Unfortunately, Sunday’s EPL DFS slate is as notable for the players that will be missing as for the players likely to start. Jarrod Bowen, Ollie Watkins and Eberechi Eze are all dealing with injuries, and their absences leave big holes to fill for all three teams. If we can identify the players who will step up in their wake, our EPL DFS lineups could be in great shape.
EPL DFS Soccer Picks December 3
I don't trust Caoimhin Kelleher, and Tottenham hasn't been shut out in a game all season. That leaves Martinez as our best bet for a win and a clean sheet. Only three teams have allowed more clean sheets than Bournemouth this season, and no team has more wins than Aston Villa.
West Ham hasn't been quite as good as Aston Villa defensively, but they are at home, and you could argue their matchup is better. Michael Olise's return has me a little hesitant, but I'm fine pivoting to Areola if you need to save a little money.
Salah is safer on FanDuel but due to the presence of the Manchester City players, he is probably more essential on DraftKings. Outside of Michael Olise, who has played just 113 minutes, Salah is averaging 3.5 more fppg than anyone else on the DraftKings slate. Add in all the top-tier attackers who are out with injuries, and Salah is easily one of our core plays on that site.
Its potentially a bad sign that West Ham's offense only woke up after Ings was subbed off last week. That being said, he should start up top with Jarrod Bowen out again, and the price is reasonable for someone with his goalscoring pedigree. His other attacking teammates are safer but they all cost more, and its hard to argue they have more upside. Ings's forward eligibility is valuable in this slate as well.
I might pivot to one of his teammates, especially on FanDuel, but there is no doubt Ferguson is Brighton's best bet for a goal Sunday. None of the healthy Brighton attackers are exactly safe, especially with Pascal Gross playing right back, so I'm willing to take a shot on Ferguson scoring his third goal in four games.
Nicolas Jackson probably has more upside, but Sterling has a goal involvement in three straight games. He is a good bet for a couple of crosses and a chance created, and he has plenty of upside as well.
Phil Foden is probably safer, but Doku is averaging 25.4 fantasy points in his eight starts this season. I might role with Foden in a different matchup but I like Doku's chances against Spurs' makeshift back line.That being said, there are no wrong answers in Manchester City's attack.
I don't want to overreact to 113 Premier League minutes, but Olise looks like a must-play on FanDuel with Eberechi Eze out. Olise should get most of the free kicks and he is Crystal Palace's best bet for a goal invovlement. He has seven shots, 17 crosses and three chances created in those 113 minutes.
James Ward-Prowse is safer, but Kudus is more dynamic and probably a better bet for a goal involvement. He eluded four Burnley defenders to set up West Ham's equalizer last week, giving him two chances created in each of the last three games. He also has 11 crosses in that span.
I would be really tempted to pivot to Moussa Diaby on DraftKings, where he costs $600 less. That being said, you could argue Duran has more upside, and he is certainly too cheap on FanDuel. Duran has two goals on six shots (three on goal) to go with two crosses and one chance created in 69 minutes this season. Our problem for fantasy is those 69 minutes came across seven games. Duran may not be as efficient as a starter, but if he comes anywhere close to matching those numbers in a full game, he is far too cheap.
I would be awfully tempted to pivot to Cole Palmer, especially on FanDuel, but I think Gallagher is more likely to pick up an assist (he has four in his last six games) than Palmer is to continue scoring goals. Both are good for a couple of crosses and a chance created, but Gallagher is tied for the team lead in corners.
Tielemans has at least 9.5 DK fantasy points in each of his last two games, despite coming off the bench in one of those. He is a must-play on both sites if he starts.
Jan Paul van Hecke
van Hecke has double-digit FD fantasy points in all six starts this season, averaging 13.6 FD fantasy points. He sat out Thursday due to a suspension, so he should be fresh for this game.
Bassey is averaging 11.6 FD fantasy points in his six starts. He is $2 cheaper than teammate Tim Ream, who is averaging 11.9 fppg in 12 starts. Liverpool continues to be the best matchup for defensive stats and Bassey is far too cheap.
We're going to give him a pass for struggling against Manchester City last week. When he starts, Tsimikas has been just as good as Trent Alexander-Arnold, but Tsimikas is $1,200 cheaper. We're getting elite production without having to pay an exorbitant price for someone like Lucas Digne.
This is one of those times where you need to check the lineups. Colwill has been much better for fantasy as a left back than a center back. He should move outside with the suspensions of Reece James and Marc Cucurella, but we should confirm that Sunday before we put Colwill in our lineups.
As with Colwill, I will prefer Julio if he lines up outside. He was quiet against Sheffield United in his only start at left back but if he starts out wide again, I'm willing to take a shot at this price.