We have a big 14-game slate tonight to dissect for tonight’s value vault and to add to that there are some interesting weather patterns in play as well, though no postponements are likely. On a big slate there tends to be lots of ways to build your lineups but the key to it is to hit on the right value plays.
Zach Plesac , RHP CLE - Plesac has been a solid option each of his last four starts out and now draws the Angels on Tuesday. The Angels have been striking out 29.4-percent of the time against righties the last two weeks and that was with Mike Trout in the lineup, who now won’t be since he left injured last night. Look for another solid outing from the Cleveland righty tonight.
Seth Brown, OF OAK - Brown has been sneaky good against RHP this year with four homers and 12 RBI in 68 at-bats and a .302 wOBA while Christian Javier has allowed a .312 wOBA to left-handed hitters. If we’re looking for a piece of the Athletics lineup tonight, Brown is one of the better left-handed hitters in that lineup and is coming at a discount compared to others and perhaps has lower draft percentage associated with him as well.
Adam Frazier , 2B PIT - Frazier is 4-for-10 off of John Gant in previous meetings with a .385 wOBA and has a similar .373 wOBA off of RHPs this year in 117 at-bats. John Gant meanwhile has been pretty hittable this year and is allowing over a .660 OPS to LHHs and a .317 wOBA. If the Pirates lineup can do anything to the Cardinals tonight, Frazier will benefit as the leadoff hitter.
Tucker Davidson, LHP ATL - Davidson got the call to take a spot in the Braves rotation and now gets to face a Mets squad that has basically no one left on the field. Add to that the fact that the Mets haven’t exactly been hitting left-handed pitching very well the last few weeks either with an 86 wRC+ and 23.2-percent K-rate. He’s only an SP2 option, hence being in the DK section but at $4,000 if he has a decent day he can save you room for one more top hitter.
Ian Happ , OF CHC - Happ has been good since coming back from a rib injury and has a good history against Patrick Corbin . In prior meetings, Happ is 3-for-7 with a homer with a .571 wOBA off the Nats’ lefty. Against LHPs this year, Happ has a .319 wOBA and with the benefit of being a switch-hitter he can face Corbin from the right side to get the advantage in the match-up. Corbin is coming off his best start of the year, but he’s been rough in most other starts.
Bobby Dalbec, 1B BOS - Dalbec has been turning it on of late as has the rest of the bottom of the Red Sox lineup and this matchup favors him. He’s hit three homers off of lefties this year and he’s posted a .431 wOBA against southpaws and Ryu has allowed a .315 wOBA and a .730 OPS to RHHs. He’s kind of an all or nothing play as the batting average isn’t great but a homer will hit value.
Yermín Mercedes, C CWS - How is he still this cheap on FD? Seriously? It’s not that hard to raise his price as he just keeps hitting and hitting homers as well. Mercedes has been deadly against RHP with five homers and a .410 wOBA and now he’s facing first time starter Bailey Ober instead of Michael Pineda . He does take up the C/1B spot but at this price, it’s not that hard to simply put Mercedes in and forget about it.
Miguel Rojas , SS MIA - Rojas is facing Zack Wheeler which has benefitted Rojas previously as he’s gone 5-for-19 with two homers and five RBI and a .350 wOBA. This year hasn’t gone quite as well against RHPs as he has a .302 wOBA and Wheeler is allowing a .287 wOBA to RHHs. However, at this price it’s worth it on a deep slate if the BvP shows back up he’s worth the shot for sure at a deep position.
Teoscar Hernández , OF TOR - Hernandez is 5-for-14 with three homers and five RBI and a .467 wOBA off of Eduardo Rodríguez in previous meetings. E-Rod has also been hit hard by RHHs allowing a .340 wOBA and a near .800 OPS to them while Hernandez has a near .400 wOBA in 15 at-bats against southpaws. He should be hitting in the middle of the lineup once more and is always a threat to hit a homer.
Kyle Schwarber , OF WAS - Schwarber is feeling it at the dish recently and hit another homer yesterday in his return to Chicago and now gets a favorable matchup tonight against Zach Davies who he’s seen 30 previous times and while he’s only hit him six times, four of those have left the stadium with nine homers. Schwarber also has a .319 wOBA against RHPs and Davies is allowing a .341 wOBA to LHHs and over a .760 OPS. He should be hitting clean-up again and that ups the value too.