MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For July 24th, 2026
Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today. Apologies if you were searching for yesterday’s articles, but with just a five-game slate and lousy matchups for stolen bases – not to mention that I was physically standing in front of death’s door with whatever illness is parading itself around right now – I thought it best just to take the day off. The high-variance market of stolen base props is bad enough. We certainly don’t want to force it. You did get a free play in the Fantasy Alarm free newsletter (sign up on the home page), but alas, it was not a good day for steals. We’ll turn it right around with today’s action. Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and get right with some winning stolen base picks today.
Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+209)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+225)
- Austin Martin, Minnesota Twins (+250)
- Sam Antonacci, Chicago White Sox (+253)
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+257)
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+264)
- Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+265)
- Zach Neto, Los Angeles Angels (+279)
- Tyler Tolbert, Kansas City Royals (+282)
- Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+285)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+298)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Spencer Arrighetti, Houston Astros – 18 SB allowed
- Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants – 13 SB allowed
- Shane McClanahan, Tampa Bay Rays – 13 SB allowed
- Joey Cantillo, Cleveland Guardians – 12 SB allowed
- Jesus Luzardo, Philadelphia Phillies – 11 SB allowed
- Jacob Lopez, Athletics – 10 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Mickey Gasper, Boston Red Sox – 0% CS (12 att)
- Ivan Herrera, St. Louis Cardinals – 0% CS (20 att)
- Austin Hedges, Cleveland Guardians – 7% CS (29 att)
- Drake Baldwin, Atlanta Braves – 8% CS (26 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 10% CS (41 att)
- Endy Rodriguez, Pittsburgh Pirates – 12% CS (17 att)
- Austin Wells, New York Yankees – 12% CS (25 att)
- Connor Wong, Boston Red Sox – 13% CS (23 att)
- Francisco Alvarez, New York Mets – 13% CS (24 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. This should be an interesting day as the odds are not really favoring stolen bases today. Usually, we have a lot more options of +300 or less. Not the case today, but here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Friday, July 24:
Favorite Bets:
Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+209) – We tried using JRam in yesterday’s newsletter as our free pick, and while he walked twice, the opportunity to steal a base was not there. Today just might be a different situation. First off, we love the matchup, even against Shane McClanahan. Love the pitcher, but he’s been a little up-and-down lately, and with Ramirez posting a .399 wOBA against southpaws, we’re in. Austin Hedges has also been one of the worst at throwing out base-runners, posting a miserable seven-percent caught-stealing. Nothing wrong with going back to the well.
Zach Neto, Los Angeles Angels (+279) – Given the talents of Logan Webb, this pick carries some risk, but I’m betting it for a full unit still. This isn’t so much about trying to exploit Webb somehow as much as it is picking on the Giants rookie catcher Drew Cavanaugh, who has been seeing most of the work behind the plate lately, especially against righties, and has just a 15-percent caught-stealing rate. Neto has a .320 OBP against righties and is on a four-game hit streak. He also has two steals and one caught stealing over his last seven games, so you know he’s out there being aggressive on the bases.
If you haven’t yet signed up for the Fantasy Alarm daily newsletter, be sure to check it out. I’ve got another stolen base pick there you don’t want to miss. Just sign up on the home page!
