From today until the end of the Major League Baseball season, Saturday is for looking at the various streaks and trends across the MLB, as well as those fantasy baseball players with rising or falling stock. Who should be your priority waiver wire pickups? Who deserves some of your precious FAAB? Are there any potential fantasy baseball buy-low trade candidates? As always, we’ll start by talking about some fantasy baseball risers and fallers, highlighted by Steven Matz and Andres Munoz, the latter of whom I believe is an elite fantasy closer the rest of the way. On the other hand, Tyler Wells and A.J. Puk have seen their fantasy values take a bit of a hit. Let’s take a look at some of the notable hit streaks and current trends across Major League Baseball, as well as fantasy baseball risers and fallers.

1Luis Arraez.3761Juan Soto.4241Shohei Ohtani.683
2Ronald Acuna Jr..3382Luis Arraez.4222Matt Olson.597
T2Freddie Freeman.338T2Ronald Acuna Jr..4223Freddie Freeman.593
4Bo Bichette.3214Freddie Freeman.4154Ronald Acuna Jr..587
5Yandy Diaz.3135Shohei Ohtani.4135Mookie Betts.575
xBAxwOBAHard Hit%
1Ronald Acuna Jr..3511Aaron Judge.4881Aaron Judge63.6%
2Corey Seager.3322Ronald Acuna Jr..4562Matt Chapman59.5%
3Freddie Freeman.3273Shohei Ohtani.4413Matt Olson58.2%
4Bo Bichette.3214Corey Seager.4404Juan Soto57.8%
T4Luis Arraez.3215Yordan Alvarez.428T5C. Seager/R. Acuna Jr.57.3%
Hit Streaks
14C.J. Cron561017412413.304/.361/.554
11Mookie Betts4313142586.326/.442/.581
10Ha-Seong Kim349163792.471/.581/.765
10Ryan Jeffers3471327611.382/.488/.588
9Shohei Ohtani288144599.500/.641/1.000
9Austin Riley366124738.333/.385/.722
9Adolis Garcia3361148410.333/.405/.727
8Juan Soto3361451159.424/.500/.909
8Bryan Reynolds347143508.412/.429/.706
8Yordan Alvarez297123544.414/.500/.793
8Maikel Garcia326110722.344/.351/.469

Fantasy Baseball Risers

Steven Matz, St. Louis Cardinals

As much as Matz would often be treated as a free square for opposing offenses for much of the season, the same can’t be said here of late. In five starts in July, he posted a 27:5 K/BB ratio across 26.2 innings of work, alongside a 1.69 BB/9, 1.69 ERA, and 2.78 FIP. Sure, a .229 BABIP won’t hurt, but he’s dropped the usage on his curveball, and has primarily relied on his sinker and changeup of late. His changeup has induced a 29.6 percent whiff rate this season, and the increasing usage with this pitch is key, and the results speak for itself.

He actually gets a nice start today (8/5) against Colorado, a team that has been putrid against left-handed pitching all season, especially away from Coors Field.

Andres Munoz, Seattle Mariners

At the MLB Trade Deadline, the Mariners sent Paul Sewald to the Arizona Diamondbacks, opening the door for Munoz to step into the closer role. He earned saves on August 2 and August 3, striking out five of the six batters he’s faced. Munoz has a 36.1 percent strikeout rate this season, and while his walk rate is in the double-digits, which isn’t ideal, he generates a ton of ground balls, so a spare walk here and there shouldn’t hurt him. The Mariners still have enough juice to win games, putting Munoz in a very lucrative spot for fantasy purposes down the stretch. At the end of the day, he sports a 99th percentile fastball velocity and a slider that has posted a 50+ percent whiff rate each of the last two seasons. Potential elite closer here, ladies and gentlemen.

Honorable Mention: Giovanny Gallegos, Brooks Raley, Tanner Scott, Lars Nootbaar, Luis Rengifo, James Outman, Michael Massey, Brady Singer, Aaron Civale


Fantasy Baseball Fallers

Tyler Wells, Baltimore Orioles

Being optioned to Triple-A was just the icing on the cake here as leading up to the demotion, he had been struggling. In his final three starts prior to being optioned to Triple-A, he didn’t make it out of three innings in two of those three starts, posting an 11.00 ERA, 4.00 HR/9, 17.9 percent barrel rate, and 46.4 percent hard hit rate. Additionally, over his last couple of starts, the velocity dropped and once you realize that this is the most innings he’s thrown in a season since 2018 (119.1 IP in A+ and AA), the picture is becoming more clear…

Wells will likely rejoin the team at some point, but temper expectations when that time comes.

A.J. Puk, Miami Marlins

Puk has 15 saves on the year and a 30.8 percent strikeout rate, which all things considered are good for fantasy managers. However, despite a 3.17 xERA and 3.46 FIP, he has a 4.75 ERA on the season, as his HR/9 mark sits at 1.50, and his BABIP at .337. Puk’s last recorded save was July 8th against Philadelphia, and since that outing, while he has an exceptional 13 strikeouts across seven innings of work, he has a 7.71 ERA and 5.14 BB/9. Furthermore, the team acquired David Robertson at the MLB Trade Deadline, adding to the competition for saves in Miami. Robertson seems to have the leg up on Puk for save chances the rest of the way, and if Robertson falters, the team could look to Tanner Scott, who has a 2.13 ERA with seven holds since July 1.

Honorable Mention: George Springer, Trea Turner, Willy Adames, Andres Gimenez, Luis Severino, Mitch Keller, Yu Darvish, Emmet Sheehan

Statistical Credits:


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