The second elimination race of the Cup playoffs is this weekend at the Roval and it happens to also be the second road course of the season as well. Even with as crazy as Talladega was last weekend and its 13 cautions, the Roval may actually be the biggest wild card race of the playoffs yet.
In case you need a refresher, the Roval is the hybrid road course that combines the Charlotte Oval with the infield Road Course and turns it into a 17-turn challenge that has provided two very good races the last two years and a huge challenge to even the best road course racers in the field. This is also one of the longer road courses as well and road races which also provides its own challenge by itself. This layout gets tougher when there is no practice held before the race as the drivers are still trying to figure out this layout for the most part.
Programming Notes: This week the track breakdown will be a bit different in terms of the data in it as the last four races will be the last four road courses which includes the two Roval races, the Daytona Road Course, and Watkins Glen from last August which are the most comparable to the Charlotte Roval. The last eight races are the last eight road course races overall which is two Roval races, Daytona Road Course, three Watkins Glen races, and two Sonoma races. The race is on Sunday afternoon and there is a chance of rain during the race. The teams will have rain tires to use but if they lose the track and it gets dark out, they’d move the race to Monday since there aren’t enough lights on the infield to race in the dark like they could at the Oval.
Strategy Notes: Like with other road courses, laps led is something to go after in both formats even though there aren’t a lot but drivers that start up near the front can lead a good chunk of laps which counts them as a dominator based on percentage led. A key stat will be the top-15 rate this week along with driver rating as they will tell you how well a driver can deal with road courses in general and how well they hold their spots.
Core Drivers By Tier
Tier 1 - Chase Elliott
Is there a better road racer out there right now?
He has won half of the last eight road races and won this race last year.
Elliott leads the field in driver rating, top-15 rate, dominator points, and average finish in the last four road races.
Tier 2 - Michael McDowell
McDowell has a 6.3 average finish in the last four road races and two top-18s at the Roval.
He’s starting P30 and so has built in PD upside with the way he moves up through the field.
In the last eight road races, McDowell has six top-20s
Tier 3 - Chris Buescher
Buescher has an average finish of 13.3 in the last four road races including a top-five.
His 72.1 average driver rating is the best in that tier over the last four races
In the last eight races he’s posted eight top-20s with four top-15s.
Contrarian Play - Alex Bowman
Bowman has two top-five finishes here in the two races
He’s not known as one of the better road racers but the results with seven top-15s in seven races speak otherwise.
He’s motivated by the moved to the 48-car for next year and could snag laps led starting near the front.
Fade - Kyle Busch
His attitude is clearly in the dumps right now and he reiterated after the ‘Dega race that he will exit after this round.
He’s finished in the 30s the last two Rovals (suspension and crash) and crashed out at the Daytona Road Course earlier this year.
Busch hasn’t been himself all year and missing the setup here is huge as there are far few chances to fix it.
Last Four Road Races
Tier 1
| | | Avg. | Run. | Avg. | Pos. | | | | |
Driver | Team | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 |
Ryan Blaney | Penske | 4 | 15.3 | 13.1 | 11.3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Chase Elliott | Hendrick | 4 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Martin Truex Jr | JGR | 4 | 7 | 7.3 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Brad Keselowski | Penske | 4 | 15.8 | 11.8 | 14.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kevin Harvick | SHR | 4 | 10.3 | 9.7 | 9 | 1.3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Denny Hamlin | JGR | 4 | 15.8 | 13 | 9 | 6.8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Joey Logano | Penske | 4 | 11 | 15.4 | 13 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| | LL | FL | Dominator | Top-15 | QP | Avg. | LC |
Driver | # | /Race | /Race | Pts./ Race | Rate | /Race | Rating | /Race |
Ryan Blaney | 4 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 68.3% | 23.3 | 88.9 | 93.3 |
Chase Elliott | 4 | 37.3 | 21.3 | 19.9 | 92.5% | 26.8 | 132.2 | 93.3 |
Martin Truex Jr | 4 | 4.3 | 14.3 | 8.2 | 85.9% | 23.5 | 113.8 | 93.3 |
Brad Keselowski | 4 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 72.9% | 19.8 | 92.1 | 91.8 |
Kevin Harvick | 4 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 77.0% | 14.3 | 99.5 | 93.3 |
Denny Hamlin | 4 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 63.7% | 17.5 | 91.5 | 93.3 |
Joey Logano | 4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 52.3% | 12.8 | 78.6 | 93.3 |
Tier 2
| | | Avg. | Run. | Avg. | Pos. | | | | |
