Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks
Game Time: Thursday, October 3 at 8:20pm ET
Spread: Seahawks -1
Los Angeles Rams
– Goff and the passing game have just looked off a bit this year. They have had some good individual games, but there hasn’t been that one where everything just clicked. These two teams always play each other close, and Thursday night games tend to be sloppy. Goff is a start in two quarterback or superflex leagues, but in DFS and traditional one quarterback leagues you can find a better option. It isn’t that he will have a bad game, you just likely have a better option than someone who will give you 240 yards and one or two touchdowns.
– The Rams have been true to their word of keeping Gurley’s workload under control. He only carried the ball five times last week, but he had seven catches for 54 yards. Of course, it didn’t hurt that the team was behind early and had to throw the ball a lot. One way or another, the Rams have been giving Gurley enough work to keep his fantasy numbers decent. He isn’t producing well enough if you drafted him in the first round, but he’s been solid. He should run for 60 yards, have another 50 through the air and score a touchdown.
– It is hard to call Cooks the odd man out in Week 4 when he had six catches for 71 yards, but of the Rams three receivers he had the worst game. It is kind of a crap shoot of who will be the least productive receiver of the three with the Rams. He will need a touchdown to have a great game against a Seattle defense who has been playing better of late. However, if Cooks can break a big play or two, he could have a nice fantasy day even without the score.
– After being forgotten much of Week 2 and Week 3, Woods was tied for the team lead with 15 targets, and had a team-high 13 catches for 164 yards. He did not score, but that is still a monster game. This is what he is capable of on any given week. He will play the role that Christian Kirk
did last week against the Seahawks, and while Kirk only had five catches, Woods is better than him and the Rams offense is better than Arizona’s. Woods should have at least eight catches and threaten 100 yards again, and is a great season long league option.
– Kupp has been unconscious lately, and it is almost like he can’t be stopped. The Seahawks did an admirable job last week against Larry Fitzgerald
, but right now Kupp is infinitely more dangerous. He gets thrown the ball a ton, and they are high percentage throws. Keep Kupp in your lineup on a weekly basis and way more often than not you will be handsomely rewarded.
– The game plan didn’t ask for him to do much against the Cardinals to be able to win, but he did do enough to move his team to 3-1. The game script has so much to do with Wilson’s fantasy numbers as he has had two games where he has thrown the ball less than 30 times, and two where he has thrown it over 35 times. This one should be a game where he has to throw a lot. He will be under a lot of pressure from the Rams, but Wilson has dealt with that his whole career. He should have a very successful game with 275 passing yards and two touchdowns.
– Despite the fact that he has dealt with some fumble issues, the Seahawks continue to pound the rock with this guy as he had 22 carries and four receptions in Week 4. We will see if that carry volume continues when Rashaad Penny
is ready to play, but Carson didn’t fumble last week and played exceptionally well. He is a must start every week, and while he faces a very quality defense, Carson is a physical runner who can hold his own against a defense like the Rams.
– It seems like Lockett gets forgotten from time to time, and Week 4 was one of those games. He did have four catches for 51 yards, but he was only targeted four times. Lockett isn’t yet a definitely number one receiver on the team, as this is not the first time his target numbers have been low. He could have some issues with Aqib Talib
of the Rams who largely had Mike Evans
under wraps last week except for one play. Sitting Lockett likely isn’t an option considering he was drafted as your second wide receiver, but it might not be a huge statistical game for him.
– It was the first dud in the young career of Metcalf, as he had just one catch for six yards. It is a bit concerning that he was so out of the game plan against a bad Cardinals defense, but Russell Wilson
only threw the ball 28 times, and Will Dissly
was open on almost every play. Metcalf will have a tough time against the Rams defense as well, and you would be best served not to use him as a starter in redraft leagues, or in any DFS format.
– Dissly did have another really solid game, but it did come at the expense of the Arizona Cardinals who have been historically bad at covering the tight end this season. Heck, my 11 year old daughter knows to start a tight end against the Cardinals right now. Actually, that’s a lie, but you get the point. He has been very consistent the last three weeks, but it still feels like the bottom is going to fall out of this Dissly Cinderella start. The Rams defense is legit, despite what you saw last week, but keep rolling him out there until Dissly turns into a pumpkin.
Summary: Both the Rams offense and defense didn’t look right last week, and that is hard to say given that they scored 40 points. Seattle did take care of Arizona last week, but they have struggled with a Brees-less Saints and a Roethlisberger-less Steelers team. Goff is slightly off his game, but he should be good enough to win this one, even if it is very close on the road. Seattle is traditionally a good home team, but they beat the Bengals by one and lost to the Saints in Seattle this year. Rams will win this one on Thursday night.
Prediction: Rams 27, Seahawks 24