Welcome to Week 14 of the NFL season and the next edition DFS RB Coach! The struggles continued into this week as both value plays, Zack Moss (7.7) and Jaylen Warren (6.5), were terrible. The Steelers OC has been bad news for Warren, so that is something to note moving forward. The Moss stinker was shocking. Kyren Williams (20.2) and Rachaad White (19.6) provided strong games, but not strong enough for me to be happy with how this week played out. That’s how it goes sometimes though. Enough about last week, let’s look to bounce back and crush it in Week 14. It’s time to start putting those DraftKings and FanDuel lineups together and hit the big paydays! Let’s dive into my favorite RB plays!

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Week 14 Picks

NFL DFS RB Top Plays

Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers

CMC just can’t stop scoring 20+ points on a weekly basis as he did it again this week, his sixth straight week of doing so and 10th time in 12 tries this year. When your LOWEST point total of the season is 14.2 dk points (back in Week 6 against a tough Browns team), you’re doing something right. He already had over 1000 rushing yards with 12 touchdowns to go along with 51 receptions for over 400 yards and five more touchdowns. Long story short, the guy is incredible. The price tag is HEFTY at 9200 on DK, but I think he can pay it off in this matchup against the Seahawks, which ranks as a top-5 matchup for running backs this year. 

 

NFL DFS RB Mid-Tier Plays

David Montgomery, Detroit Lions

Monty continues to churn and grind out games for the Lions and continues to be strong for DFS purposes. He had a down game against the Saints last week but still managed to find the end zone and that was his FOURTH straight game with a TD since coming back from injury. He is the goal line back in a strong offense that leads to a lot of goal line opportunities. He should get a few of those chances this week as the Lions will take on a poor Bears defense that has been regularly torched this season in every aspect of the game. The Lions should also be able to control this game, which bodes well for Monty as well. Plus we have the ole #RevengeGame narrative! How fun! 

Joe Mixon, Cincinnati Bengals

In his first game with Jake Browning as the Bengals QB, Mixon had his best game of the season by far. He hadn’t scored more than 21 dk points in any game this year and had only scored more than 18 twice this season prior to popping off for 29.7 points against the Jags. His 19 carries were the second most he’s had all year and his 6 receptions and 7 targets were both season highs, which shows how they are trying to get him involved for Browning and make some easier completions for the inexperienced signal caller. Those are good signs for him as he heads into this matchup against the Colts, which ranks as one of the best matchups in the league for running backs this season. I expect a lot of usage once again for the Bengals back. 

Zack Moss, Indianapolis Colts

Cheap Moss chalk week went terribly, as cheap chalk seems to always do. He got a ton of work but only scored 7.7 dk points. On the bright side, he was about 80% owned in GPPs from what I saw and probably even higher in cash games, so everyone was in the same boat really. As expected, he did receive a big price jump this week, but he is still way too cheap for a guy that is going to get the type of volume that he is going to get. He had 19 carries last week and 3 targets, while getting a ton of work down around the goal line. And while he may not have converted any of it into fantasy points, it is a great sign as we head into Week 14. The Bengals rank as an above-average matchup for running backs, so I have a ton of confidence in going back to Moss this week. 

 

NFL DFS RB Value Plays

Ty Chandler, Minnesota Vikings

Chandler was barely used in the Vikings last game and that could have people gun-shy on using him this week, but what’s DFS and especially value plays, without taking a little risk! The Vikings would be wise to utilize their running backs more this week after watching Joshua Dobbs toss four interceptions in their last game and Chandler will obviously benefit from that usage. He played great against Denver in Week 11 and I expect the Vikings to go back to that. He is super cheap and this matchup against the Raiders has proved to provide plenty of points for running backs this year. Alexander Mattison could also be an option, but I would rather risk it with the cheaper and more explosive Chandler. 

 

NFL DFS RB Fades

Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens

For starters, the Gus Bus is FULLY touchdown dependent and I hate that. He has had 7 games this year with fewer than 10 PPR points, despite having 10 touchdowns on the year. He doesn’t catch passes and he doesn’t get enough carries to chug out enough yards. His floor is awful and his ceiling isnt great with 0 games over 30 points and just 3 games over 20. Keaton Mitchell continues to be a growing part of the Ravens offense and this matchup against the Rams isn’t a great one, so there really just isn’t anything to like with Edwards in my option. I would much rather play Moss or even Javonte Williams at this price point over Edwards.