Driver | Team | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 |
Kyle Busch | JGR | 4 | 9.5 | 16.5 | 29.3 | -19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jimmie Johnson | Hendrick | 4 | 7.3 | 10.4 | 10 | -2.7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Alex Bowman | Hendrick | 4 | 12.3 | 17.9 | 8 | 4.3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Clint Bowyer | SHR | 4 | 9.3 | 11.4 | 8.3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
William Byron | Hendrick | 4 | 9.3 | 13.6 | 17.3 | -8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kurt Busch | Ganassi | 4 | 9.8 | 12.6 | 12.3 | -2.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Erik Jones | JGR | 4 | 15.3 | 20.3 | 21.3 | -6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Michael McDowell | Front Row | 4 | 20.3 | 14.9 | 14 | 6.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Matt DiBenedetto | Wood Bros. | 4 | 18.8 | 16.7 | 11.3 | 7.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Aric Almirola | SHR | 4 | 12.8 | 15.2 | 17.3 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| | LL | FL | Dominator | Top-15 | QP | Avg. | LC |
Driver | # | /Race | /Race | Pts./ Race | Rate | /Race | Rating | /Race |
Kyle Busch | 4 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 58.3% | 18.3 | 77.4 | 86.3 |
Jimmie Johnson | 4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 74.6% | 26.3 | 96.8 | 93.3 |
Alex Bowman | 4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 45.2% | 16.3 | 83.7 | 93.3 |
Clint Bowyer | 4 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 72.8% | 27.0 | 94.2 | 93.3 |
William Byron | 4 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 64.5% | 24.3 | 91.4 | 91.8 |
Kurt Busch | 4 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 75.2% | 21.0 | 87.4 | 93.3 |
Erik Jones | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.1% | 15.0 | 71.6 | 71.5 |
Michael McDowell | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.9% | 18.0 | 75.9 | 93.3 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.4% | 18.8 | 77.6 | 93.3 |
Aric Almirola | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61.0% | 19.0 | 80.1 | 93.3 |
Tier 3
| | | Avg. | Run. | Avg. | Pos. | | | | |
Driver | Team | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | JTG | 4 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 21.3 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Christopher Bell | LFR | 1 | 15 | 15.4 | 21 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Austin Dillon | RCR | 3 | 27.3 | 25.3 | 31 | -3.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cole Custer | SHR | 1 | 26 | 22 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Chris Buescher | Roush | 4 | 14.8 | 17.5 | 13.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Bubba Wallace | Petty | 4 | 27 | 25.2 | 28.3 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Newman | Roush | 4 | 23 | 22.6 | 21.8 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Matt Kenseth | Ganassi | 1 | 16 | 22.2 | 26 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
John H. Nemechek | Front Row | 1 | 28 | 27.1 | 35 | -7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ty Dillon | Germain | 4 | 26.3 | 22.9 | 21.8 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
James Davison | Rick Ware | 1 | 38 | 31.3 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | LL | FL | Dominator | Top-15 | QP | Avg. | LC |
Driver | # | /Race | /Race | Pts./ Race | Rate | /Race | Rating | /Race |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 32.3% | 12.0 | 69.7 | 91 |
Christopher Bell | 1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 61.5% | 24.0 | 71.5 | 65 |
Austin Dillon | 3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 13.8% | 8.3 | 54.4 | 87 |
Cole Custer | 1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 15.4% | 12.0 | 70.5 | 65 |
Chris Buescher | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.2% | 15.0 | 72.1 | 93 |
Bubba Wallace | 4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 8.5% | 5.5 | 48.8 | 92 |
Ryan Newman | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.2% | 8.0 | 57.2 | 93 |
Matt Kenseth | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.9% | 5.0 | 47.2 | 65 |
John H. Nemechek | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.6% | 3.0 | 35.7 | 62 |
Ty Dillon | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.6% | 5.3 | 58.3 | 93 |
James Davison | 1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0% | 1.0 | 42.5 | 65 |
Tier 4
| | | Avg. | Run. | Avg. | Pos. | | | | |
Driver | Team | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 |
Daniel Suarez | Gaunt | 4 | 19.8 | 19.9 | 24.8 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Corey Lajoie | Go Fas | 3 | 29.3 | 29.7 | 31 | -1.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ryan Preece | JTG | 3 | 21.7 | 21.4 | 26.7 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
JJ Yeley | Spire | 3 | 33 | 32.6 | 30.3 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Gray Gaulding | Rick Ware | | | | | | | | | |
