Who's ready for some Monday NIght Football bets? We've got another double-header and I'm amped up for it, especially after Sunday's games. When it comes to the 2023 NFL season and your football betting, some days you’re the dog and some days, you’re the hydrant. The first two weeks were spectacular and then Week 3 hit me like a ton of bricks. I nailed a few player props, but as you saw here on the site and maybe on Friday’s Bettor Sports Betting Show with Dan Servodidio, I missed my game picks and some of them weren’t even close. I knew the Washington Commanders were done by the end of the first quarter and that the Atlanta Falcons were toast by the end of the half. Same with the Las Vegas Raiders. The Los Angeles Chargers/Minnesota Vikings teased me near the end, but based off the way both teams were playing, the over in that game was more of a pipe dream. We’re still playing with profit thanks to string weeks to open the season, so let’s get back on top for this week with some Monday Night Football action.



NFL Best Bets and Player Props for NFL Week 3 Monday Night Football

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread: Eagles -5.5

It’s very interesting that we keep seeing this spread fluctuate as I have seen it at minus-5 for most of the day, but some have it at minus-4.5 and now I’m seeing 5.5. Guess the Eagles fans are throwing down some green for their birds. But I’m not so sure how much I love them in this match-up. The Eagles took care of a Patriots team that has a sub-par offense in Week 1 and then beat up the defensively-challenged Vikings in Week 2. The Bucs defense is significantly better than that of the first two Eagles opponents and the run-stuffing that you get from Vita Vea and the middle linebackers is a major factor. Not to mention, you’ve got strong personnel in the secondary. On the other side, the Eagles secondary has taken a few hits from the injury bug, so if the pass-rush is what it usually is, Baker Mayfield is going to have to get rid of the football quickly which will make it difficult for the Eagles ball-hawks to gain any advantage. This is a “bet it now” for me while the extra half-point is in-play. Pick: Bucs +5.5

Total: 44.5

I feel like this could be a tight defensive battle and even though we have so much firepower on both sides I could easily see this game coming it at 23-20. The Bucs defense ranks seventh in DVOA while the Eagles are 15th. I worry that too much stock is being put into how many passing yards the Eagles have allowed, simply because they have forced teams to pass on them while playing from behind. I think it’s a tighter battle here. Pick: Under

Player Props:

Los Angeles Rams at Cincinnati Bengals

Spread: Bengals -3

I discussed this game during Friday’s show and my feelings haven’t really changed. The line opened at minus-7 and has since dropped to minus-3 (minus-2.5 in some places). If/When Joe Burrow is announced as out for the game, this line is very likely to flip, so take the Rams getting points is a must for me. Even if Burrow does play, I am not confident in him or his calf making through the entire game, so let’s just all put our Matthew Stafford jerseys on and pretend like we knew Puca Nacua was going to dominate in targets like he’s doing. No major analysis needed here. I don’t see Jake Browning leading this team to victory or, if he does, but any sort of a wide margin. Pick: Rams +3

Total: 43.5

If Swaggy Joe doesn’t play, I’m just not sure how many points the Bengals score. The Rams defense looks terrible which is why Stafford is throwing as much as he is, but can Browning lead the way? Or can Joe Mixon? On the other side, the Bengals defense isn’t all that great either. They rank 29th in DVOA, just behind the Rams, and they can be run on and passed on a bunch. I think the world tilts towards the under in this one because of Browning, but the defenses are just bad enough to see the score run up a little bit. Not a lot. But a little bit. Pick: Over

Player Props:

**all odds and line courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook