Welcome to Week 11 of the NFL season and the next edition DFS RB Coach! The streak of having the top scoring back came to an end as I did not have Brian Robinson (27.7 points) in my RB Coach. I did have Najee Harris (18.6) smash his cost, while Christian McCaffrey (20.2) and Bijan Robinson (17.6) also scored well. Joe Mixon (12.5) saved face a little bit with a late touchdown, but he still wasn’t a good play and neither was Aaron Jones (9.4). Enough about last week though, let’s look to bounce back in Week 11 from what may have been my worst week of the year thus far, despite some solid plays. It’s time to start putting those DraftKings and FanDuel lineups together and hit the big paydays! Let’s dive into my favorite RB plays!
Be sure to check out the rest of the NFL DFS Coaches and DFS Watch List throughout the week!
Year to date RB Coach stats:
Week 11 Picks
NFL DFS RB Top Plays
Ekeler returned to action in Week 6 and looked like crap in Week 6 and 7, but he is back to doing elite RB things over the last three games now (despite not averaging more than 3.5 YPC in any of them), scoring at least 21 dk points in all three. He has at least SEVEN targets in all three of those games and has found the end zone in all of them (four total TDs in that span). Between the goal line work and the receiving work, Ekeler is primed to continue to be elite for scoring purposes. He has a much better matchup on tap this week too as the Packers just got torched by BOTH Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren in Week 10 and it’s been that way all year for Green Bay.
NFL DFS RB Mid-Tier Plays
I avoided including chalk Pollard last week in here and that proved to be a good choice as he had another stinker game, posting 5.5 points. The Cowboys routed the Giants and that led to zero targets for Pollard and a lot of work for Rico Dowdle. I don’t understand the way the Cowboys are using Pollard at all and it does worry me as we head into this week. However, his price is the lowest been all season and this matchup is a good one for running backs, ranking in the top-3 of the league. I will take the risk in GPPs on Pollard this week and hope he finally has a breakout game, but there is no way you can trust him in cash games.
Robinson had a monster game last week, finishing with 30.7 points on DK, rushing eight times for 38 yards and catching 6 passes for 119 yards and a touchdown. The passing work was a bit of a shocker bu t he certainly made a case for more of it. This week’s matchup against the Giants is a good one and it’s a spot where the Commanders should be able to control the game, which should benefit Robinson heavily (as long as it doesn’t turn into a massacre). He has been a bit up and down this year and we never fully know what his usage will be, so he is a bit risky, but I do like this spot and expect him to have another strong game and possibly find the end zone again.
Conner made his return to action last week and finished with just 7.3 dk points, but he looked pretty good and got a lot of work. He rushed 16 times for 73 yards (4.6 YPC). The issue was that he didn’t find the end zone and had ZERO targets. Passing game work isn’t exactly his bread and butter, but I wouldn’t expect another zero in that area as he is usually good for about two receptions. I like this matchup against the Texans and I like this price tag on Conner, putting him on the cheap end of running backs this week. I expect him to get about 20 touches in this game and he should be able to pay off this near-value level price tag.
NFL DFS RB Value Plays
Warren was named the starting running back for the Steelers last week and he had his best game yet, rushing 15 times for 101 yards and a touchdown while also catching two passes for 9 yards. Harris was still heavily involved and had himself a nice game as well, but this is still good news for Warren moving forward. Warren is talented and he is still very cheap. He also gets a solid amount of passing work with at least 3 targets in all but one game this season and at least 6 targets in three games. This matchup against the Browns is a tough one, but one that I think bodes better for Warren’s skill set than it does for Harris’.
NFL DFS RB Fades
I had Barkley here last week and I am just going to go back to him for a lot of the same reasons this week after he posted a stinker last week. Tommy DeVito is awful and makes this offense even worse than it was with Daniel Jones (somehow. Still not sure how that’s even possible). The Commanders will key in on Barkley and make DeVito beat them (which he won’t). I just don’t see how Barkley can pay off this price tag and I don’t see his ceiling being all that high while this offense looks the way that it does and will continue to struggle to move the ball or score points.