Timmy Hill | MBM | 3 | 36.7 | 34.3 | 32.3 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Joey Gase | PWR | | | | | | | | | |
Brennan Poole | Premium | 1 | 33 | 31.5 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Quin Houff | StarCom | 1 | 35 | 35.5 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | LL | FL | Dominator | Top-15 | QP | Avg. | LC |
Driver | # | /Race | /Race | Pts./ Race | Rate | /Race | Rating | /Race |
Daniel Suarez | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.3% | 12.3 | 64.2 | 93 |
Corey Lajoie | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4% | 4.7 | 43.0 | 86 |
Ryan Preece | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.9% | 11.3 | 61.2 | 82 |
JJ Yeley | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8% | 0.7 | 36.2 | 94 |
Gray Gaulding | | | | 0.0 | | | | |
Timmy Hill | 3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0% | 0.3 | 35.5 | 81 |
Joey Gase | | | | 0.0 | | | | |
Brennan Poole | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5% | 0.0 | 36.3 | 65 |
Quin Houff | 1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 28.0 | 64 |
Top-20 Drivers Over Last Eight Road Races
| | Avg. | Run. | Avg. | Pos. | | | | |
Driver | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 |
Martin Truex Jr | 8 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Chase Elliott | 8 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 8 | -2.4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Denny Hamlin | 8 | 12.8 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 4.3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Clint Bowyer | 8 | 12.5 | 12 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Kevin Harvick | 8 | 13.1 | 10.5 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
Kyle Busch | 8 | 7.1 | 11.9 | 16.8 | -9.7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Ryan Blaney | 8 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 12.8 | 0.7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kurt Busch | 8 | 16.5 | 12.3 | 10.4 | 6.1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Erik Jones | 8 | 16 | 15.8 | 14.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Alex Bowman | 7 | 14.3 | 16.3 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| | Avg. | Run. | Avg. | Pos. | | | | |
Driver | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 |
Jimmie Johnson | 8 | 8.8 | 11.6 | 15.3 | -6.5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Brad Keselowski | 8 | 15 | 12.3 | 15.1 | -0.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
William Byron | 7 | 9 | 13.7 | 17.3 | -8.3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Daniel Suarez | 8 | 15.8 | 15.7 | 17.3 | -1.5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 8 | 23.6 | 20.1 | 15.9 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Chris Buescher | 8 | 16.4 | 17.2 | 14 | 2.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Aric Almirola | 8 | 15.8 | 17.9 | 16.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Joey Logano | 8 | 9.8 | 17.6 | 19.4 | -9.6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Michael McDowell | 8 | 17.8 | 16.9 | 16.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Matt Kenseth | 3 | 19 | 17.1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| | LL | FL | Dominator | LC | Avg. |
Driver | # | /Race | /Race | Pts/ Race | /Race | Rating |
Martin Truex Jr | 8 | 20.8 | 17.0 | 13.7 | 94.1 | 126.2 |
Chase Elliott | 8 | 26.6 | 15.3 | 14.3 | 90.4 | 123.1 |
Denny Hamlin | 8 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 94.1 | 93.7 |
Clint Bowyer | 8 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 94.1 | 93 |
Kevin Harvick | 8 | 8.6 | 7.5 | 5.9 | 94.1 | 98.3 |
Kyle Busch | 8 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 6.2 | 90.6 | 97 |
Ryan Blaney | 8 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 93.4 | 88.4 |
Kurt Busch | 8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 94.1 | 88.5 |
Erik Jones | 8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 83.3 | 83 |
Alex Bowman | 7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 94.7 | 81.9 |
| | LL | FL | Dominator | LC | Avg. |
Driver | # | /Race | /Race | Pts/ Race | /Race | Rating |
Jimmie Johnson | 8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 94.0 | 87.2 |
Brad Keselowski | 8 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 93.4 | 88 |
William Byron | 7 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 93.7 | 86.5 |
Daniel Suarez | 8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 94.0 | 78.9 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 92.3 | 68.2 |
Chris Buescher | 8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 94.1 | 71.3 |
Aric Almirola | 8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 94.1 | 72.2 |
Joey Logano | 8 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 83.0 | 70.9 |
Michael McDowell | 8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 94.0 | 70.9 |
Matt Kenseth | 3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 81.3 | 70.9 |
Momentum
This shows the last five races of the season and the driver’s stats so we can see who is coming in hot and who’s coming in cold.
