Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders
Game Time: Thursday, November 7 at 8:20pm ET
Spread: Raiders +1
Los Angeles Chargers
Philip Rivers – He nearly had a 300 yard game last Sunday, which is fairly impressive because they were going against the Packers. The team was running the ball so well that Rivers only had to do so much. He has 12 touchdowns in nine games, which is fairly un-Rivers-like. A week after facing a tough defense, Rivers will get one of the softest pass defenses in Oakland. The Raiders have given up 22 passing touchdowns in eight games, including three last week to the Lions. Rivers will be a quality QB1 play for Week 10.
Melvin Gordon – Gordon had his first 20 carry game of the season, and he did very well with 80 yards and two touchdowns. He also had three catches for 29 yards. It is hard to tell if this was a result of playing one of the worst run defenses in Green Bay, or if Gordon has finally turned the corner and will start being productive. The Raiders are a fairly bad run defense, so this could be another game where Gordon can gain some momentum. He will be a good RB2 play for Week 10.
Austin Ekeler – Ekeler was out-touched by Melvin Gordon in Week 9, but he was still very productive. He had 70 yards on the ground and four catches for another 23 yards. He is getting to be a riskier play, especially with Melvin Gordon starting to produce. Ekeler will still be a guy you can put in your flex, if for no other reason than because they are playing the Raiders. If he doesn’t score ten fantasy points in PPR formats against Oakland, it will be hard to trust Ekeler in the future.
Keenan Allen – It is hard to say what is going on with Allen, but those who used an early second round pick on him have to be losing their minds. He only has one game where he has topped 60 receiving yards since Week 3, and he has zero touchdowns during that span. He HAS to have a huge game this Thursday against the Raiders who are absolutely awful against the pass. No matter how frustrated you are with Allen, you absolutely can’t sit him against the Raiders.
Mike Williams – Williams wasn’t targeted heavily, but he made the most of them with 111 yards on three catches. He still doesn’t have a touchdown, which is incredibly frustrating since he has been touchdown dependent in his career, but it is hard to complain after a 100 yard game against a quality defense. Williams is a solid WR3 play again in Week 10 against the putrid Raiders offense. A total of 75 receiving yards and his first touchdown of the year should be on the docket.
Hunter Henry – He continues to crush it since coming back from injury, and Henry is one of the more consistent forces at tight end. It wasn’t even a good matchup for him last week, and he still had seven catches for 84 yards. You’d love for him to start scoring more touchdowns, but Henry still is producing on a weekly basis. He has only had one game under 60 yards, and the Raiders have already allowed six touchdowns to tight ends this season. This is a plus, plus, plus matchup for Henry.
Derek Carr – He is having his best season since 2016 and Carr currently has 13 touchdowns against four interceptions. He sliced up the Lions for 289 yards with two touchdowns in Week 9. Perhaps the best part of Carr’s game this season is the lack of interceptions. He will have a much tougher time on Thursday, as the Chargers defense almost completely held down a red hot Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense, and have allowed just 13 passing touchdowns in nine weeks. Carr would certainly be best served on your bench this week.
Josh Jacobs – He has been better than anyone could hope for in his rookie season, and he also has been more of a workhorse than anyone could hope for. He now has 20 or more carries in three of the last four games, and also has topped 120 yards in each of those three contests. You’d like for his touchdowns to be a little more consistent from game to game rather than come in bunches of two, but this kid is definitely the real deal. The Chargers give up at least 120 yards per game on the ground, and Jacobs is a must start on Thursday night.
Tyrell Williams – The touchdown streak couldn’t go on forever, and Williams finally didn’t score in Week 9. It was disappointing that in a game where Carr was so good, that he was so ordinary. It is now four straight games that Williams has just three catches, and he only has topped 50 yards once in that stretch. He is likely to see a lot of Chargers All-Pro corner Casey Hayward , and he would be a tough guy to start in fantasy in Week 10.
Hunter Renfrow – It has been two straight games now that Renfrow has found the end zone, and he has now started to gain a little fantasy attention. It should be noted that the Raiders last two opponents, Houston and Detroit, aren’t exactly bringing strong defenses to the table. While he does have ten receptions in the last two weeks, he had just 14 in the previous six so it is a little early to start celebrating yet. If Renfrow has a good game against the Chargers, then it will be time to start talking about him with some fantasy consideration. He should not be in your starting lineups for Week 10.
Darren Waller – He has hit a rough patch of late as Waller has less than 55 yards in three of the last four weeks. Of course, the week in between he had 126 receiving yards and two touchdowns. He still is an absolute must start TE1 on a weekly basis, even with this stretch. This was a bit concerning because Carr threw for 289 yard and he had just 52 of them. The Chargers have allowed just three touchdowns to tight ends this season, but Waller isn’t a normal tight end and should be a starter in Week 10.
Summary: You wouldn’t have guessed it in the beginning of the season, but right now the Raiders are the team with their act together, and the Chargers are trying to figure it all out. Derek Carr looks like the guy from a few years ago, and Josh Jacobs has been a beast. However, can the Raiders secondary stop Philip Rivers ? Can this be the remedy for getting Keenan Allen out of his funk? Or will Jacobs and the Raiders play a ball control game and keep Rivers off the field. This one should be close and the Raiders find a way to win this one in the end.
Prediction: Raiders 27, Chargers 23