MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For July 26th, 2026
Welcome, once again, to the best stolen base picks for today. It was a difficult Saturday for stolen bases as we saw some, but very few of the usual suspects were even remotely involved. We saw a lot of longshots come in over yesterday’s picks, even from the newsletter. We just keep on pushing forward. Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and get right with some winning stolen base picks today.
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Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+172)
- Tyler Tolbert, Kansas City Royals (+208)
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+209)
- Fernando Tatis, San Diego Padres (+243
- Esteury Ruiz, Miami Marlins (+254)
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+288)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Andrew Abbott, Cincinnati Reds – 20 SB allowed
- Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays – 16 SB allowed
- Framber Valdez, Detroit Tigers – 13 SB allowed
- Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays – 12 SB allowed
- Reynaldo Lopez, Atlanta Braves – 12 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att.)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (20 att.)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 7% CS (29 att.)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 8% CS (26 att.)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (41 att.)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 12% CS (17 att.)
- Francisco Alvarez, New York Mets – 12% CS (25 att.)
- Austin Wells, New York Yankees – 12% CS (25 att.)
- Connor Wong, Boston Red Sox – 13% CS (23 att.)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. We’ve got an interesting group of notable base-stealers at shorter odds, but I’m actually looking in other directions today, so here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, July 26:
Favorite Bets:
Jake Mangum, Pittsburgh Pirates (+328)
The Pirates know they need to be aggressive today with right-hander Jameson Taillon on the mound. He pitches to a lot of contact which helps with power against him in Wrigley, but at a park like PNC, we should see plenty of hits, walks and opportunities to steal bases. Mangum, with his .354 OBP against righties, should be in the leadoff spot today and I also expect to see Carson Kelly and his 16-percent caught-stealing rate behind the plate.
Ceddanne Rafaela, Boston Red Sox (+380)
With Kevin Gausman on the mound, the Red Sox need a look. Gausman has had some recent struggles and with the 12 stolen bases he’s allowed, we can take a look at Rafaela who is batting second today and posts a .320 wOBA and has 12 of his 13 steals against righties. You also likely have Alejandro Kirk behind the dish and his caught-stealing rate is sitting well below league-average at 22-percent. And even if it’s Brandon Valenzuela behind the dish, his 26-percent CS rate isn’t much better.
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