Drivers
Tier 1
| | Avg. | Run | Avg. | Pos. | | | | | LL | FL | Dominator | Avg. |
Driver | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 | /Race | /Race | Pts./Race | Rating |
Ryan Blaney | 5 | 13 | 15.7 | 17.6 | -4.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 12.8 | 7.0 | 79.2 |
Chase Elliott | 5 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 15.2 | -8.8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50.6 | 29.4 | 27.4 | 106.9 |
Martin Truex Jr | 5 | 7.4 | 9.7 | 15 | -7.6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40.4 | 23.8 | 22.0 | 99.7 |
Brad Keselowski | 5 | 6.8 | 12.1 | 15.4 | -8.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 56.4 | 14.2 | 21.2 | 96.4 |
Kevin Harvick | 5 | 3.8 | 8.6 | 7.8 | -4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 60.2 | 32.4 | 31.3 | 108.5 |
Denny Hamlin | 5 | 5.4 | 11.7 | 10 | -4.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 42.4 | 22.8 | 22.0 | 95.5 |
Joey Logano | 5 | 6 | 9.6 | 11.4 | -5.4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18.2 | 12.8 | 11.0 | 106.7 |
Tier 2
| | Avg. | Run | Avg. | Pos. | | | | | LL | FL | Dominator | Avg. |
Driver | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 | /Race | /Race | Pts./Race | Rating |
Kyle Busch | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | 9.6 | -2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.8 | 19.4 | 18.2 | 96.1 |
Jimmie Johnson | 5 | 19.8 | 18 | 21.2 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.2 | 8.2 | 4.2 | 75.0 |
Alex Bowman | 5 | 5.6 | 10.5 | 10 | -4.4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 13.4 | 7.0 | 98.4 |
Clint Bowyer | 5 | 9.2 | 12.9 | 14.2 | -5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 86.5 |
William Byron | 5 | 14.4 | 15.8 | 18.6 | -4.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | 6 | 3.7 | 78.0 |
Kurt Busch | 5 | 9.6 | 12.9 | 13.8 | -4.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9.8 | 12 | 8.5 | 91.6 |
Erik Jones | 5 | 19.2 | 13.4 | 7.8 | 11.4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 89.4 |
Michael McDowell | 5 | 21.2 | 23.3 | 21.6 | -0.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 55.0 |
Matt DiBenedetto | 5 | 15 | 14.6 | 16 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4.8 | 78.2 |
Aric Almirola | 5 | 9 | 15 | 15.2 | -6.2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 85.2 |
Tier 3
| | Avg. | Run | Avg. | Pos. | | | | | LL | FL | Dominator | Avg. |
Driver | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 | /Race | /Race | Pts./Race | Rating |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | 5 | 26.4 | 27.1 | 27.6 | -1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 51.6 |
Christopher Bell | 5 | 22.6 | 22.8 | 28 | -5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 57.5 |
Austin Dillon | 5 | 7.8 | 13.2 | 12.4 | -4.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 15.2 | 10.4 | 88.0 |
Cole Custer | 5 | 15.8 | 17.4 | 19.2 | -3.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 74.8 |
Chris Buescher | 5 | 19.8 | 17.8 | 14.6 | 5.2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 74.2 |
Bubba Wallace | 5 | 24.8 | 21.9 | 27.6 | -2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2.5 | 60.9 |
Ryan Newman | 5 | 24.6 | 21.5 | 16.6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 61.6 |
Matt Kenseth | 5 | 20.8 | 16.6 | 15.6 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 68.9 |
John H. Nemechek | 5 | 25.6 | 22.2 | 22.8 | 2.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2.0 | 57.6 |
