Fantasy baseball pitching matchups: is there a more important yet more unpredictable aspect of winning in your daily fantasy lineups? 

That's exactly why Fantasy Alarm is proud to introduce Fantasy Baseball Daily Pitching Matchup Rating Grid: a game-changing tool to arm you with the edge you need to destroy the competition. 

 

 

 

What is the MLB Pitching Matchup Grid? It is a simple yet powerful go-to tool for evaluating starting pitchers each day of the season. 

We will not just give the starters for the day; instead, we will take a deep dive into various important metrics such as opposing team batting statistics, pitcher ERA, strikeout rates, park factors, and weather conditions in order to deliver a thorough rating for every matchup. 

In the ever-changing world of fantasy baseball starting pitchers, there is daily movement with rising aces ascending the 2025 list and aging stars taking on new challenges. 

In fact, it becomes a critical component of DFS lineup selection, spotting sleepers, or steering clear of potential disasters. 

The colors in the rating scale will signify the matchups in the following way: 

  • GREEN - Elite Arms that will face more conducive conditions and thus possess high upside.
  • YELLOW - Slightly riskier plays, but they could have the upside of getting the win.
  • ORANGE - Plays that should be approached with caution.
  • RED - Those facing difficult matchups or in risky environments.

 

Updated: 10/6/2025

PitcherTeamMatchupKey Stats
Blake SnellLos Angeles DodgersPhiladelphia PhilliesSnell has been significantly better at home than on the road in 2025, as he pitched to a 4.30 ERA and 25.3 K% on the road (compared to a 1.17 ERA and 30.2 K% at home). His 2.96 FIP and 2.43 xFIP on the road are excellent, however, and he racked up 12 strikeouts across seven shutout innings in his only start against the Phillies this year (at home).
Jesus LuzardoPhiladelphia PhilliesLos Angeles DodgersDespite a 4.16 ERA at home this season, Luzardo had a 31.0 K%, 1.12 WHIP, and 2.50 FIP, all of which were better than his road numbers. He recorded a 2.14 ERA and 39.0 K% over his last five home starts (33.2 IP), but he hasn't fared well across 14.2 career postseason innings (6.14 ERA, 5.40 FIP, .328 BAA). However, the majority of those innings came back in 2019 and 2020, so basically half a decade ago.
Shota ImanagaChicago CubsMilwaukee BrewersImanaga allowed three or fewer earned runs in all three starts against Milwaukee this season, and he finds himself on the better side of his home/road splits (16.7 K-BB%, 4.47 FIP on the road). The Chicago southpaw has served up a 2.22 HR/9 to RHH this season, but Milwaukee could be missing an impact right-handed bat in Jackson Chourio.
Aaron AshbyMilwaukee BrewersChicago CubsAshby has completed 3 IP in just four appearances this season, so it's fair to wonder how deep he can actually work into this game. Furthermore, on only two occasions this season did he surpass 50 pitches (6/23 & 8/19), so I'd expect that the hope is that he can maybe get through the order once, or at least get through the top half of the lineup.