Jake Bennett Underdog MLB Picks Today, 9/3: Baseball Projections + More

Thursday’s top two Underdog plays feature a command-first lefty attacking an extreme matchup and a workhorse ace whose sheer volume of innings gives him a real path to a modest number for Underdog Fantasy. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker.

Jake Bennett MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 4.5 Strikeouts

Bennett has been a pleasant surprise for Boston, backing a 9-6 record and 3.27 ERA with 74 strikeouts across 93.2 innings, and his last outing against the Yankees produced six scoreless innings on just three hits. He is more of a command arm than a big strikeout pitcher, but Baltimore carries a 27.4 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching for the season that has stayed just as hot at 26.6 percent over the last two weeks, an extreme matchup on both timeframes. That combination gives even a contact-oriented lefty like Bennett a real path to clearing this modest number tonight.

Sandy Alcantara MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 3.5 Strikeouts

Alcantara ranks among the major-league leaders in innings pitched, backing a 13-8 record and 3.46 ERA with 140 strikeouts across 189.2 innings, and he already owns a 1-0 record with a 2.40 ERA in two starts against Kansas City this season. His strikeout rate is modest at 6.6 per nine, but his ability to work deep into games means he faces enough hitters over a full outing to clear a low bar like this one. August was arguably his best month, including seven shutout innings with eight strikeouts against the Angels. That combination of a proven track record against this exact opponent and his typical workhorse volume gives him a clear path to clearing this number.

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