NFL DFS Contrarian Corner - Week 16 (Video) | Fantasy Alarm

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NFL DFS Contrarian Corner - Week 16 (Video)

Brandon Marianne Lee brings us her top contrarian DFS plays for Week 16 of the NFL season

Brandon Marianne Lee

Published Sat Dec 22, 2018 1:18 pm (EST)

NFL DFS Contrarian Corner | Fantasy Alarm

NFL DFS Contrarian Corner - Week 16 (Video)

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M. Stafford - QB

DET

Stafford will work with a new offensive coordinator in 2019 after the Lions hired Darrell Bevell to replace Jim Bob Cooter, ESPN.com's Michael Rothstein reports.

Cooter helped Stafford produce three straight seasons (2015-17) with at least 7.2 yards per attempt and a completion percentage above 65, but the Lions opted not to renew their coordinator's contract after a disappointing 2018 campaign. Personnel seemed to be a bigger problem than coaching, with Golden Tate traded away in late October and Marvin Jones suffering a season-ending knee injury shortly thereafter. It didn't help that the team insisted on giving LeGarrette Blount carries (154) even as he eeked out just 2.7 yards per attempt. Bevell is best known for his run-heavy offenses led by Marshawn Lynch and Russell Wilson in Seattle, not to mention the infamous Malcolm Butler goal-line interception in Super Bowl 49. The hiring is probably better news for Kerryon Johnson (knee) than Stafford, though general manager Bob Quinn did emphasize his desire to field a balanced offense. Head coach Matt Patricia seems to prefer a conservative approach, though it requires his defense to take a big step forward from 2018.

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C. Keenum - QB

DEN

Broncos general manager John Elway recently described Keenum as "probably a short-term fix," Kyle Fredrickson of The Denver Post reports. "Obviously, we've got to - Case is probably a short-term fix - find the long-term guy for us," Elway said. "When we do find that guy, we've got to have the continuity on the offensive side to where we can train him and develop him and get him there.

Elway seems to have abandoned any hope of Keenum being the franchise quarterback, but that doesn't mean the 30-year-old won't return for the second season of his two-year, $36 million contract. Keenum was at least competent in 2018, completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 6.6 yards per attempt with 18 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. It was a big step back from his breakout 2017 campaign in Minnesota, though he did keep the Broncos in the playoff hunt until they closed out their campaign with four consecutive losses. Picking at No. 10 overall in a draft that appears weak at quarterback, the Broncos may have a tough time landing a clear upgrade on Keenum in the offseason, but they do at least have a decent cap situation to add talent at other positions. New head coach Vic Fangio named former 49ers quarterbacks coach Rich Scangarello as his offensive coordinator for a unit that will largely rely on second-year players Phillip Lindsay, Royce Freeman, Courtland Sutton and DaeSean Hamilton.

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E. Swoope - TE

IND

Swoope's contract with the Colts' practice squad expired Monday, per the league's official transaction log.

The fact Indianapolis didn't extend Swoope a reserve/future contract offer suggests Swoope won't be spending the 2019 offseason with the Colts.

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D. Alexander - LB

PHI

Alexander produced four tackles over 12 games in 2018.

Alexander didn't log a single snap on defense, but he was heavily involved on special teams. The 2015 fifth-rounder will become an unrestricted free agent in March.

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J. Winston - QB

TB

New offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich confirmed Winston will be the Buccanners' starting quarterback in 2019, Rick Stroud of The Tampa Bay Times reports.

Leftwich said he and Winston will be "connected at the hip" throughout the process of implementing head coach Bruce Arians' vertical offense. The 39-year-old is expected to get his second shot as an NFL play-caller, after taking over in Arizona when Mike McCoy was fired midway through the 2018 campaign. Despite some initial improvement, Leftwich ultimately was unable to turn things around in the desert, faced with the limitations of a rookie quarterback playing behind an atrocious offensive line. The situation in Tampa Bay is vastly superior, albeit far from perfect. Winston's strong arm and aggressive nature make him a natural fit working with Arians/Leftwich, but there's still a lot of work to be done when it comes to ball security and establishing a running game. Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard (ankle) will be back in 2019 to lead the Tampa Bay receiving corps, while Adam Humphries, DeSean Jackson (Achilles/finger) and Cameron Brate (hip) all face uncertain futures. Meanwhile, the 25-year-old quarterback is signed for just one more season under the fifth-year option on his rookie contract.

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T. Jernigan - DL

PHI

Jernigan tallied two tackles over three games in 2018.

Surgery to correct a herniated disc in his back delayed Jernigan's 2018 debut, and he wasn't a huge factor on defense until the playoffs, when Jernigan outproduced his regular-season numbers by 12 defensive snaps, one tackle and one sack in one less game. While the 2014 second-rounder remains under contract with the Eagles through 2021, Jernigan is set to cost $13 million against the cap in 2019, making it likely his days in Philly are over.

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N. Gerry - LB

PHI

Gerry produced 23 tackles and two pass breakups, including one interception, over 13 games in 2018.

Gerry saw most of his playing time on special teams and was really only a part of the defensive gameplan when starter Jordan Hicks needed to miss time with a calf injury. The Nebraska product remains under contract with the Eagles through 2020.

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K. Grugier-Hill - LB

PHI

Grugier-Hill produced 45 tackles, one sack, two pass breakups (including one interception) and one forced fumble over 16 games in 2018.

Grugier-Hill was only used as anything more than a rotational player when Jordan Hicks missed time with a calf injury from Weeks 12 through 15, a span in which Grugier-Hill generated over half of his total tackles as well as his only sack and forced fumble. Had Hicks stayed healthy, Grugier-Hill's numbers likely wouldn't look as nice. The 2016 sixth-rounder nonetheless remains under contract with the Eagles for another year and should be able to carve out some sort of role ahead of the 2019 campaign.

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