Ty Dillon | 5 | 26.4 | 22.8 | 20.4 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 58.0 |
James Davison | 4 | 36.8 | 35.6 | 35.3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 29.5 |
Tier 4
| | Avg. | Run | Avg. | Pos. | | | | | LL | FL | Dominator | Avg. |
Driver | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 | /Race | /Race | Pts./Race | Rating |
Daniel Suarez | 5 | 29 | 27.6 | 28.6 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 50.3 |
Corey Lajoie | 5 | 30.2 | 28.3 | 30.4 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | 43.5 |
Ryan Preece | 5 | 25.4 | 20.1 | 15 | 10.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 66.9 |
JJ Yeley | 4 | 34.5 | 32.9 | 31.8 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 35.5 |
Gray Gaulding | 2 | 33.5 | 31.4 | 29 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 40.7 |
Timmy Hill | 5 | 36.2 | 33.9 | 32.4 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 34.2 |
Joey Gase | 5 | 36.2 | 34.2 | 30.2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 32.0 |
Brennan Poole | 4 | 29.8 | 28.6 | 25 | 4.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 44.9 |
Quin Houff | 5 | 32.6 | 31.5 | 27.8 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 38.7 |
Team
| | Avg. | Run | Avg. | Pos. | | | | | Laps | Fast |
Team | # | Start | Pos. | Finish | Diff. | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 | Led | Laps |
Chip Ganassi Racing | 10 | 15.2 | 14.8 | 14.7 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 98 | 154 |
Front Row Motorsports | 10 | 23.4 | 22.8 | 22.2 | 1.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 62 |
Hendrick Motorsports | 20 | 11.6 | 12.5 | 16.3 | -4.7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1092 | 1140 |
Joe Gibbs Racing | 20 | 9.9 | 11.2 | 10.6 | -0.7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2384 | 1508 |
JTG Daugherty Racing | 10 | 25.9 | 23.6 | 21.3 | 4.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 88 |
Richard Childress Racing | 10 | 14.6 | 15.4 | 14.5 | 0.1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 114 | 240 |
Roush Fenway Racing | 10 | 22.2 | 19.7 | 15.6 | 6.6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 50 | 86 |
Stewart-Haas Racing | 20 | 9.5 | 13.5 | 14.1 | -4.7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1244 | 896 |
Team Penske | 15 | 8.6 | 12.5 | 14.8 | -6.2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1152 | 597 |
Finish Position Ranges By Starting Spot Ranges
Start | Finish Ranges |
Range | 1-5 | 6-10 | 11-15 | 16-20 | 20+ |
1-5 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6-10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
11-15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
16-20 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
21-25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
26-30 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
31-35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
36-40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
Total | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 76 |
Weekly Rankings
Race Hist, Track Hist, Type Hist are all ranked on average finish position over the last four races at the track, five races this season, eight races at this track, and similar races respectively. The Avg. Rating and Top-15 % columns are ranked on those categories in the last four races at this track. The L8 PD column ranks the position differential over the last eight races from best (most positive) to worst (most negative).
