank today.

Brayan Rocchio, Cleveland Guardians (+356) – I’m looking at both Rocchio and second baseman Travis Bazzana as both hit righties well. While Sandy Alcantara has been the master of quality starts lately, he’s allowed 12 stolen bases this season, which is second-most on the slate. He’s allowing left-handed hitters to post a .316 wOBA against him. His catchers also have a combined 25-percent caught-stealing rate, which is below average. Both Bazzana and Rocchio have great numbers, so we’ll lean into the longer odds for Rocchio. He’s got a .344 wOBA against righties, nine steals against them, and he doesn’t strike out. He’s also got three steals and one caught-stealing over his last 11 games, while Bazzana doesn’t even have an attempt. Sprinkle a little something on both if you like, but I’ll simply lean Rocchio here for the pick.