One week of football is not a big sample size. But, as of now, it’s all we’ve got. And we did get some useful information in terms of snap share, route participation, aDot, and, of course, target share that affects how we view these players moving forward.

As with any week of football, we’re going to have our disappointments. Some of that will just be bad games, but some of it will be related to poor usage - that’s a bit more sinister. We’ll also have some great games. Likewise, some of that may be fluky, but some of that may be an indication of bigger things to come, like we believe it is with guys like Emeka Egbuka, Keon Coleman, and Tyler Warren. Our “Target Totem Pole” below will attempt to capture those sentiments. 

2025 Fantasy Football NFL Week 1 Target Report Preview

Why do we do the target report? Well, we have a pretty good indication historically of how many fantasy-relevant pass-catchers can come from each team. The short and sweet is that the vast majority of teams will have one, maybe two fantasy-relevant pass-catchers. And there will almost certainly be more teams with zero than there are with three. Most meaningful fantasy players get at least 100 targets - here is a look at how players on each team over the last decade have hit that milestone.
 


 

In the chart below, what we will do is attempt to take each team and project A. the target pecking order, and B. what target range the players will likely fall into. At the bottom, we’ll include some notes as far as what went into the rankings and color-coded chart. So let’s dive in!

 

 

 

Fantasy Football Target Chart 2025 NFL Week 1

125+ Pace

SE = Split End

100+ Pace

FL = Flanker

Possible 100+ Pace

SL = Slot

Unlikely 100+ Pace

FS = Field Stretcher

Well below 100+ Pace

TE = Tight End

*Injury/suspension

RB = Running Back


 

 

One

 

Two

 

Three

 

Four

 

