Welcome back to the best stolen base picks for today, Sunday, August 23rd. We hit a nice one with Spencer Jones yesterday, so that was certainly nice for the bankroll at those odds! There’s a few interesting spots on the board to attack today, including some notable batteries that have been subpar in the run game. Again, these are more “fun bets” rather than sustainable bankroll builders, so keep that in mind when placing bets on stolen bases! Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and try to hit some stolen base picks for Sunday, August 23rd.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props, and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day, and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

 

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Without further ado, here are our top MLB stolen base picks today for Sunday, August 23:

Favorite Bets: 

Esteury Ruiz, Miami Marlins (+162)

He’s far and away the favorite on the board, and rightfully so. Not only is he 15-for-17 on stolen base attempts versus southpaws this season, but he has a .381 OBP and .396 wOBA against left-handed pitching. We haven’t seen much of Jackson Kent this year, but in the small sample size, opponents have a 4.9% stolen base attempt rate against him, which is nearly four times the league average. Yes, small sample size, but notable nonetheless. On top of that, you have Ruiz’s 99th percentile sprint speed going up against Keibert Ruiz’s 3rd percentile pop time and well below average arm strength. If you want a less chalky pick for the day from this Marlins squad, Xavier Edwards (+439) would be another solid choice.

Tim Tawa, Arizona Diamondbacks (+579)

We hit on Spencer Jones yesterday at similar odds, so let’s look to do it again by attacking a good matchup. Tawa has a .387 OBP over the last week, and he’s a perfect 5-for-5 on stolen base attempts in the month of August. He’s more of an opportunistic runner than a pure burner on the base paths, but the Andrew Abbott-Jose Trevino battery is one you can most certainly run on. Tawa actually stole a base a few days ago when Trevino was behind the dish, and the Cincinnati backstop hasn’t caught a runner stealing since July 11 (11 SB attempts since). Furthermore, Trevino has a 12th percentile pop time, the sixth-worst arm strength amongst catchers with at least 10 stolen base attempts against (in terms of mph on throws to second), and a 14% caught stealing rate.  It should be Trevino behind the dish with Arizona having a southpaw on the mound, but even if it’s Tyler Stephenson, he only has a 17% caught stealing rate when Abbott is on the bump (20% overall).

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