Happy Tuesday, April 14th. We have a 10-game MLB DFS slate on DraftKings and FanDuel, starting at 7:05 pm ET.

It's a loaded pitching slate, with a bunch of high-upside arms at every lever of the salary spectrum. Ownership is mostly spread out because of that fact. There are a couple of offenses in obviously great spots, but there are also other offenses with upside to target. 

For updated MLB DFS projections, lineup generator, and ownership projections, visit FantasyAlarm.com.

⚡ THE SLATE DASHBOARD

💎 PITCHING COACH

Top Tier

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | vs NYM

Yamamoto feels a touch underpriced, especially given how awful the Mets' offense has been (83 wRC+ vs RHP). The one negative about the matchup is that, despite their overall struggles, the Mets still haven't struck out much. 

Yamamoto has also experienced a dip in strikeouts (20.9% vs 29.4% LY), but the underlying numbers erase any concern in that department. His swinging-strike rate is actually higher this season than it was last season, when he posted a 29.4% strikeout rate. 

MacKenzie Gore (TEX) | vs ATH

I actually prefer the upside of Gore to Yamamoto in tournaments, factoring in matchup and a slight ownership discount. There is an obvious risk for Gore, pitching in an elite hitter's park against a powerful offense, but the strikeout upside outweighs the risk. 

The Athletics struck out at the fourth-highest rate in the league against LH pitching last season, and they are in the same position so far this year. 

Gore has been in elite form through three starts, racking up 25 strikeouts in 16.1 innings and allowing just five earned runs. 

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) | vs TOR

Misiorowski is in a tough matchup against the Blue Jays, but the strikeout upside cannot be ignored in tournaments. The young phenom leads MLB starters with a 41.8% strikeout rate through three starts, and he already has two double-digit strikeout performances this season. 

Toronto is one of the lowest strikeout teams in all of baseball, but Yamamoto and Gausman also have tough strikeout matchups. The Miz is capable of spiking another big strikeout game against anyone. 

Value Plays

Nolan McLean (NYM) | vs LAD

McLean has been dominant across his first three starts of the season, after he was dominant in 11 starts down the stretch of last season. 

He is the very best pitching prospect in all of baseball, and he's already built up a track record of missing bats, with a 31.5% strikeout rate dating back to his MLB debut last season. 

Now for the bad news. He faces the best offense in all of baseball, and he is a significant underdog with Yamamoto on the other side of the matchup. It's undoubtedly an uncomfortable spot, but the tantalizing upside at sub-5% ownership is hard to ignore. 

Michael King (SD) | vs SEA

Michael King carries significant upside at his price tag in a matchup with the Mariners. He has been the Padres' best starter since they acquired him from the Yankees a few seasons back. 

His strikeouts are down slightly this season, but the underlying data, like swinging-strike and called strike-whiff rate, show no signs of decline or cause for concern.

The Mariners were a good offense last season, but they still struck out at a top-ten rate. This season, they are right back in that range at 9th, with a 24.7% strikeout rate against righties. 

Ryan Weathers (NYY) | vs LAA

Weathers is one of the top point-per-dollar options on the slate. After struggling a bit in his first two starts as a Yankee, Weathers put together a dominant outing against the Athletics. The lefty tossed eight innings of one-run ball and fanned seven. Upside like that is hard to come by at his price. 

Tonight, Weathers gets another great matchup against the strikeout-prone Angels. The Halos struck out at the highest rate in the league last season, and they sit at 11th in the early going this season. 

💎 HITTING COACH

Elite Bats

Aaron Judge (OF, NYY) | vs LAA

Judge is always in play for the top bat on the slate, but this is an especially good spot for him. He is coming off a two-homer game last night, and he gets another lefty starter tonight. Judge posted a ridiculous .447 ISO against lefties last season. Righty power was a big problem for Detmers in his last season as a starter. 

Yordan Alvarez (OF, HOU) | vs COL

Alvarez is coming off an injury-plagued season that saw his production dip to the lowest point of his career, and he was still 18% better than the average hitter. The slugger has wasted no time proving that dip in production was entirely injury-related, as he's off to a scorching hot start this season. He's already banged out five homers and is sporting a gaudy .393 ISO and 224 wRC+. 

Jose Ramirez (3B, CLE) | vs STL

Jose Ramirez is yet another elite bat in a great spot. He's off to a slow start this season, but that is almost certainly not going to last. He has massive power and has stolen 40+ bases in back-to-back seasons. 

Tonight, he gets a matchup against a low-strikeout pitcher who has allowed a 12% barrel rate so far this season. McGreevey has had pretty extreme batted ball luck (.204 BABIP, 4.5% HR/FB) that has kept ERA down, but the regression could be coming as soon as tonight.  

Corey Seager (SS, TEX) | vs ATH

Seager is in a lefty-lefty matchup, and that should keep his ownership in check. Springs was good against lefties last season, but he struggled mightily in his home park. He allowed 1.86 HR/9 and a .212 ISO when pitching at Sutter Health last season. 

Seager handles lefties just fine, posting a robust .215 ISO last season. The massive park upgrade and a bad Athletics pen behind Springs only adds to his upside. 

Value Bats (Salary Savers)

• Josh Naylor (1B, SEA): He's struggled to begin the season, but he's still mis-priced for a hitter who is coming off a 128 wRC+ last season. 
• Jordan Walker (OF, STL): Walker leads MLB in home runs and might finally be delivering on his massive potential. 
• Wyatt Langford (OF, TEX): A massive park upgrade and a matchup with a righty who struggled massively with RH power in his home park a season ago. 
• Jose Caballero (SS, NYY): Cheap, low-owned option on the team with the highest implied run total on the slate. Posted an excellent .202 ISO against lefties last season.  

🏗️ THE STACKING BLUEPRINT

Primary Stack: New York Yankees 

Targets: Judge, Bellinger, Stanton, Chisholm, Rosario, Caballero

Opponent: Los Angeles Angels | NYY 5.8 implied

New York is coming off an 11-run outburst last night, and they are in a similar spot tonight. Detmers had home run problems as a starter two seasons ago. He's been extremely lucky through three starts in his transition back to the rotation. His velocity is down from the gains he showed from the bullpen last season. 

Primary Stack: Houston Astros 

Targets: Alvarez, Altuve, Paredes, Walker, Correa 

Opponent: Colorado Rockies | HOU 5.6 implied 

Houston has lost eight games in a row, but it hasn't been because of the offense. Their .360 wOBA and 131 wRC+ both rank second in baseball behind only the Dodgers. Lorenzen has had reverse splits throughout his career, but don't leave the red-hot Yordan Alvarez out of stacks. 

Contrarian Stack: Cleveland Guardians 

Targets: Ramirez, Kwan, DeLauter, Hoskins, Manzardo 

Opponent: St. Louis Cardinals | CLE 4.6 implied 

Only Jose Ramirez projects to carry double-digit ownership. The Guardians have sneaky upside against an extremely low-strikeout pitcher who has had very fortunate batted ball luck through three starts. 

Contrarian Stack: Texas Rangers 

Targets: Seager, Langford, Burger, Jansen, Jung 

Opponent: Athletics | TEX 4.6 implied 

The Rangers get a huge park upgrade in an elite hitter's park. They have struggled against lefties to begin this season, and they were below average against them last season, but Springs also had massive trouble in his home park a season ago. 

📈 THE LEVERAGE REPORT (GAME THEORY)

🎯 HEART OF THE ORDER

The core pieces for every lineup you build today. Ownership drives the cash versus GPP label.

Player Pool

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