Yesterday was a Meat Loaf day, and almost an NBA best bets sweep. It was a profitable day, with 1.4 units gained, and that’s what happens when you win two out of three…. ‘And two out of three ain’t bad’. 

 

 

 

Aaron Gordon smashed his rebounding line, and Anthony Davis got off the hook with 14 rebounds in an easy Los Angeles Lakers victory. The Knicks missed six fourth quarter free throws, had timely turnovers, and missed two field goal attempts in the last ten seconds of the game. They also allowed Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (who was listed as doubtful yesterday morning), to score an easy basket from a sideline pass with under five seconds to play in the game. 

As we enter the last two weeks of the regular season, you can feel the intensity in the games. There are six games today, and some of them are guaranteed to be intense. Three games are expected blowouts, and three have spreads under three points. One of the projected blowouts has our favorite player since the All-Star break, as Pascal Siakam and the Indiana Pacers play the Brooklyn Nets. 

A player that made a frequent run in January is back in the NBA best bets column again. Coby White and the Chicago Bulls host the Atlanta Hawks at the United Center. The Bet of the Night comes from a match that is possibly the game of the night: the New Orleans Pelicans host the Phoenix Suns at the Smoothie King Center.

Expert NBA Best Bet Today, 4/1

Kevin Durant Props: Over 6.5 Rebounds (+120 on DraftKings)

The Phoenix Suns are back in action against the New Orleans Pelicans, and it is the closest projected game today. There is currently a -1 spread on the Pelicans, which is essentially a ‘pick ‘em’ scenario. It should live up to the sportsbooks projections as both teams battle for position in the Western Conference. 

The Pelicans enter as the sixth seed and the Phoenix Suns are currently the eighth seed. Both are capable of moving up or down in the rankings despite there being less than ten games remaining in the regular season.

Kevin Durant has been the reliable leader of the Suns this year. He is fully aware that the play-in could be a daunting task, and it will very likely see one of the three best players this century; LeBron James, Kevin Durant, or Stephen Curry be eliminated from the playoffs. As it sits the Suns have the best chance to avoid the play-in…and a win tonight would go a long way in helping those chances.

The Pelicans are tough against forwards and allow the third fewest rebounds to the position. However, Brandon Ingram is still out with an injury designation and starting center Jonas Valanciunas played over twenty-two minutes in just two games in March. In fact, he did not play over twenty-six minutes in any game last month and did not record more than ten rebounds in any game. 

Durant has eight or more rebounds in five of his last eight games. He would have recorded at least seven in the last game had he not been pulled with over 7:30 remaining in the fourth quarter. He has been much more aggressive on the glass: utilizing his height (6’ 11”), his long arms, his experience, and his high basketball IQ. 

Kevin Durant will be bringing the energy tonight, and he doesn’t need to be told by a coach or the media how important this game is. Trust him to deliver on his plus odds prop.

 

 

 

NBA Prop Bets Today, 4/1

Pascal Siakam Props: Over 8.5 Rebounds (-104 w/ Boost on Fanatics Sportsbook)

Pascal Siakam’s rebounding line hasn’t moved back down since moving up to 8.5. Tonight against the Brooklyn Nets it stays at 8.5, but with good reason. The Nets allow the fourth most rebounds to opposing forwards and allow 52.4 rebounds per game. 

Siakam has been on a roll; he has nine or more rebounds in seven of his last ten games. He has played in thirty or more minutes in ten of his last twelve games and become the Pacers second best player in his short amount of time with the team. 

The sixth place Pacers are only half a game ahead of the seventh place Miami Heat, and two games ahead of the eighth place Philadelphia 76ers. They do not have the luxury of taking rest, or losing games.

Siakam should have a good rebounding night against the Nets, and Fanatics Sportsbooks has a 10% boost that can be applied to the bet. This gives this prop almost even odds and it has been the most successful bet since the All-Star break. Put a unit on our guy.

 

 

 

Coby White Props: Under 19.5 Points (-110 on BetMGM)

Coby White and the Chicago Bulls are playing in the second of back-to-back games. They are hosting the Atlanta Hawks and this is very likely a preview of the play-in game between the ninth and tenth seed of the Eastern Conference. The Bulls are currently ninth and the Hawks tenth, and the Brooklyn Nets are 5.5 games behind the Hawks. 

White was a common name in this article earlier this season. He is not scoring at the pace he was when he had the ball in his hands more often. He has scored twenty or more points in just two of his last ten games. The scoring is not as prevalent as it was earlier this season, and his season average is not reflecting his scoring slump. 

Fellow teammate DeMar DeRozan has been the team's leading scorer, and White has taken a secondary role. Nikola Vucevic has also been scoring more and playing better as a whole since the All-Star break.

Coby White has really only himself for his dip in points. His field goal percentage was down to 37.7% for the month of March, and on back-to-back nights it should be around there again. A smart under prop bet worthy of a unit. 

 

 

 

Thanks for reading my NBA best bets today! Remember to check out Fantasy Alarm for all your fantasy and betting needs.

Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy

*All bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise