Memorial Day baseball is a tradition all its own. The early afternoon games, the holiday crowd energy, and a slate that runs from just after 1:30 PM ET through the West Coast evening give us one of the best all-day cards of the entire month. Our best MLB home run picks for today are built around the arms that invite contact and the ballparks that reward it on a Monday where every stadium feels like a celebration.

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

A 13-game Memorial Day slate gives us a wide field to work through, including our MLB expert picks. Dodger Stadium hosts a late game with Kyle Freeland on the mound, Jesus Luzardo takes the ball in San Diego and Shane McClanahan makes a notable start in Baltimore. Our best MLB home run picks for today follow the data straight to the bats most likely to punish the arms that are available. Here are the three names leading our top MLB home run predictions for 5/25:

 

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/25: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Memorial Day afternoon games across the Midwest and East Coast can produce some favorable wind conditions, so our MLB weather report is worth a check before any of the early first pitches. Kyle Freeland at Dodger Stadium is a name that stands out immediately, given the park factor combination, and Nick Lodolo in New York and Matthew Liberatore in Milwaukee both carry HR/FB rates worth targeting. Here is how our three featured best MLB home run picks for today break down:

Nick Kurtz (+300)

We already mentioned the weather, but it really has been a significant issue this weekend. Thankfully, it appears that it’s only Rays vs. Orioles where that could be a potential issue. We aren’t going to start there with our best MLB home run picks for today anyway, as our attention first turns to one of our favorite spots.

That’s right - the home of the Sacramento River Cats! That’s where the Seattle Mariners will be to face the A’s, and after taking Luke Raley yesterday (while mentioning Julio Rodriguez, who homered), we’re back on their midweek series. This time, we’re focused on their opponent with our MLB home run predictions; Seattle is starting Luis Castillo today.

A’s lefty Nick Kurtz has been so great this season, and Castillo has pitched worse to lefties throughout his career, especially now. So, we’re starting our best MLB home run picks for today with Nick Kurtz to hit a HR (+300 at DraftKings).

Shohei Ohtani (+235)

Truthfully, taking Luke Raley again today (or Julio Rodriguez) is another strong approach, as the A’s are countering with Aaron Civale today. However, we’ll make sure that you don’t get a repeat target to celebrate your Memorial Day. With this in mind, we’ll turn our attention to Dodger Stadium - another great ballpark for MLB home run picks.

If you’re wondering who Colorado Rockies starter Tanner Goodman is, that’s because he’s getting his first one this season after being a reliever for all other appearances. All he’s really been elite in is a low walk rate; ok, that’s great - keep the ball in the zone for us. This may be a chalk pick, but let’s not forget that Ohtani hit FORTY homers vs. righties last year.

We know it’s not the most Memorial Day-esque target, but we’re adding Shohei Ohtani to hit a HR (+235 at FanDuel) to our best MLB home run picks for today.

Bobby Witt Jr. (+475)

Our third target may be one that surprises you. Not because you don’t know the name, but because of the location - Kauffman Stadium in KC. It may not be known for homers, and we may have Aaron Judge on the other side, but we see more value here. New York starter Will Warren can still be had for some MLB home run picks.

He may be 6-1 on the season, but he still allows some hard contact, doesn’t have a high chase rate, and his average exit velocity is also subpar. We saw the Royals put up 8 runs in this stadium in similar conditions just yesterday afternoon, and Bobby Witt speaks for himself, even at this point in his young career.

He’s hit 6 of his homers vs. righties this year, and even the Yankees' bullpen is far from perfect. So, let’s lock in Bobby Witt, Jr. to hit a HR (+475 at Novig) as part of our best MLB home run picks for today.

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Holiday slates have a way of producing big plus-money payouts when the right matchup lines up. Here is the longshot we are targeting on Memorial Day:

It’s only fitting for us to spin things back to Sacramento. Look, longshots are longshots for a reason, so we won’t act as if this guy compares to Nick Kurtz. However, Luis Castillo still provides opportunities for non-power hitters, and with the great ballpark, our best MLB home run longshot pick for today is Darell Hernaiz.

 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Combine our featured targets or bring in a fresh name from Monday's card alongside one of our best MLB home run picks for today:

Several approaches to a full Memorial Day slate. Whether you go with one of our top MLB home run picks today or build out a parlay to keep things rolling through the evening games, there is plenty to work with from the first pitch in Pittsburgh through the final out in Oakland!