Saturday is arguably the best day on the baseball calendar, so let’s make it even more awesome with our best MLB home run picks for today, 5/23. Early afternoon games start just after 1 PM ET before a wave of 4 PM ET contests takes over; FOX has a marquee doubleheader in the evening and the West Coast nightcap closes things out past 10 PM ET. Our best MLB home run predictions for today are built around the arms that open the door and the bats ready to walk through them.

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⚾ Top MLB Home Run Picks for Today

Saturday's deep slate means a wide field for our best MLB home run picks for today and we've cut it to three targets we feel best about. Of course, our MLB expert picks hook you up with plenty of additional markets as well. Here are the names leading our top MLB home run predictions for 5/23:

 

🔥 Best Matchups for Home Runs Today, 5/23: Ballpark Factors & Weather Impact

Saturday afternoon games across multiple time zones make our MLB weather report especially important today. The 4 PM ET wave features several outdoor parks where wind direction can swing the long ball market significantly. 

Patrick Corbin getting the ball in Toronto, Brady Singer in Cincinnati and Max Meyer in Miami are pitching names worth circling from a HR/FB rate perspective. Chase Field closes the night in Arizona, which is always a solid environment for power. Here's how our three featured best MLB home run picks for today break down:

Jordan Walker (+323) - Game 1

First thing’s first - with the postponement yesterday, we have a doubleheader with the Cardinals vs. Reds series. Given that it’s in Cincinnati and the weather is looking better, you know that we have to focus on the Great American Ball Park. It continues to be great for MLB home run picks, and as for this first one, this is for GAME 1.

That means that Chris Paddack is on the mound for Cinci. Cards starter Andre Pallante is no ace either, but he’s the more ground-ball pitcher of the two. Paddack also has the slightly worse (or better for us) HR/FB ratio. This really is a pick-your-poison scenario with Alec Burleson being the other option.

Both are fantastic for MLB home run picks today, but we’ll lock in Jordan Walker to hit a HR (+323 at Novig Sportsbook) with his .549 slugging vs. righties this year.

Nick Kurtz (+350)

Before we dive into who’s next, we’ll also shout out Mike Trout as a play at hitter-friendly Angel Stadium against Nathan Eovaldi’s extremely high HR/FB ratio. We’ve tried to sneak in value with the household name a couple times, so to help provide you with even more variety with MLB home run picks, we’ll check out the Athletics vs. Padres series.

Without a doubt, Petco Park pales in comparison to the A’s home ballpark for homers, but we also have Lucas Giolito having just made his season debut. That means that he’s far from midseason form, and Nick Kurtz has been one of the best hitters period this year. The lefty also has a 1.050 OPS vs. righties this season.

Your other option here would be Shea Langeliers, but we’re going to ride with Nick Kurtz to hit a HR (+350 at FanDuel Sportsbook) as one of our best MLB home run picks for today.

Elly De La Cruz (+495) - Game 2

That’s right - back to the Great American Ball Park! The 2nd game of the Cardinals vs. Reds doubleheader today provides us with a starter to pick on that should help the home team’s lineup. That would be Kyle Leahy, who is a righty with a high HR/FB ratio, great hard-hit rate, average exit velocity and plenty of other metrics that are great for MLB home run picks.

He does try to mix in a curveball and change-up, but it’s just not enough to overcome some of the great bats in the Reds lineup. Cinci’s been off since Wednesday when we saw Sal Stewart go yard, and today, it’s tempting to go with JJ Bleday. You certainly can, but we’re going to go with Elly De La Cruz coming through for us after not doing so the last time we were on him.

He still has some of the best numbers in the MLB for barrel rate, hard-hit rate, sweet-spot % and more - even his chase rate has improved. The switch hitter can also match up well after Leahy leaves to the game, so we’re going to add to our best MLB home run picks for today with Elly De La Cruz to hit a HR (+495 at BetMGM Sportsbook - Game 1 odds for now).

 

 

 

🚀 Longshot Home Run Picks Today

Saturday's full card always gives us at least one spot where the number is simply too big to ignore. Here's the longshot we're targeting for today's big potential payout:

There’s sure to be some MLB home run predictions on LA’s lineup given Robert Gasser on the mound for Milwaukee, but we’re not scared of Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki. The Brew Crew already handled LA with ease last night and have a ton of momentum overall right now, so we’re going to ride that wave with our best MLB home run longshot pick for today.

 

 

 

💲 Today’s Best MLB Home Run Parlay

Piece together our featured targets above or mix in a fresh name from the ones below to create the best MLB home run parlay for today:

All that remains is to make it the best MLB slate of the week! Whether you use just one of our top MLB home run picks today or roll with everything that you’ve seen, lock in for an amazing Saturday on the diamond!