We have just one week left in the NFL regular season and boy has it been a grind! A lot of stats will essentially be finalized with a lot of rest taking place in Week 17 for teams preparing for the playoffs, nothing to play for or simply not risking the future of some of the stars they hope to have back healthy for next season. Let’s dive into some numbers!

Player Name Team Pass Att Rec Targets Yds TD RZ Targets RZ Target % Drops Tgt %
DeAndre Hopkins HOU 501 96 176 1,378 13 19 47.37% 5 35.13%
Antonio Brown PIT 563 101 162 1,533 9 21 57.14% 4 28.77%
Jarvis Landry MIA 558 103 150 895 8 20 75% 6 26.88%
Larry Fitzgerald ARI 564 101 148 1,101 6 21 57.14% 4 26.24%
Keenan Allen LAC 546 93 147 1,260 5 22 40.91% 10 26.92%
Michael Thomas NO 506 98 141 1,151 5 16 56.25% 2 27.87%
Julio Jones ATL 485 83 138 1,364 3 19 26.32% 7 28.45%
Adam Thielen MIN 498 85 136 1,215 4 17 29.41% 5 27.31%
A.J. Green CIN 466 73 135 1,061 8 14 50% 5 28.97%
Demaryius Thomas DEN 535 77 133 892 4 15 60% 10 24.86%
Dez Bryant DAL 463 66 125 814 6 20 55% 11 27.00%
Travis Kelce KC 507 83 123 1,038 8 20 50% 7 24.26%
Mike Evans TB 554 66 122 946 5 18 22.22% 3 22.02%
Alshon Jeffery PHI 530 56 118 781 9 17 47.06% 3 22.26%
Davante Adams GB 530 74 117 885 10 23 65.22% 5 22.08%
Evan Engram NYG 580 64 115 722 6 11 63.64% 11 19.83%
Golden Tate DET 541 85 114 899 4 7 85.71% 3 21.07%
Doug Baldwin SEA 526 71 112 901 6 7 57.14% 1 21.29%
Robby Anderson NYJ 474 62 111 939 7 10 30% 6 23.42%
Zach Ertz PHI 530 72 108 800 8 18 66.67% 4 20.38%
Le'Veon Bell PIT 563 85 107 655 2 17 64.71% 4 19.01%
Delanie Walker TEN 475 71 106 788 3 11 36.36% 3 22.32%
Rob Gronkowski NE 547 69 106 1,084 8 11 50% 5 19.38%
Devin Funchess CAR 467 61 106 792 7 14 50% 3 22.70%
Tyreek Hill KC 507 75 105 1,183 7 4 25% 4 20.71%
Christian McCaffrey CAR 467 75 105 611 5 13 84.62% 1 22.48%
Marvin Jones Jr. DET 541 57 103 1,020 8 13 30.77% 4 19.04%
Brandin Cooks NE 547 60 103 1,003 6 9 66.67% 6 18.83%
T.Y. Hilton IND 462 54 102 952 4 10 20% 4 22.08%
Jack Doyle IND 462 76 102 652 3 9 55.56% 4 22.08%
Marquise Goodwin SF 574 54 101 934 1 14 28.57% 6 17.60%
Michael Crabtree OAK 530 56 99 601 8 14 50% 6 18.68%
Kenny Stills MIA 558 55 99 813 6 8 62.50% 3 17.74%
Jamison Crowder WAS 503 63 97 764 3 14 50% 6 19.28%
Jermaine Kearse NYJ 474 60 96 751 5 7 71.43% 3 20.25%
Marqise Lee JAX 493 56 96 702 3 8 62.50% 8 19.47%
Cooper Kupp LAR 484 62 95 869 5 23 56.52% 7 19.63%
Emmanuel Sanders DEN 535 47 94 555 2 10 50% 5 17.57%
Alvin Kamara NO 506 75 93 742 5 15 80% 4 18.38%
Nelson Agholor PHI 530 59 92 757 8 18 72.22% 5 17.36%
DeSean Jackson TB 554 50 91 668 3 6 66.67% 1 16.43%
Jimmy Graham SEA 526 54 91 475 10 26 61.54% 7 17.30%
Amari Cooper OAK 530 45 90 565 6 9 33.33% 10 16.98%
DeVante Parker MIA 558 51 89 606 1 12 41.67% 4 15.95%
Stefon Diggs MIN 498 58 89 784 7 12 83.33% 4 17.87%
Jordy Nelson GB 530 53 88 482 6 12 83.33% 6 16.60%
Duke Johnson Jr. CLE 544 68 87 618 3 5 60% 3 15.99%
Todd Gurley LAR 484 64 87 788 6 10 60% 2 17.98%
Mohamed Sanu ATL 485 60 86 632 5 11 63.64% 3 17.73%
Randall Cobb GB 530 62 85 608 3 5 60% 2 16.04%
Rishard Matthews TEN 475 52 85 788 4 8 50% 3 17.89%
Robert Woods LAR 484 56 85 781 5 9 66.67% 3 17.56%