Tier 1
Driver | DK$ | FD $ | Race Hist | Recent Form | DK L2 | FD L2 | DK L5 | FD L5 | Track Hist | Type Hist |
Ryan Blaney | $10,900 | $12,000 | 8 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
Chase Elliott | $10,600 | $13,500 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
Martin Truex Jr | $10,300 | $13,200 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
Brad Keselowski | $10,100 | $11,600 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 29 |
Kevin Harvick | $9,900 | $13,000 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
Denny Hamlin | $9,700 | $12,500 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Joey Logano | $9,300 | $11,800 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 21 | 5 |
Tier 2
Driver | DK$ | FD $ | Race Hist | Recent Form | DK L2 | FD L2 | DK L5 | FD L5 | Track Hist | Type Hist |
Kyle Busch | $9,500 | $10,000 | 29 | 3 | 29 | 9 | 35 | 10 | 16 | 26 |
Jimmie Johnson | $9,100 | $10,600 | 7 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
Alex Bowman | $9,000 | $11,000 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
Clint Bowyer | $8,800 | $11,300 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
William Byron | $8,600 | $9,700 | 15 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 28 | 9 | 17 | 24 |
Kurt Busch | $8,400 | $10,300 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
Erik Jones | $8,200 | $8,000 | 19 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 27 |
Michael McDowell | $8,100 | $9,000 | 13 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 15 |
Matt DiBenedetto | $7,900 | $9,300 | 8 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
Aric Almirola | $7,800 | $9,500 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 2 |
Tier 3
Driver | DK$ | FD $ | Race Hist | Recent Form | DK L2 | FD L2 | DK L5 | FD L5 | Track Hist | Type Hist |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $7,700 | $6,600 | 19 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 22 | 6 |
Christopher Bell | $7,500 | $7,600 | 18 | 32 | 27 | | 29 | 8 | 24 | 22 |
Austin Dillon | $7,200 | $6,400 | 32 | 8 | 25 | 6 | 33 | 9 | 27 | 22 |
Cole Custer | $7,100 | $7,300 | 23 | 23 | 27 | | 16 | 7 | 25 | 35 |
Chris Buescher | $6,900 | $7,000 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
Bubba Wallace | $6,500 | $5,500 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 4 | 27 | 6 | 29 | 11 |
Ryan Newman | $6,400 | $6,800 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 4 |
Matt Kenseth | $6,200 | $6,000 | 25 | 17 | 27 | | 34 | 10 | 20 | 34 |
John H. Nemechek | $6,000 | $4,500 | 36 | 27 | 27 | | 36 | 11 | 37 | 1 |
Ty Dillon | $5,700 | $5,000 | 21 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 26 | 7 |
James Davison | $5,500 | $5,000 | 30 | 42 | 27 | | 12 | 4 | 31 | 38 |
Tier 4
Driver | DK$ | FD $ | Race Hist | Recent Form | DK L2 | FD L2 | DK L5 | FD L5 | Track Hist | Type Hist |
Daniel Suarez | $6,700 | $4,000 | 24 | 33 | 26 | 5 | 30 | 2 | 17 | 30 |
Corey Lajoie | $5,800 | $3,500 | 32 | 37 | 20 | 2 | 32 | 6 | 33 | 13 |
Ryan Preece | $5,400 | $4,500 | 26 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 31 | 7 | 28 | 16 |
JJ Yeley | $5,200 | $3,000 | 31 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 26 | 3 | 34 | 33 |
Gray Gaulding | $5,100 | $3,000 | 40 | 34 | 27 | | 37 | | 31 | 18 |
Timmy Hill | $4,900 | $3,000 | 34 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 34 | 36 |
Joey Gase | $4,800 | $3,000 | 40 | 36 | 27 | | 37 | | 40 | 32 |
Brennan Poole | $4,600 | $4,000 | 27 | 28 | 27 | | 4 | 4 | 30 | 25 |
Quin Houff | $4,500 | $3,000 | 35 | 31 | 27 | | 23 | 5 | 36 | 37 |
DFS Value Averages
This replaces the DFS Scoring Averages table that had been here. Instead, we have the DFS Value figures instead. We have taken their points scored over the last two and five races on each site and averaged those out and then divided that average by their salary divided by 1,000.
