Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Game Time: Thursday, October 17 at 8:20pm ET
Spread: Broncos +3
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes – The stats might have been there, but if you watched the game at all you would have witnessed Mahomes still favoring that tender ankle injury. He didn’t let it affect him a lot, but Mahomes still wasn’t quite himself. Getting his main target in Tyreek Hill back made all the difference in the world. The Broncos secondary is very good, but it isn’t good enough to keep the Chiefs in check. You have to start Mahomes, even in a less than ideal matchup and an ankle injury though. He is the top quarterback in fantasy football and it isn’t even close who is second.
Damien Williams – Right now the Chiefs aren’t running the ball very much at all. A week after LeSean McCoy got no carries, Williams received only one. Thankfully for his fantasy owners he did have a receiving touchdown to save his day. Considering how good the Denver defense is, you should try to look in another direction from Williams in Week 7.
LeSean McCoy – In Week 6, McCoy had no carries in the game. This week he did have eight carries, but it only added up to 44 yards. He also had two catches, but it was for no yards. The Chiefs running game is such a mess right now that it is tough to trust either back. And since they are going against a strong defense in Week 7 you would be best served to look in another direction completely.
Tyreek Hill – In his first game back from injury, Hill looked like he never missed a beat. He led the team in targets with ten. Led the team in catches and yards and had two touchdowns. Regardless of what you might think of Hill as a person, he is a lethal fantasy weapon and belongs in your lineups on a weekly basis. He might face Chris Harris for the majority of this game, but he still should be able to have a successful outing in Week 7. Hill is matchup proof and you have to put him in your lineups.
Mecole Hardman – With Hill back in the lineup, only one receiver seemed to maintain any sort of fantasy value and that was Hardman. He was next on the team in targets after Hill and Kelce, but still only had four. He will have to maintain an amazing catch rate, and you also have to take into consideration that Sammy Watkins missed this game. His fantasy value is holding on by a thread right now, but if you are desperate for a wide receiver, Hardman always has the big play potential to make his fantasy day in one play. If Watkins is able to play though, Hardman becomes even more of a long shot.
Travis Kelce – While he is never awful, it hasn’t been a great year for Kelce. He still has been getting a ton of targets, but through six weeks has just one touchdown. You aren’t benching him, you aren’t trading him, you are just throwing him out there and hoping the breakout is coming. He should have an amazing second half of the season, even if Week 7 isn’t a great matchup.
Joe Flacco – You have been warned on more than one occasion that Joe Flacco is not a fantasy asset. In fact, he is only just good enough to not be a detriment to the skill players around him. He did throw for only 177 yards last week, but at least it was against a good Tennessee defense. We’ve been bad mouthing the Chiefs defense all year, but they have played pretty well all year and certainly won’t be giving up big numbers to Flacco. He can do enough to keep a receiver or possibly two fantasy relevant, but he is no superstar.
Phillip Lindsay – This is still a running back by committee situation, but there is no doubt who is running the show and that is Lindsay. He ran for 70 yards on 15 carries and had two catches for just five yards in Week 6. However, he scored for the third time in four weeks and he is firmly a RB2 right now. He will be a bit riskier in Week 7 as the Broncos are likely to fall behind and not run as much, but if he can get a touchdown under his belt early, he will still be worthy of a spot in your starting lineup.
Royce Freeman – It is really tough to start Freeman right now unless you are in a PPR league. He did get 11 carries in Week, but he only ran for 34 yards while Lindsay tallied 70. He keeps himself relevant with the catches, of which he had five for 42 yards. He has had four or more catches in four out of six games, so while he isn’t a guy with a high ceiling, his ten point floor in PPR leagues make him someone you can go to while bye weeks are in full effect. The Chiefs only allowed three receptions out of the Texans backfield last week, so you can start Freeman, but not with a ton of confidence.
Courtland Sutton – There is no longer a doubt to who is the top receiver in Denver, and that is Sutton. He is nearly becoming matchup proof, as he burned a pretty good Titans secondary for four catches and 76 yards. He has now topped 75 receiving yards in three of his last four weeks, and has three touchdowns over that span. He hasn’t had fewer than four catches in a week this season, and even with a subpar quarterback throwing him the ball, Sutton is putting up a great season. He will likely see a lot of Bashaud Breeland , who is having a great year, but the Broncos are going to have to throw, and they should throw to Sutton a lot.
Emmanuel Sanders – After getting off to a great start this season, it has been two straight weeks where Sanders has been an afterthought. He has just four targets in the last two weeks, and it has been good for only two catches for 9 yards in the last two games combined! While the Chiefs secondary has been playing much better than expected, Sanders should have a good game in Week 7. Denver is clearly going to fall behind in this one, and outside of Sutton there isn’t much else to throw to besides Sanders. He should be looking at five or six catches for 80 yards and likely a score. If he doesn’t succeed in this game, his fantasy owners should be very concerned going forward.
Summary: All of a sudden the Chiefs offense looks mortal, while the Broncos are coming off a shutout. However, even though they are at home, the Broncos will face a much stiffer test this week against Kansas City. Patrick Mahomes clearly is dealing with an ankle injury that is hindering his ability to move around, and their run game is non-existent. Still, the Chiefs defense will step up this week as Denver just isn’t that good on offense, while Mahomes does enough to win the game. The Chiefs cover by a comfortable margin.
Prediction: Chiefs 27, Broncos 17