Welcome back to the best stolen base picks article. Hopefully you were tailing yesterday’s picks as we restarted another streak thanks to Kansas City Royals star Bobby Witt He’s become Mr. Reliable over the past few days, with six stolen bases over his last five games. It’s been real nice facing the Twins and Victor Caratini this weekend and we may just have one more bite of the apple left with rookie Connor Prielipp on the mound. But that might not even be our favorite matchup. What is? We’ll get to that and more as we dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values. 

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, June 7:

Favorite Bets: 

Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+249)

While Witt is on this current run (four-game hit streak; five-game stolen base streak), I feel like we have to bet him again, especially if Caratini is behind the plate. I don’t think it’s necessary to break down hitting numbers of catcher pop-times, but I will say, lefties on the mound usually have better pick-off moves, but I’m locking this bet down once again. It might seem like a cop-out but I’ve always been a “ride the wave until it breaks” kind of guy.

Randy Arozarena, Seattle Mariners (+494)

If you took notice up above, you’ll see that Tigers catcher Dillon Dingler slipped into the bottom-10 for caught-stealing rates with a mark of just 14-percent over 21 stolen base attempts. With Master of Walks, Jack Flaherty on the mound for Detroit, I’ll happily bet on Arozarena and his 17 stolen bases. The Mariners outfielder already has carte blanche on the bases and is batting .295 with a .387 OBP against righties this season. Add to that his BvP data where he’s batting .400 in 10 at-bats against Flaherty and I think we’ve got a great pick here.

Longshot: 

Blaze Alexander, Baltimore Orioles (+770)

I was originally looking at Leody Taveras, but to my surprise, the Orioles lineup came out and Alexander is listed as the starting centerfielder. The reason the game caught my eye was not because Baltimore is riddled with base-stealers, but Kevin Gausman has allowed seven steals on the season and his catcher, Brandon Valenzuela has just a 23-percent caught-stealing rate over 35 attempts. Teams are testing this guy and it’s working. Alexander needs to get on-base against Gausman which isn’t an easy feat, but he is batting .274 with a .373 BABIP against righthanded pitchers and the sprint-speed is upper-echelon. A longshot indeed, but worth the effort.