Target Leaders

We have just one season left in the books and the race for third is tight as can be. Jarvis Landry, Larry Fitzgerald and Keenan Allen are within three receptions of one another. All three also have an outside chance of catching and/or passing Antonio Brown for second as he won’t be playing in his team’s final game. All three of the aforementioned receivers that will suit up for Week 17 will likely be playing all four quarters.

I’m not sure if Todd Gurley is the best receiving back in football, but if he’s not he’s damn close. He had a monster outing in Week 16 finishing with 10 catches on 13 targets for a week high 158 yards and two touchdowns. He was third in the entire NFL with those 13 targets and has now moved into 49th in the entire league in targets. He’s fourth amongst running backs, however, behind Le’Veon Bell, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara. What stinks for Gurley is that he won’t be able to move up on this list as he’s already been ruled out for Week 17.

It’s quite fitting Larry Fitzgerald led the NFL in targets in possibly his last home game ever. Fitzgerald is mulling over retirement so to see him haul in 9-of-15 targets for 119 yards and a score was a blast from the past -- even if it did come against my Giants. For someone who is thinking about retiring, Fitzgerald has a chance to finish second in the league in targets which is quite a feat these days seeing how many times teams throw the ball to so many different weapons. Whether he plays another year or not his legacy will live on forever and he’ll go down as one of the best receivers to ever play the game of football. It’s a shame he never played with a truly elite quarterback.

 

Target Percentage

And when the dust settles, we’re going to have just one player north of a 30-percent target percentage. DeAndre Hopkins will finish north of 30 whether he plays in Week 17 or not and barring something crazy from someone like Julio Jones who is close to 30, nobody else will eclipse that mark. It’s not Antonio Brown’s fault that he won’t due to injury, but nevertheless he’ll finish sub 30 as well.

 

Red Zone Targets

As the season progressed, a trend with red zone targets became quite apparent. Just looking at the top 15 targeted players in the NFL, all 15 were thrown to at least 14 times in the red zone. 13 of the 15 are averaging north of one red zone target per game, which is quite impressive.

Jimmy Graham heads into Week 17 with a three red zone target lead over Davante Adams. It’ll be hard for Adams to surpass Graham, but Adams has been a touchdown machine over the past two seasons so anything is possible. The issue for Adams becomes the Darius Slay shadow treatment seems to be lurking. Jordy Nelson is a shell of himself so no point in wasting Slay’s talent on him.

 

Drops

We have leaders in the drops department and they go by the names of Evan Engram and Dez Bryant. They hold a one drop lead over Amari Cooper who has led in this category basically wire-to-wire. It’s funny when you think about each one’s season they’re currently having, however. Engram is having a really fantastic rookie year, one that makes the Giants smart for taking him in the first-round. On the other hand, Dez Bryant and Amari Cooper are having poor seasons. Seasons that seem to be really under the microscope due in large part to their drops.

For Week 17’s contest, there are a few teams that need wins to make the playoffs and I’m looking at one in particular that happens to have a big time wideout on their team. That would be the Atlanta Falcons and Julio Jones. I suspect Jones is heavily targeted throughout and will lead the league in targets for Week 17. He had a big game against them the first time the two teams met up making six receptions for 118 yards.