Five

 
Arizona Cardinals

Trey McBride

TE

Marvin Harrison Jr

SE

Michael Wilson

FL

James Conner

RB

Zay Jones

SL

Atlanta Falcons

Drake London

SE

Kyle Pitts

TE

Darnell Mooney*

FL

Bijan Robinson

RB

Ray-Ray McCloud

SL

Baltimore Ravens

Zay Flowers

FL

Rashod Bateman

SE/FS

Mark Andrews

TE

DeAndre Hopkins

SE

Isaiah Likely*

TE

Buffalo Bills

Keon Coleman

SE

Khalil Shakir

SL

Joshua Palmer

FL

Dalton Kincaid

TE

James Cook

RB

Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan

SE

Xavier Legette

FL

Hunter Renfrow

SL

Ja'Tavion Sanders

TE

Jalen Coker*

SL/FL

Chicago Bears

DJ Moore

SL/FL

Rome Odunze

SE

Colston Loveland

TE

D'Andre Swift

RB

Olamide Zacchaeus

FL

Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase

SL/FL

Tee Higgins

SE

Noah Fant

TE

Mike Gesicki

TE

Andrei Iosivas

WR

Cleveland Browns

Jerry Jeudy

SL/FL

Cedric Tillman

SE

David Njoku

TE

Harold Fannin Jr

TE

Jerome Ford

RB

Dallas Cowboys

CeeDee Lamb

SL/FL

George Pickens

SE

Jake Ferguson

TE

KaVontae Turpin

FL

Javonte Williams

RB

Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton

SE

Evan Engram*

TE

Troy Franklin

SL/FL

Marvin Mims

FL

RJ Harvey

RB

Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown

SL/FL

Sam LaPorta

TE

Jameson Williams

FL

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB

Kalif Raymond

WR

Green Bay Packers

Matthew Golden

FL

Tucker Kraft

TE

Romeo Doubs

SE

Jayden Reed

SL

Josh Jacobs

RB

Houston Texans

Nico Collins

SE

Christian Kirk*

SL

Xavier Hutchinson

SE

Dalton Schultz

TE

Jayden Higgins

FL

Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman

FL

Tyler Warren

TE

Josh Downs

SL

Alec Pierce

SE/FL

Jonathan Taylor

RB

Jacksonville Jaguars

Brian Thomas Jr

SE/SL

Travis Hunter

SL/FL

Brenton Strange

TE

Dyami Brown

FS/FL

Travis Etienne

RB

Kansas City Chiefs

Hollywood Brown

FL

Travis Kelce

TE

Xavier Worthy*

FL/FS

Rashee Rice*

SL

JuJu Smith-Schuster

FL

Las Vegas Raiders

Brock Bowers

TE

Jakobi Meyers

FL

Tre Tucker

SE

Ashton Jeanty

RB

Dont'e Thornton

FL

Los Angeles Chargers

Ladd McConkey

SL/FL

Quentin Johnston

SE

Keenan Allen

SL

Tyler Conklin

TE

Omarion Hampton

RB

Los Angeles Rams

Puka Nacua

FL

Davante Adams

SE

Tutu Atwell

FL/FS

Tyler Higbee

TE

Kyren Williams

RB

Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill

FL

Jaylen Waddle

SL/FL

De'Von Achane

RB

Darren Waller*

TE

Malik Washington

SL

Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson

SE

T.J. Hockenson

TE

Jordan Addison*

FL

Aaron Jones

RB

Jalen Nailor

SL

New England Patriots

Kayshone Boutte

SE

Hunter Henry

TE

Stefon Diggs

FL

Demario Douglas

RB

TreVeyon Henderson

RB

New Orleans Saints

Chris Olave

SE

Rashid Shaheed

FL

Juwan Johnson

TE

Alvin Kamara

RB

Brandin Cooks

FS

New York Giants

Malik Nabers

FL

Wan'Dale Robinson

SL

Darius Slayton

SE/FS

Theo Johnson

TE

Tyrone Tracy

RB

New York Jets

Garrett Wilson

FL

Breece Hall

RB

Josh Reynolds

SE

Mason Taylor

TE

Allen Lazard

SE

Philadelphia Eagles

AJ Brown

SE

DeVonta Smith

SL/FL

Dallas Goedert

TE

Jahan Dotson

SL/FS

Saquon Barkley

RB

Pittsburgh Steelers

DK Metcalf

SE

Calvin Austin

FL

Jonnu Smith

TE

Pat Freiermuth

TE

Kenneth Gainwell

RB

San Francisco 49ers

Ricky Pearsall

FL

Jauan Jennings

FL

George Kittle*

TE

Christian McCaffrey

RB

Brandon Aiyuk

SE

Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

SL/FL

Cooper Kupp

SL/FL

AJ Barner

TE

Kenneth Walker

RB

Elijah Arroyo

TE

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans

SE

Emeka Egbuka

FL

Chris Godwin*

SL/FL

Sterling Shepard

SL

Cade Otton

TE

Tennessee Titans

Calvin Ridley

FL

Elic Ayomanor

FL

Chig Okonkwo

TE

Tyler Lockett

SE

Tony Pollard

FL

Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin

SE

Deebo Samuel

SL/FL

Zach Ertz

TE

Austin Ekeler

RB

Noah Brown*

SE


Fantasy Football Week 1 Target Report Advice & Takeaways

If a team has a ** next to them, it means they moved to a new section. If a team has a note, it means there is something we should monitor or some sort of change. If there are no notes, we can assume it is business as usual. After the first week of football, there are a lot of notes!

Clear Top Two

Arizona Cardinals

Cincinnati Bengals

Dallas Cowboys

Denver Broncos

Indianapolis Colts**

Jacksonville Jaguars**

  • Brian Thomas Jr
  • Travis Hunter
    • Travis Hunter got the snaps, routes, and targets to be elevated to a guy that we are leaning on moving forward. Brenton Strange was tied for third in targets with Dyami Brown, putting him in that “handcuff plus” TE range where you can start him in a pinch but likely need an injury to BTJ or Hunter for upside. 

Las Vegas Raiders**

  • Brock Bowers
  • Jakobi Meyers
    • Brock Bowers was dealing with a bit of a knee issue, but still got his targets - he’s too good. Jakobi Meyers came out and played a massive snap share with 10 targets, making him a reliable option. Tre Tucker played over Dont’e Thornton, putting him on the back burner for now. 

Los Angeles Rams

Minnesota Vikings **

  • Justin Jefferson
  • T.J. Hockenson
    • This is a different spot from our pre-draft version of the article, as we were focusing on season-long. For now, in the weekly report, Jordan Addison is suspended for at least two more games. So Jefferson and Hockenson are the clear top two options. 

New York Giants**

  • Malik Nabers
  • Wan’Dale Robinson
    • Despite the new QB, they picked off right where they left off last year, with both Malik Nabers and Wan’Dale Robinson getting peppered with targets. Robinson was still actually a part-time guy with Darius Slayton playing opposite Nabers, but it didn’t matter; he was a go-to guy on third downs. 

