Tarik Skubal ParlayPlay MLB Picks Today, 9/14: Baseball Projections + More

Monday's top two ParlayPlay plays both go over, with a two-time Cy Young winner riding his best stretch since joining the Dodgers and a Guardians ace who was deliberately rested to open a pivotal series. Our MLB DFS Projections have both arms flagged as strong plays tonight. For a deeper look at how tonight's arms project pitch by pitch, check out our MLB DFS Pitcher Projections, and line-shop today's strikeout numbers with our MLB Odds Finder before you build your board.

Tarik Skubal MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Skubal has found another level over his last four starts with the Dodgers, and his most recent outing against these same Reds was his best yet, working into the eighth inning for the first time since the trade while striking out five over two runs allowed. For the season, he carries a 9-7 record with a 2.84 ERA and 164 strikeouts against just 24 walks over 139.2 innings. Cincinnati carries a 24.5 percent strikeout rate against left-handed pitching for the season, a favorable matchup against a Reds offense that just got blown out 20-0 and 13-9 in Milwaukee. That combination of upward-trending form and a struggling opponent gives him a clear path to clearing this number. That is the number. That is the play.

Gavin Williams MLB ParlayPlay Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Williams was intentionally held back several days by Cleveland to open this massive series on full rest, riding a stretch of double-digit strikeouts in eight of his last 11 outings. He carries a 13-7 record and 3.78 ERA with 228 strikeouts across 169 innings, a pace north of 12 strikeouts per nine. Chicago carries the league's third-highest strikeout rate in September at 26.7 percent, and the White Sox have lost five of their last six games while hitting a league-worst .200 this month. Do not overthink it.

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