Tier 1
| DK | DK | DK | Seas. | FD | FD | FD | Seas. |
Driver | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg |
Ryan Blaney | $10,900 | 4.43 | 3.75 | 3.48 | $12,000 | 4.33 | 3.65 | 4.17 |
Chase Elliott | $10,600 | 5.93 | 4.79 | 4.29 | $13,500 | 4.12 | 3.27 | 4.07 |
Martin Truex Jr | $10,300 | 3.71 | 5.11 | 4.27 | $13,200 | 3.16 | 3.64 | 4.19 |
Brad Keselowski | $10,100 | 3.19 | 3.32 | 4.47 | $11,600 | 3.03 | 3.14 | 4.97 |
Kevin Harvick | $9,900 | 5.28 | 4.37 | 6.24 | $13,000 | 3.91 | 3.44 | 5.03 |
Denny Hamlin | $9,700 | 4.25 | 4.53 | 5.38 | $12,500 | 3.39 | 3.64 | 4.93 |
Joey Logano | $9,300 | 3.66 | 2.69 | 3.96 | $11,800 | 3.53 | 2.76 | 4.53 |
Tier 2
| DK | DK | DK | Seas. | FD | FD | FD | Seas. |
Driver | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg |
Kyle Busch | $9,500 | -0.97 | 0.78 | 3.58 | $10,000 | 0.71 | 1.88 | 5.04 |
Jimmie Johnson | $9,100 | 3.60 | 3.47 | 3.79 | $10,600 | 3.93 | 3.65 | 4.73 |
Alex Bowman | $9,000 | 4.64 | 4.28 | 3.38 | $11,000 | 4.47 | 3.89 | 4.36 |
Clint Bowyer | $8,800 | 5.14 | 4.35 | 3.73 | $11,300 | 4.40 | 3.73 | 4.50 |
William Byron | $8,600 | 2.46 | 2.45 | 3.54 | $9,700 | 2.91 | 2.94 | 4.97 |
Kurt Busch | $8,400 | 4.06 | 3.76 | 3.74 | $10,300 | 3.83 | 3.62 | 4.92 |
Erik Jones | $8,200 | -1.52 | 3.12 | 4.20 | $8,000 | 0.23 | 3.74 | 6.53 |
Michael McDowell | $8,100 | 4.20 | 3.81 | 3.56 | $9,000 | 4.38 | 3.93 | 5.36 |
Matt DiBenedetto | $7,900 | 5.47 | 5.51 | 3.93 | $9,300 | 4.88 | 4.83 | 5.55 |
Aric Almirola | $7,800 | 3.72 | 3.36 | 4.20 | $9,500 | 3.81 | 3.52 | 5.38 |
Tier 3
| DK | DK | DK | Seas. | FD | FD | FD | Seas. |
Driver | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg |
Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $7,700 | 1.62 | 2.78 | 2.83 | $6,600 | 3.34 | 4.26 | 5.81 |
Christopher Bell | $7,500 | | 2.33 | 3.70 | $7,600 | | 3.09 | 6.08 |
Austin Dillon | $7,200 | 1.28 | 1.75 | 4.65 | $6,400 | 2.60 | 3.04 | 8.07 |
Cole Custer | $7,100 | | 3.73 | 3.65 | $7,300 | | 3.77 | 6.35 |
Chris Buescher | $6,900 | 2.90 | 4.38 | 3.96 | $7,000 | 4.45 | 5.21 | 6.92 |
Bubba Wallace | $6,500 | 2.15 | 2.49 | 3.93 | $5,500 | 3.88 | 4.04 | 8.20 |
Ryan Newman | $6,400 | 4.30 | 4.53 | 3.91 | $6,800 | 4.84 | 4.91 | 6.86 |
Matt Kenseth | $6,200 | | 1.29 | 3.76 | $6,000 | | 2.75 | 7.75 |
John H. Nemechek | $6,000 | | 0.33 | 4.42 | $4,500 | | 1.93 | 10.24 |
Ty Dillon | $5,700 | 6.05 | 4.49 | 4.86 | $5,000 | 7.58 | 5.92 | 9.32 |
James Davison | $5,500 | | 4.09 | 1.88 | $5,000 | | 4.30 | 5.13 |
Tier 4
| DK | DK | DK | Seas. | FD | FD | FD | Seas. |
Driver | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg | Salary | L2 | L5 | Avg |
Daniel Suarez | $6,700 | 0.60 | 2.18 | 3.68 | $4,000 | 4.53 | 5.96 | 10.92 |
Corey Lajoie | $5,800 | 2.76 | 1.77 | 4.01 | $3,500 | 6.97 | 4.91 | 12.07 |
Ryan Preece | $5,400 | 2.96 | 1.99 | 4.00 | $4,500 | 6.09 | 4.25 | 9.19 |
JJ Yeley | $5,200 | 3.94 | 2.55 | 2.91 | $3,000 | 8.62 | 5.95 | 11.83 |
Gray Gaulding | $5,100 | | | 3.06 | $3,000 | | | 14.55 |
Timmy Hill | $4,900 | 2.60 | 3.30 | 3.12 | $3,000 | 5.73 | 6.32 | 10.07 |
Joey Gase | $4,800 | | | 2.78 | $3,000 | | | 10.90 |
Brennan Poole | $4,600 | | 4.57 | 3.93 | $4,000 | | 5.50 | 9.29 |
Quin Houff | $4,500 | | 3.11 | 3.35 | $3,000 | | 5.13 | 11.65 |