Seattle Seahawks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Washington Commanders**

  • Terry McLaurin
  • Deebo Samuel
    • I had my doubts about Deebo. But he looked the best he has looked since his legendary season in 2021. He got 10 targets and one of his signature carries. This is not good news for Zach Ertz, but it is good news for Jayden Daniels

 

 


 

High Consolidation

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Ladd McConkey
  • Quentin Johnston
  • Keenan Allen
    • The Chargers, shockingly, came out slinging the football. And all three wide receivers played a bunch and got a bunch of looks. It will be interesting to see who gets the looks in lower-volume affairs. But this week, all three of them gave us viable fantasy results. Johnston played more snaps and ran higher aDot routes, so he gets the nod on the chart. 

Miami Dolphins

New Orleans Saints**

Philadelphia Eagles

San Francisco 49ers

 

 

 

One Stud, Then Uncertainty

Atlanta Falcons

  • Drake London
    • We love to see the 82% route participation for Kyle Pitts. But we can’t bump him up to locked-in territory until Darnell Mooney returns. Case Washington will continue to fill in for him until then. Keep an eye on Drake London, who left with a shoulder issue. 

Baltimore Ravens

  • Zay Flowers
    • The Ravens threw the ball fairly sparingly here and, outside of Flowers, who got 9 targets, no one got more than 3. If the game script looks like this against the Bills, they might not need to throw much against a lot of these teams.  

Carolina Panthers**

  • Tetairoa McMillan 
    • We like what we saw from Tet McMillan, leading the team in snaps, routes, and targets. Xavier Leggette and Hunter Renfrew weren’t far behind in routes, and each got 5-6 targets, but we need to see what happens when Jalen Coker comes back. Ja’Tavion Sanders rotated with Tommy Tremble, relegating him to a DFS only option for now. 

Detroit Lions

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown
    • Many of us expected Jameson Williams to take a step forward here, but this week, it was Sam LaPorta and Jahmyr Gibbs leading the charge in targets. Williams did play more snaps than he did last year, which is a plus. This team could be a guessing game week to week, but we are hoping it’s highly consolidated enough among these four guys that we can move them to that section. Despite the great one-handed catch, Kalif Raymond played over Isaac TeSlaa

Houston Texans

New York Jets

Pittsburgh Steelers

Tennessee Titans

  • Calvin Ridley
    • Calvin Ridley is the guy - this is arguably the toughest matchup he will see. Elic Ayomamor was on our radar, but now he’s even more appealing after running the second-most routes and getting the second most targets. Chig Okonkwo played the second most snaps behind Ridley and ran 28 routes, so solid usage for him, too. Lockett was the third man and not heavily involved. 

 

 

 

Wide Open

Buffalo Bills

  • Keon Coleman
  • Khalil Shakir
  • Joshua Palmer
  • Dalton Kincaid
    • Elijah Moore hardly played, so we were able to eliminate him from the list. And Dalton Kincaid did not play as big a role as we hoped, though he did find paydirt. All three of Coleman, Shakir, and Palmer got 8+ targets, but Coleman definitely looked like he’s taken a step forward. He also led in snaps and routes. Hopefully, he can keep the momentum going. 

Chicago Bears

Cleveland Browns

  • Jerry Jeudy
  • Cedric Tillman
  • Noah Fant
  • Harold Fannin
    • This one just got a bit complicated. The Browns featured heavy two-tight end sets. Njoku ran 41 routes to 32 for Fannin, but Fannin got more targets. When you throw 48 times, that is fine for everyone but not every week will be like that.

Green Bay Packers

Kansas City Chiefs

New England Patriots

  • Kayshon Boutte
  • Hunter Henry
  • Stefon Diggs
  • Demario Douglas
  • TreVeyon Henderson
    • We didn’t get much clarification here, though we did see Kayshon Boutte lead in snaps, routes run, and targets, which boosts him up. On the flip side, Kyle Williams hardly played. Stefon Diggs was used sparingly but still got seven targets, so we’ll need to see where he lands or if he will be a full-time guy - he is coming off an ACL injury. Hunter Henry was second on the team in routes run and tied for the target lead, so he has to be pleased with that, though he did block on more pass plays than we generally like to see.