Kyle Harrison ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 9/17: Baseball Projections + More

Thursday's top two ParlayPlay plays go in opposite directions, with a Brewers lefty coming off a disastrous relief outing projecting under and the Twins' strikeout leader projecting over against baseball's worst team. Our MLB DFS Projections have both arms flagged as strong plays tonight. For a deeper look at how tonight's arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today's strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board.

Kyle Harrison MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Lower than 5.5 Strikeouts

Harrison's last outing was a disaster, charged with four earned runs on four hits without recording a single out in relief against Cincinnati, coming right after a two-month absence for forearm tightness. He is being moved back into a starting role tonight following the Brewers' rotation shuffle after clinching the NL Central, adding real uncertainty about both his workload and sharpness. Pittsburgh's strikeout rate against left-handed pitching has cooled to just 16.7 percent over the last two weeks, down from a 25.3 percent season mark. That combination of a genuinely worrying last appearance and a cooling opponent makes the under the smarter side of this number. That is the number. That is the play.

Taj Bradley MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 6.5 Strikeouts

Bradley sits just 10 strikeouts shy of 200 for the season, backing an 11-6 record and 3.81 ERA with a sharp .217 opponents' batting average. His last outing produced six scoreless innings against Cleveland on just one hit, and he owns a 1-0 record with a 2.95 ERA in three career appearances against Los Angeles. Los Angeles carries a 25.8 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching that has climbed to an elite 29.8 percent over the last two weeks. Do not overthink it.

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